Arco Vara's Strong Q3 Performance Shows Market Resilience
Quarterly Update from Arco Vara’s CEO
GROUP CEO’S REVIEW
The Estonian real estate market has shown stability during the recent quarter, indicating a gradual recovery. Transaction volumes held steady, suggesting that buyers are adjusting after a period of cooling. In particular, the average price for apartments has seen a minor increase, especially in prime areas of Tallinn, where demand for quality housing remains robust.
Although high interest rates continue to pose challenges and buyer sentiment remains cautious, improved economic outlooks have aided steady demand. The market appears to be transitioning into a more balanced state, emerging from previous fluctuations of rapid growth and steep declines. A continued stable macroeconomic environment and the potential decline of interest rates may foster moderate recovery in early 2026, focusing on fresh developments.
A significant highlight for Arco Vara this quarter was the successful launch of its inaugural public bond offering, which drew phenomenal investor interest and was oversubscribed more than twice. This issuance marked a milestone as the largest single bond issue by a real estate developer on the Baltic exchanges thus far.
The funds from the bond offering will be utilized for the exciting Luther Quarter project, which aims to revitalize a historic industrial area in central Tallinn into a vibrant residential and commercial hub. The vision for Luther Quarter includes creating a balanced urban environment that integrates living spaces with work areas, cafes, cultural venues, and inviting public spaces, anchored by a central green area for community use.
Arco Vara is committed to constructing more than just buildings; the goal is to develop a cohesive "city within a city" where both day and nightlife thrive. The organization seeks to create more comprehensive urban solutions by establishing self-sufficient residential districts that thoughtfully connect with the larger city.
In the Rannakalda development, five apartments were sold this quarter, reflecting ongoing interest in premium residential options close to the city center. As of now, 101 out of 113 units have been sold, with plans to finalize the remaining sales by year's end.
The Soodi 6 development is also progressing with construction initiated at the end of June. By quarter-end, 19 of the 66 units had been sold under binding agreements, making the project appealing to young families and investors due to its strategic location and intelligent layouts.
Additionally, construction has commenced at the Spordi development. In just four months, preliminary agreements led to the sale of 12 out of the 56 apartments, a particularly noteworthy achievement considering the area's limited housing supply and high demand. This project complements Arco Vara's offerings in the sought-after Kristiine district.
Moving forward with strategic initiatives, Arco Vara received approval for the Arcojärve spatial plan shortly after the conclusion of the reporting period. This project lays the groundwork for further urban development investments.
As part of its strategic realignment, Arco Vara is transitioning from the Bulgarian market, refocusing its energies on the Estonian landscape to enhance operational performance and generate more value. Discussions are ongoing regarding the Bulgarian subsidiary, with future decisions being coordinated with the Supervisory Board.
At Kuldlehe, two additional apartments were reserved or sold at the end of August, leaving just one exclusive unit available that maintains a strong position in Tallinn’s premium segment.
For the final quarter of the year, the company aims to ramp up sales efforts and progress development projects. Objectives include selling the last apartment at Kuldlehe, securing six additional sales at Rannakalda, and initiating sales preparations for the first phase of the Luther development. The construction and marketing activities at Spordi and Soodi 6 will persist with an eye towards signing more preliminary agreements for both projects.
In summary, the third quarter was a notable chapter in Arco Vara's journey, marked by significant progress and strategic achievements. The successful bond issuance, continuous construction across multiple projects, and robust sales activity set the stage for future endeavors. The growing momentum in preparations for the Luther Quarter and approval of the Arcojärve spatial plan reinforce the company's position as a key player in the Estonian real estate market, underpinned by thoughtful development and a commitment to sustainable growth.
Key Performance Indicators
KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS
For the first nine months of 2025, Arco Vara achieved sales revenue of EUR 5,624 thousand, which is an increase of EUR 1,537 thousand compared to the same timeframe of 2024. The company recorded an operating profit of EUR 622 thousand and a net profit of EUR 214 thousand, a significant turnaround from the previous year when losses were reported.
In Q3 2025, 25 apartments were sold across development projects, illustrating robust market activity compared to the prior year. Cumulatively, 35 units were sold in the first three quarters of the year, highlighting an uptick in interest and execution corresponding to this positive trend.
As of September 30, 2025, the inventory held 12 completed apartments and 1 commercial unit, down from 37 apartments and 1 commercial unit one year earlier.
Moreover, the company’s total assets have more than doubled year-over-year, a reflection of strategic acquisitions and growth in development projects. The net debt as of the same date rose to EUR 47,407 thousand, primarily driven by the acquisition of the Luther Quarter project.
Arco Vara's weighted average interest rate on interest-bearing liabilities reached 9.09% as of 30 September 2025. This metric underscores the financial strategies adopted in response to market conditions.
Future Outlook for Arco Vara
Arco Vara's future appears promising, as the company pivots its focus on local projects and sustainable growth. Through strategic planning and targeted initiatives, they aim to reinforce their presence in the Estonian real estate sector while enhancing operational efficiency. The outlook for the coming months hinges on continued sales momentum and the successful execution of planned developments.
Frequently Asked Questions
What were the primary highlights of Arco Vara's Q3 report?
The quarter featured a successful public bond offering, steady transaction volumes, and ongoing construction efforts across multiple development projects.
What impacts have high interest rates had on the real estate market?
High interest rates have led to buyer caution and controlled transaction volumes, but improved confidence in economic stability has supported demand.
What developments is Arco Vara focusing on currently?
Current developments include the Rannakalda, Soodi 6, and Spordi projects, with plans for the Luther Quarter moving forward as well.
How many apartments were sold in Q3 2025?
A total of 25 apartments were sold across various development projects during the third quarter.
What is Arco Vara's approach to future growth?
The company aims to enhance operational efficiency and value creation through local project development while shifting away from less strategic markets.
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