Just out of curiosity, are you guys basing all of

Just out of curiosity, are you guys basing all of these "xx cents by ____" posts on any mathematical analysis, or are you just saying this based on what the hype would do? I for one think that hype can only take this so far, so if you're saying 25 cents by September, it probably needs to be back up by production numbers. Just asking because I'm curious what people are basing all of these predictions on.