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Posted On: 07/24/2022 10:50:21 AM
Post# of 148878
agreed. The $10 number is totally arbitrary - probably picked at random because it's a nice round number. and all of the shareholders are totally different. if someone owns 5mm shares (god love em'), $10 buyout puts $50MM in their pocket. Hell, $5 nets them $25MM. Yet the person with 20,000 shares and wants to be a "Cyto-millionaire", is thinking about $50 as his/her number. and then you factor in time - a 10 year investor is probably ready to move on - and a new investor is just getting started. to try to pick one SP that fits everyone is pointless.
i've always looked at it from the valuation, and then back into the SP. At a 5X revenue valuation, what's realistic based on even a small fraction of our potential revenue. I would think $2 billion in revenue would be a low target for our potential - but even that would result in a $10Billion valuation, which would equate to around $15. But $5 billion in revenue should be more moderate an estimate - equating to a $25 Billion valuation - or roughly $38 SP.
So i personally think $10 is way too low. but would i start selling some along the way up to $15, $20, Etc., given my 6 years into this, and my desire to start legging out over time - yes, i would.
i've always looked at it from the valuation, and then back into the SP. At a 5X revenue valuation, what's realistic based on even a small fraction of our potential revenue. I would think $2 billion in revenue would be a low target for our potential - but even that would result in a $10Billion valuation, which would equate to around $15. But $5 billion in revenue should be more moderate an estimate - equating to a $25 Billion valuation - or roughly $38 SP.
So i personally think $10 is way too low. but would i start selling some along the way up to $15, $20, Etc., given my 6 years into this, and my desire to start legging out over time - yes, i would.
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