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Say i conceded that it is true. masking 53% eff

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Post# of 154036
(Total Views: 542)
Posted On: 11/22/2021 5:22:52 PM
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Posted By: Normy
Re: Drano #110882
Say i conceded that it is true.

masking 53% effective
vax 75% effective
distancing 75% effective
contact tracing 80% effective
active HVAC methods 80% effective
double masking 75% effective
super duper sanitizers 90% effective
Leronlimab 95% effective

If i calculate 7b people times the cumulative effect of all the above assumptions applied together the risk gets down to 0.00000165625 which is about 12,000 people in the world assuming infinitely efficient compliance. Do we just kill the last 12,000 that get covid and incinerate them to prevent the virus? (and factor in another few thousand that have to do that that will inherently violate the above assumptions to accomplish the task?) We can only get to the level of control you are proposing by locking everyone individually in separate rooms for a month and shutting down the entire world.

Then what happens again when we miss one person, because thats how it started this time? Is it also possible the virus has animal reservoirs which then makes us mask, vaccinate, distance and contact trace all the animals as well?.

Do you find it more plausible to force the entire world into 7 billion individual cocoons for a month or getting LL approved? They both have long odds at this point, but one is infinitely more probable than the other.

Just simple probability states its impossible to achieve what you desire. I hope you are practicing what you preach, because if so you will have not interacted with others in person at all, because the risk with everything is by definition not zero.


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Yours Truly
Lamont
#1 30.58333 114.26667
#2 39.002744, -77.103470





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