BGR
This vaccine tracker tells us when life will return
BGR
This vaccine tracker tells us when life will return to normal – you won’t like the current estimate,
Bloomberg compiled all available coronavirus vaccination data into one interactive tracker that can be used to predict how long it will take for countries to reach herd immunity.
Herd immunity is reached when enough people in the community have developed protection that the coronavirus can no longer spread easily.
Experts like Dr. Anthony Fauci have said that herd immunity can be reached if 70% to 85% of the population is vaccinated.
The tracker says the world will need almost seven years to reach herd immunity at the current vaccination rate.
When will the coronavirus pandemic end? How long will it be before the world returns to normal? Health experts and politicians often have to address these questions, especially now that several vaccines have been authorized for emergency use, with at least a couple more set to receive emergency authorization soon. There’s no perfect answer to those questions, as several factors can influence the pandemic’s path. Vaccines can prevent deaths, and some of them might reduce the risk of transmission, but they can help beat the pandemic only if a larger number of people get immunized. Herd immunity could be reached if anywhere between 70% to 85% of the population is vaccinated, according to comments made by Dr. Anthony Fauci. The expert also said that the US might beat the pandemic by the end of summer 2021, with life returning to some sense of normalcy by the end of the year.
But the vaccine supply simply cannot meet demand right now, and it will take months to get there. The virus continues to mutate, and there’s at least one strain that reduces the efficacy of vaccines, a phenomenon that could further complicate the return to normal. A few days ago, we heard a more pessimistic estimate that said it would take 4-5 years for life to revert to normal. Bloomberg gathered the vaccination data available from around the world and created a model to predict the end of the pandemic. The current estimate is even worse than the one above.
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