Impacts of Tariffs on Ontario's Housing Market and Future

Understanding the Impact of Tariffs on Ontario's Housing Sector
The recent introduction of tariffs by the Trump administration brings serious concerns for housing construction in Ontario. With a staggering 25% tariff on all non-energy imports and 10% on energy-related imports, the Ontario Home Builders' Association (OHBA) fears these measures could spell disaster for the housing sector.
The Ripple Effect of Tariffs on Housing Projects
The potential economic downturn arising from these tariffs may lead to notable reductions in housing starts. Reports suggest that the construction industry is already feeling the heat, with a significant drop in projects. In 2024, housing starts in Ontario saw a 16% decline, indicative of the troublesome environment in this sector.
Scott Andison, CEO of OHBA, recently highlighted the grim reality faced by builders. Some have reported selling only two homes throughout the year, pointing towards a market in severe distress. This situation is compounded by increasing costs and uncertainty surrounding future projects.
Investor Caution and Its Consequences
With the looming threat of tariffs, investors are likely to proceed with extreme caution, hesitating to fund new developments. This withdrawal of capital threatens to halt progress made in boosting housing supply, leading to more unsold projects and increased rentals. Such a trend is unlikely to favor Ontario's economy or its residents seeking affordable housing.
Construction Costs and Challenges
Adding fuel to the fire, construction costs are expected to rise as local suppliers grapple with losing their US clientele. Tariff-induced expenses on key imports and the depreciating Canadian dollar will add more strain on builders and developers. The trickle-down effect will likely deter many from pursuing new housing initiatives.
Prolonged Slump in Housing Starts
As Andison warns, this situation points toward a potentially extended downturn for Ontario's housing sector. Reports indicate some municipalities have faced staggering declines in housing starts, reaching up to 60%. This drastic variation in impact suggests the tariffs will not affect all areas equally.
Advocating for Change and Future Steps
Despite the daunting challenges presented by these tariffs, the OHBA continues its work with provincial authorities to mitigate their adverse effects. There is a drive to maintain housing affordability and ensure that Ontario's residential construction industry can endure this turbulent period.
About the Ontario Home Builders' Association
Established in 1962, the Ontario Home Builders' Association serves as the voice of the residential construction industry in Ontario. Representing over 4,000 member companies across various sectors, OHBA advocates for its members, promoting innovation and professionalism while providing crucial training and benefits.
Contact Information for Media Inquiries
For further media inquiries, please reach out to:
Andres F. Ibarguen
Senior Manager, Communications
(647) 217-6790
aibarguen@ohba.ca
Frequently Asked Questions
How will tariffs affect Ontario's housing market?
The new tariffs are expected to lead to increased construction costs, reduced housing starts, and overall uncertainty in the market.
What is the current state of housing starts in Ontario?
Ontario experienced a 16% decline in housing starts in 2024, with some municipalities seeing reductions over 60%.
Who is the Ontario Home Builders' Association?
OHBA is the voice of Ontario's residential construction industry, representing over 4,000 member companies.
What measures is OHBA taking to address these tariffs?
OHBA is collaborating with the provincial government to minimize the tariffs' impact on housing affordability and the construction industry.
What might the future hold for Ontario's housing sector?
While the future remains uncertain, there are concerns about a prolonged slump in housing starts and a deteriorating market.
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