Hess Midstream Adjusts Projections as Chevron Cuts Bakken Activity
Hess Midstream Faces Changes in Outlook
Hess Midstream LP (NYSE: HESM) has made notable changes to its financial and operational forecasts, citing a reduction in drilling activity by Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX) within the Bakken region. The adjustments are influenced by Chevron's decision to cut back its rig count from four to three starting in a specified period in the future. This shift is expected to substantially impact Hess Midstream’s oil throughput volumes, which are projected to level off in the near term.
Gas Throughput Growth Amid Challenges
In contrast to the anticipated stagnation in oil volumes, Hess Midstream is optimistic about the potential growth in gas throughput. The company believes that this increase will support earnings and capital returns, projecting positive growth trends through at least 2027. This strategy aims to keep operational volumes above the established minimum commitments, ensuring stability in their service offerings.
CEO's Perspective on Financial Stability
Chief Executive Officer Jonathan Stein has reinforced the commitment to maintaining a solid financial footing. He emphasized that generating consistent cash flow is vital, serving as the backbone of Hess Midstream’s capital return strategy. The company has stated its long-term leverage target remains at thrice the Adjusted EBITDA, anchoring its financial planning and operational execution.
Adjusted EBITDA Projections
As part of the revised outlook, Adjusted EBITDA for the year ahead is anticipated to remain flat compared to the previous year. Management expects to attain growth in 2027, largely driven by increased gas volumes and provisions linked to inflation in its commercial agreements. These measures are constructed to maintain a healthy financial trajectory despite market fluctuations.
Capital Expenditures Oversight
Another crucial aspect of their revised strategy involves reducing capital expenditures. Hess Midstream has halted the forward planning for the Capa gas plant project and suspended preliminary engineering work. This decision is expected to lead to significantly lower expenditures over the coming years, particularly in 2026 and 2027, thereby enhancing free cash flow.
Return-of-Capital Strategy
The ongoing return-of-capital strategy is a central focus for Hess Midstream. Management aims for at least a 5% annual distribution growth through 2027, highlighting the importance of investor returns in their operational philosophy. Additionally, they have signaled potential share repurchases to augment shareholder value as part of their broader strategic framework.
Revised Guidance for Gas Throughput
For the immediate future, specifically targeting next year, Hess Midstream has revised its full-year gas throughput guidance. This adjustment has been prompted by various factors, including adverse weather conditions and reduced third-party volumes later in the year. Gas gathering volumes are now expected to range between 455 and 465 million cubic feet (MMcf) daily, compared to initial expectations that outlined higher figures.
Financial Performance Outlook
Looking forward, net income and Adjusted EBITDA for the upcoming third quarter are projected to land at the lower end of previous guidance ranges. For the full fiscal year, figures are anticipated to be within the lower spectrum of earlier announced estimates, reinforcing the importance of strategic planning in light of market dynamics.
Market Performance and Stock Movement
Hess Midstream has experienced significant fluctuations in its stock price, which was noted to have dropped by approximately 7.96%, trading at around $36.33 recently. The stock's performance has been fluctuating within its 52-week range, which spans from $33.59 to $44.14, indicating the potential impact of broader market conditions on investor confidence.
Frequently Asked Questions
1. What is the reason behind Hess Midstream's outlook adjustment?
Hess Midstream adjusted its outlook due to Chevron reducing its drilling activity in the Bakken region, which is expected to impact oil throughput volumes.
2. Will Hess Midstream continue to grow its gas throughput?
Yes, Hess Midstream anticipates gas throughput growth will support earnings and maintain operational performance amid challenges in oil volumes.
3. How is Hess Midstream addressing capital expenditures?
The company has reduced planned capital expenditures by halting the Capa gas plant project, aiming for lower spending through 2027.
4. What is the projected Adjusted EBITDA for the coming years?
Adjusted EBITDA is expected to remain flat for the upcoming year, with growth anticipated to resume in 2027 primarily due to increased gas volumes.
5. How has Hess Midstream’s stock performed recently?
Recently, Hess Midstream's stock experienced a decline of 7.96%, reflecting fluctuations in the market and investor sentiment.
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