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Post# of 123721
For what it's worth, re: Biden's low polling numbers
1982
Reagan's job approval ratings in his first years in office were hurt by the bad economy, and the last years of his administration were marred by the negative fallout from what came to be known as the Iran-Contra affair.
Things got worse for Reagan in 1982. The public's view of the economy remained sour, and the president's ratings during 1982 stayed concomitantly low, in the 40% range, ending the year at 41%. The 1982 midterm elections were not good ones for Reagan and for the GOP. The Republicans lost about 25 seats in the House.
A clear cause for all of this was the economy. Still, Gallup analysts at the time presciently noted that there was some cause for optimism for Reagan ... Indeed, although 1983 began for Reagan with a 35% job approval rating -- the worst of his administration -- things started to look better.
https://news.gallup.com/poll/11887/ronald-rea...eview.aspx
1994
One month before the 1994 midterm elections, President Clinton's job-approval rating has fallen to a new low, and Democratic prospects for keeping control of Congress continue to sink, a new national poll shows.
In a startling finding, most Americans could not name a single thing Mr. Clinton has accomplished so far as president. The most frequently mentioned accomplishment -- health care reform -- actually failed in Congress this year. ...
The survey of 1,513 adults was conducted Oct. 6-9, as Mr. Clinton was ordering U.S. forces into the Persian Gulf to counter Iraqi troop movements and as his Haiti policy was continuing to succeed. But there was no boost for Mr. Clinton's popularity: Only 38 percent said they approved of the way Mr. Clinton is handling his job, while 47 percent expressed disapproval.
That's the lowest approval rating ever for Mr. Clinton, whose previous low in the Times Mirror poll was 39 percent approval in August 1993. The poll has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.
https://www.baltimoresun.com/news/bs-xpm-1994...story.html
It's true that the Republicans and Democrats both suffered mid-term losses in 1982 and 1994 respectively. (But on the other hand, the country hadn't also just gone through an attempted coup and the overturning of Roe v. Wade.)
The fact is that while their approval ratings were very low in their first mid-term years, both Reagan and Clinton were handily re-elected two years later. The point is, Biden's approval rating at this point in his presidency shouldn't necessarily be seen as a harbinger for his 2024 chances.