Statistics is an area subject to interpretation an
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Posted On: 11/26/2020 1:08:21 PM
Statistics is an area subject to interpretation and in many case only a snapshot of a moving target. I have been watching the Worldmeters https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ since March/April. When the Covid numbers were small, the death rate of CLOSED cases got up to 14%. It is now (after 43+ million closed cases) down to 3%. Still a tragic number. I emphasized CLOSED because most people would cite the death rate as a percentage of deaths among all Covid cases active and resolved. There are only two outcomes to getting Covid, you either survive or you don’t. Open cases have not been resolved. So why the long prologue?
In Doc’s find https://mises.org/wire/what-covid-vaccine-hype-fails-mention there is mentioned the total participants between Moderna and Pfizer as 73,538, with only a total of 264 resolved (CLOSED) cases. We know that these cases are closed is because they have all contracted Covid. The other 73,274 cases remain unresolved (OPEN) because no data about them has been provided. These unresolved participants can only be added to the resolved database when the drug companies can definitively confirm that they have been exposed to the Covid virus with negative results. So at this point, any efficacy figures would be misleading.
While the efficacy percentage could go up (never to 100%) if all 73,274 unresolved case prove to be negative, it is more likely that the efficacy percentage will decrease. How far, time will tell. I hope the EUA board gets and analyzes the complete data. It is bad enough that people in this country are knowingly ignoring scientific proven precautions, it would be even more tragic to have people abandon those precautions after being inoculated, assuming a false sense of security.
In Doc’s find https://mises.org/wire/what-covid-vaccine-hype-fails-mention there is mentioned the total participants between Moderna and Pfizer as 73,538, with only a total of 264 resolved (CLOSED) cases. We know that these cases are closed is because they have all contracted Covid. The other 73,274 cases remain unresolved (OPEN) because no data about them has been provided. These unresolved participants can only be added to the resolved database when the drug companies can definitively confirm that they have been exposed to the Covid virus with negative results. So at this point, any efficacy figures would be misleading.
While the efficacy percentage could go up (never to 100%) if all 73,274 unresolved case prove to be negative, it is more likely that the efficacy percentage will decrease. How far, time will tell. I hope the EUA board gets and analyzes the complete data. It is bad enough that people in this country are knowingly ignoring scientific proven precautions, it would be even more tragic to have people abandon those precautions after being inoculated, assuming a false sense of security.
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