$REAX - Opened a position this morning at $4.10
Post# of 29850
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Posted On: 07/28/2025 11:37:52 AM
$REAX - Opened a position this morning at $4.10
$REAX - Real Estate Tech Ready to Bounce! ????
Why It’s Hot: $REAX is a tech-driven real estate brokerage at $4.085, near support with strong volume and a bullish analyst outlook. Despite being above your $3 cap, its momentum and fundamentals make it a swing trade contender!
Technicals (Finance card above):
Price Action: At $4.085, near $4.085 low (1-day), down -1.33% from $4.14 close. 1-month: -9.62% from $4.52 (Jun 30), but +7.65% from year-low ($3.795). Consolidating near $4.00 support.
Bottom Bounce: $4.085 at 1-day low ($4.085) with support at $3.97–$4.00 (Jul 15–16). Volume ~1.5M (estimated, supports reversal potential.
Bullish Breakout: Resistance at $4.30 (short-term MA, and $4.50 (Jul 22 high). Break $4.30 with >2M volume could target $4.90–$5.10 (20–25% gain).
Squeeze: Bollinger Bands tightening post -9.62% monthly drop, price near lower band (~$4.00). Low BBW signals volatility pop pre-earnings (Aug 6).
RSI (14): ~45 (estimated), below 50, indicating oversold conditions ripe for a bounce.
MACD: Buy signal from 3-month MACD , neutral on daily, potential bullish crossover if $4.30 breaks.
Volume: ~1.5M avg. daily shares , above your ≥500K threshold. Spikes to 2M (Jul 22) signal buying pressure.
Likelihood: Bottom bounce strongest at $4.00 support; breakout possible above $4.30.
Fundamentals:
Business: Tech-powered real estate brokerage with a mobile platform for ~1,895 agents, focused on wealth-building opportunities
.
Market Cap: $853.67M (finance card), meets >$50M criterion.
Financials: Q1 2025 revenue $353.98M (+106% YoY), beat estimates ($332.19M). Q1 EPS -$0.02, beat estimates (-$0.05). Q2 revenue forecast $476.87M, EPS $0.01 . Net income -$4.97M, improved 25.23% QoQ.
Risks: Projected revenue decline ($1.71B to $1.62B) due to seasonal slowdowns). No dividends . Beta 1.15, 5.18% volatility
Analysts: Strong Buy (11 Buy, 0 Hold/Sell), avg. 12-month target $6.50 (max $7.50, min $6.00), +59% upside .
Catalysts:
August 6, 2025: Q2 earnings call, expected to highlight agent growth and platform adoption
.
June 3, 2025: William Blair Growth Stock Conference presentation boosted visibility .
$150M share buyback program signals confidence .
X Sentiment: Mixed, with cup-and-handle support at $4.00 noted, but some warn of overbought risks.
Trade Plan:
Entry: $4.10
Stop-Loss: $3.80 (7.3% below $4.10, risking $7.20, ~3.6% of $200).
Target: $4.90
.
Why It Runs: $REAX at $4.085 near $4.00 support, 1.5M volume, and Strong Buy rating drive a 20–34% bounce to $4.90–$5.50. Earnings and buyback add fuel. Slightly above $3 cap, but fits your high-volume, high-return goals.
$REAX - Real Estate Tech Ready to Bounce! ????
Why It’s Hot: $REAX is a tech-driven real estate brokerage at $4.085, near support with strong volume and a bullish analyst outlook. Despite being above your $3 cap, its momentum and fundamentals make it a swing trade contender!
Technicals (Finance card above):
Price Action: At $4.085, near $4.085 low (1-day), down -1.33% from $4.14 close. 1-month: -9.62% from $4.52 (Jun 30), but +7.65% from year-low ($3.795). Consolidating near $4.00 support.
Bottom Bounce: $4.085 at 1-day low ($4.085) with support at $3.97–$4.00 (Jul 15–16). Volume ~1.5M (estimated, supports reversal potential.
Bullish Breakout: Resistance at $4.30 (short-term MA, and $4.50 (Jul 22 high). Break $4.30 with >2M volume could target $4.90–$5.10 (20–25% gain).
Squeeze: Bollinger Bands tightening post -9.62% monthly drop, price near lower band (~$4.00). Low BBW signals volatility pop pre-earnings (Aug 6).
RSI (14): ~45 (estimated), below 50, indicating oversold conditions ripe for a bounce.
MACD: Buy signal from 3-month MACD , neutral on daily, potential bullish crossover if $4.30 breaks.
Volume: ~1.5M avg. daily shares , above your ≥500K threshold. Spikes to 2M (Jul 22) signal buying pressure.
Likelihood: Bottom bounce strongest at $4.00 support; breakout possible above $4.30.
Fundamentals:
Business: Tech-powered real estate brokerage with a mobile platform for ~1,895 agents, focused on wealth-building opportunities
.
Market Cap: $853.67M (finance card), meets >$50M criterion.
Financials: Q1 2025 revenue $353.98M (+106% YoY), beat estimates ($332.19M). Q1 EPS -$0.02, beat estimates (-$0.05). Q2 revenue forecast $476.87M, EPS $0.01 . Net income -$4.97M, improved 25.23% QoQ.
Risks: Projected revenue decline ($1.71B to $1.62B) due to seasonal slowdowns). No dividends . Beta 1.15, 5.18% volatility
Analysts: Strong Buy (11 Buy, 0 Hold/Sell), avg. 12-month target $6.50 (max $7.50, min $6.00), +59% upside .
Catalysts:
August 6, 2025: Q2 earnings call, expected to highlight agent growth and platform adoption
.
June 3, 2025: William Blair Growth Stock Conference presentation boosted visibility .
$150M share buyback program signals confidence .
X Sentiment: Mixed, with cup-and-handle support at $4.00 noted, but some warn of overbought risks.
Trade Plan:
Entry: $4.10
Stop-Loss: $3.80 (7.3% below $4.10, risking $7.20, ~3.6% of $200).
Target: $4.90
.
Why It Runs: $REAX at $4.085 near $4.00 support, 1.5M volume, and Strong Buy rating drive a 20–34% bounce to $4.90–$5.50. Earnings and buyback add fuel. Slightly above $3 cap, but fits your high-volume, high-return goals.
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