Canaccord Genuity Forecasts Strong Tesla Performance Ahead
Canaccord Genuity's Optimistic Outlook for Tesla
Canaccord Genuity analysts possess high hopes for Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) as they look forward to the company's upcoming Q3 2024 financial results. They anticipate Tesla will not only meet but also exceed the expectations within the market regarding both earnings and the volume of deliveries.
Insight into Delivery Estimates
The firm has recently revamped its projections for Tesla's delivery and earnings figures, drawing from global data analysis encompassing around 40 countries. This comprehensive database allows Canaccord to monitor Tesla's performance effectively.
Improved Tracking Systems
Canaccord's analysis emphasizes that it has refined its tracking systems to provide a more accurate representation of Tesla’s delivery numbers. They express that despite facing daunting challenges in the global automotive landscape, Tesla has demonstrated notable resilience and continued growth.
Revised Delivery and Profit Projections
According to Canaccord's latest estimates, Tesla's Q3 2024 deliveries are projected to reach around 469,200 vehicles, surpassing the general consensus estimate of 458,000 units for the quarter. Though this figure marks a slight adjustment from their previous forecast of 480,000 units, it still reflects a positive trajectory in growth.
Seasonal Sales Trends
The analysts underscore the importance of September, traditionally recognized as the peak sales month within the quarter. This seasonal factor played a role in their updated forecasts, reinforcing their confidence in Tesla's performance.
Long-term Projections for 2024
Canaccord Genuity holds an optimistic view for Tesla's performance throughout the remainder of the year. They predict total deliveries for 2024 will approximate 1.85 million vehicles. This represents a 2.4% increase compared to the previous year and exceeds the FactSet consensus estimate of 1.78 million vehicles.
Insights on Profitability
In terms of profitability, analysts have adjusted their estimates for Tesla's Q3 2024 non-GAAP EPS from $0.98 down to $0.75. Even with this adjustment, it remains well above the anticipated consensus of $0.61. This projection reflects Tesla's strategic pricing efforts aimed at stimulating demand in significant markets.
Factors Influencing Tesla’s Performance
The positive outlook provided by Canaccord stems from strong sales momentum observed in China and attractive financing options available globally. These variables are seen as crucial drivers for the anticipated growth in Tesla's performance.
Looking Ahead to Q4 2024
For the upcoming quarter, Canaccord sustains its estimate for Q4 2024 deliveries at 552,000 vehicles, indicating a robust quarter-over-quarter increase of roughly 17.7%. This projection is grounded in Tesla's historical performance, particularly noting an average gain of 20.4% from Q3 to Q4 since 2019.
Frequently Asked Questions
What are Canaccord Genuity's Q3 2024 delivery estimates for Tesla?
Canaccord estimates Tesla's Q3 2024 deliveries to be around 469,200 vehicles, exceeding the consensus of 458,000.
How have Tesla's earnings projections changed?
The non-GAAP EPS estimate has been adjusted to $0.75, still significantly higher than the $0.61 consensus.
What factors contribute to Tesla's growth?
Key factors include strong sales in China and appealing financing options worldwide, as noted by Canaccord analysts.
What is the long-term delivery projection for Tesla in 2024?
Canaccord predicts Tesla will deliver about 1.85 million vehicles in 2024, marking a 2.4% year-over-year increase.
How is Tesla's sales trend in Q4 2024 expected to perform?
Canaccord maintains an estimate of 552,000 deliveries in Q4 2024, projecting a quarter-over-quarter increase of 17.7%.
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