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Posted On: 09/30/2020 11:58:30 AM
Post# of 148899
Techguru, Amazing!
Just the breakdown I was looking for. I do admit, I think I preferred your first, whisky drinking calculation more (despite having incorrect numbers).
Based on your newest calculation, I think we're going to have a difficult time at obtaining a ~63% decrease in mortality, to receive a halt at interim. I have not done the math, nor am a statistician, but it seems like if we have even a remote shot at getting halted, our total trial mortality rates need to be significantly higher.
Let's hope for something positive.
Good luck everyone
Just the breakdown I was looking for. I do admit, I think I preferred your first, whisky drinking calculation more (despite having incorrect numbers).
Based on your newest calculation, I think we're going to have a difficult time at obtaining a ~63% decrease in mortality, to receive a halt at interim. I have not done the math, nor am a statistician, but it seems like if we have even a remote shot at getting halted, our total trial mortality rates need to be significantly higher.
Let's hope for something positive.
Good luck everyone
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