Sorry, can you tell me where I get it wrong. It se
Post# of 148112
So lets take the 81 on the lower end of your range.
30% @Placebo would be 24
that would leave the treatment arm with 57 death, from 262 patients, and a mortality rate of 21,75%.
So that would be a reduction of less than 30%, which would give a higher p-value then 0.05 given the small trial size.