Rockhopper Exploration Boosts Oil Resources in Falkland Basin

Rockhopper Exploration's Promising Developments in the Sea Lion Project

Rockhopper Exploration plc (AIM: RKH), a reputable player in the oil and gas sector, has reported significant enhancements in its oil resources within the North Falkland Basin (NFB). The highlights come after recent updates from Navitas Petroleum LP, which operates the ambitious Sea Lion project. An independent resource report prepared by Netherland Sewell & Associates (NSAI) for October 2024 showcases an exciting increase in recoverable oil resources within this vicinity.

Key Updates from the Environmental Impact Statement

The first and second phases of the project's Environmental Impact Statement (EIS) were submitted, laying the groundwork for development. In a significant turn, the Falkland Islands Government confirmed that no further public consultation will be necessary, paving the way for progress. Moreover, an important milestone has been reached with an agreement signed for a redeployed Floating Production Storage and Offloading (FPSO) vessel. Front-End Engineering Design (FEED) work is set to begin imminently, with the FPSO projected to have peak production capabilities of up to 55,000 barrels of oil per day.

Financial Outlook and Project Robustness

The current estimates for capital expenditure (capex) to reach first oil have risen to around US$1.4 billion, which accounts for the industry's prevailing cost inflation. Despite this uptick in estimates, the overall economics of the project continue to be viewed as solid and sustainable. Looking ahead, the Final Investment Decision (FID) is projected for mid-2025 with the first oil expected in the last quarter of 2027.

Certified Oil Resources: A Significant Increase

According to the recent NSAI report from October 2024, Rockhopper has not conducted an independent review of these findings. However, the report noted a substantial growth in certified gross 2C recoverable oil resources in the NFB, rising from 791 million barrels (MMbbls) to 917 MMbbls. This marks a remarkable 16% increase from the previous report released in January 2024. Additionally, the certification now includes 2.1 trillion cubic feet (TCF) of gas resources, further solidifying the project's viability.

Development Strategy and Potential Returns

The development strategy for the Sea Lion field adopts a phased approach, strategically planning for a total of 35 wells across three distinct phases. Collectively, these phases are projected to yield approximately 532 MMbbls. Once all phases are completed, the production rate may approach 120,000 barrels per day. Moreover, the breakeven production cost is estimated to hover around US$24 per barrel, providing a solid financial footing for future operations.

Rockhopper's stake in the Sea Lion project includes a 35% working interest in the licenses associated with the NFB. This latest update is built upon a press release outlining certified development plans for both the Northern and Central Development Areas. The report also highlights the loans from Navitas linked to developmental activities, as disclosed in earlier announcements.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the recent development reported by Rockhopper Exploration?

Rockhopper Exploration announced an increase in certified recoverable oil resources in the Falkland Basin, specifically in the Sea Lion project.

What is the estimated capital expenditure to reach first oil?

The estimated capital expenditure is now approximately US$1.4 billion, considering ongoing industry cost inflation.

When is the expected first oil production date?

The first oil production is anticipated in the fourth quarter of 2027, following the Final Investment Decision set for mid-2025.

How much oil resource has been certified in the Falkland Basin?

The certified gross 2C recoverable oil resources have increased from 791 million barrels to 917 million barrels, according to the October 2024 NSAI report.

What is the breakeven production cost for the Sea Lion project?

The breakeven production cost is estimated to be around US$24 per barrel, ensuring robust financial dynamics.

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