Cloud Services Surge in Q3: A Positive Outlook for ISG
Cloud-Based Services Propel Growth in IT Sector
In a remarkable turn of events, the demand for cloud-based services in the Americas has surged, largely propelled by the growing interest in Generative AI (GenAI). This upward trend has significantly influenced the IT and business services market during the third quarter of the year. As companies continue to adapt to modern technological advancements, they are increasingly leaning towards innovative solutions that enhance their operational capabilities.
Insights from the ISG Index™
The ISG Index™, a critical measure of commercial outsourcing contracts that feature an annual contract value (ACV) of $5 million or more, indicates that the third-quarter ACV for the combined market—which encompasses both cloud-based as-a-service (XaaS) models and managed services—reached an impressive $13.2 billion. This figure marks a significant 7 percent increase, showcasing the region's highest quarterly performance since the record-setting first quarter of 2022.
Market Performance Overview
Reflecting on the previous performance, it’s noteworthy that the outsourcing market has experienced a consistent recovery following a dip in the last quarter of the previous year. The latest data reveals that the market has demonstrated sequential growth for three consecutive quarters, including a remarkable 8 percent jump in the most recent quarter.
The Rise of XaaS and Managed Services
In particular, XaaS expenditures witnessed a staggering 29 percent increase, amounting to nearly $8 billion. This marks the second consecutive quarter where XaaS ACV has surpassed the $7 billion benchmark. In contrast, managed services saw a decline of 15 percent when compared to the previous year, settling at $5.2 billion. However, it’s worth mentioning that this segment did experience a sequential growth of 10 percent from the second quarter.
Challenges in the Managed Services Arena
Despite the overall market growth, the managed services segment faced challenges, primarily due to a reduced demand from the Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance (BFSI) sector, which holds the largest share in IT and business process outsourcing. The ACV for BFSI contracted 3.5 percent compared to a soft performance the previous year, while other sectors like manufacturing and travel reported impressive gains.
Sector-wise Developments
Specifically, manufacturing saw an increase of 81 percent, retail improved by 35 percent, and travel, transport, and leisure surged by a spectacular 175 percent. These changes reflect a shift in demand as enterprises reevaluate their investments in IT services.
Expert Predictions for the Future
Todd Lavieri, ISG vice chairman and president for ISG Americas and Asia Pacific, commented on these trends, stating, “Companies are actively increasing their investments in cloud services as they work toward enhancing their data capabilities. This strategic shift is made in anticipation of a broader adoption of generative AI solutions. However, the financial services sector remains cautious, delaying investments as they await clearer signals regarding interest rates.”
Examining Results by Segment
Delving deeper into managed services, the IT outsourcing ACV experienced a 19 percent decline, totaling $3.9 billion. Growth in data center and managed network services was offset by significant dips in application development and maintenance (ADM) services, reflecting a challenging landscape for these traditional offerings.
Cloud Services Demonstrating Resilience
Conversely, cloud services exhibited robust performance, with infrastructure-as-a-service (IaaS) ACV soaring by 44 percent to reach $5.6 billion. Additionally, software-as-a-service (SaaS) also saw a modest increase of 3 percent, totaling $2.3 billion.
Performance Over Nine Months
Looking back over a nine-month period, the combined market across the Americas recorded a 5 percent year-to-date growth, reaching $37.4 billion. This stands in contrast to an 8 percent decline noted in the previous year during the same timeframe, highlighting a positive turnaround driven by innovations in technology.
Analysis by Segment
Within this period, managed services ACV dipped by 7 percent to $15 billion, with a total of 1,046 contracts processed—6 percent lower than last year. Interestingly, this period saw only nine mega-deals awarded, down from 13 last year. Even within managed services, ITO faced challenges, dropping 8 percent to $10.7 billion.
Forecasting for 2024 and Beyond
Looking ahead, ISG continues to maintain its predictions for a 2 percent revenue increase in managed services and a more significant 14 percent growth in XaaS for the full year. Experts foresee a more pronounced growth trajectory in 2025 as market conditions stabilize.
Positive Indicators for Future Growth
Despite the current mixed signals, including challenges within the BFSI sector, there is optimism in the market. Recent interest rate reductions are expected to stimulate IT investments moving into the coming year, complemented by rising interest in GenAI, increasing server shipments, and a recovery in hyperscaler revenues.
About ISG and Its Insights
ISG (Information Services Group) is a prominent global technology research and advisory firm that has become a trusted partner for over 900 clients, including an impressive array of top-tier enterprises. The company is committed to facilitating operational excellence and accelerating growth through various services, including digital transformations, AI, cloud, and data analytics.
Contributing to Industry Development
Founded in 2006 and headquartered in Connecticut, ISG employs over 1,600 professionals who are dedicated to driving innovation and providing market insights that empower clients to navigate the complex technology landscape effectively. Through comprehensive research and analysis, ISG delivers rich perspectives on industry data and trends.
Frequently Asked Questions
What drove the growth in IT and business services in Q3?
The growth was primarily driven by increased demand for cloud-based services, particularly related to Generative AI.
How much did the overall ACV rise in Q3?
The overall ACV rose by 7 percent, reaching $13.2 billion, the highest mark since early 2022.
What are the projections for 2024 in managed services?
ISG is forecasting a 2 percent revenue growth in managed services and a more robust 14 percent growth in XaaS for 2024.
Which sectors experienced growth despite BFSI downturn?
Industries such as manufacturing, retail, and travel showed impressive growth, with increases ranging from 35 to 175 percent.
What is the role of ISG in the technology sector?
ISG is a leading technology research and advisory firm that helps organizations achieve operational excellence through various services and insights.
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