I like your thinking but assuming the story you portray is right on ...then what happens is arbitrators start moving the price either side if the 50 bucks a share based on what they portend the next step to be ....for example when Bristol bought Celgene the buyout price was either plus or minus 10% the day and weeks following the news based in whether arbitrators thought there may be a better offer or not ....again manipulation by market makers
If you really believe that this is the news going to be announced then you should sell all your current belongings, inuding your house, and buy as much CYDY today as it will be your last chance to see these levels ever again
I, for one of many here , am all in and have been for years and years ...like many I know , and many
we all connected to this company that are all in as well