Tanis: Probably the easiest answer is to say: 'Don't over-analyze.' Just follow the 'bouncing ball' so to speak, especially if it is coming off an extreme high or low. So the stoch and macd are pointing in this case to a move down. Drawing a trendline now across tops and bottoms on weekly two year chart now. We'll see if we break one in the next couple of days; if not we probably break '.08'. It is just an opinion and it could go either way...just what I see at the moment I write.