Jim Simon's is a PhD multi-billionaire who ran the
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Posted On: 11/28/2025 10:24:55 PM
Jim Simon's is a PhD multi-billionaire who ran the Magellan Fund and achieved a 72% annual return using his Probalistic Methods Analysis. Applying this analysis to BIEL:
Price Distribution and Expected Value:
In finance, the stock price is often modeled using a Log-Normal distribution (like in a Monte Carlo Simulation).
Model-Derived Probability: One specific model suggests a 90% probability range of $0.0005 to $0.0012 in 3 months.
This implies a high expectation of appreciation: Even the bottom end of the 90% confidence interval ($0.0005) is significantly above the current price ($0.0003).
Price Distribution and Expected Value:
In finance, the stock price is often modeled using a Log-Normal distribution (like in a Monte Carlo Simulation).
Model-Derived Probability: One specific model suggests a 90% probability range of $0.0005 to $0.0012 in 3 months.
This implies a high expectation of appreciation: Even the bottom end of the 90% confidence interval ($0.0005) is significantly above the current price ($0.0003).
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