They say they will have enough vaccine to dose onl
Post# of 72447
(Total Views: 536)
Posted On: 11/09/2020 8:34:21 PM
They say they will have enough vaccine to dose only 15-25 million people. The U.S. population is 330 million.
The vaccine has to be stored and transported at 70 degrees below zero -- that's 70 degrees CELSIUS, That is equal to 94 degrees below zero Farenheit.
And as Mo points out, we don't know what kind of protection it will give in the longer term.
AND -- we are not really sure what they mean by 90% protection, because the only way to know absolutely would be to expose the control group and the vaccine group to the virus, which is obviously unethical.
Do they mean that 90% of the people who got the virus since being dosed (or placebo-ed) were the ones in the placebo group? There were 44,000 in the total study, and 94 cases in the few weeks since the last one was injected. What will this figure be OVER TIME? IF this is what they mean (and we really don't know yet how they got that 90% figure), how many people will get sick over the next 6 months? 94 cases in a few weeks is .002 of 44k. That's way less than the infection rate in the general population right now as measured over the last 8 months.
It's going to be great if these vaccines are effective and safe.
But I want more data -- LOTS more data -- before I start feeling hopeful.
In the meantime, those 100,000+ people PER DAY who are getting infected need treatments NOW.
It was a horrible thing that the BARDA grants for treatments were stopped to focus on vaccines. It's TREATMENTS that will stop the deaths and get the pandemic under control, not vaccines that won't be widely available until the middle of next year -- IF they actually work and are safe.
The vaccine has to be stored and transported at 70 degrees below zero -- that's 70 degrees CELSIUS, That is equal to 94 degrees below zero Farenheit.
And as Mo points out, we don't know what kind of protection it will give in the longer term.
AND -- we are not really sure what they mean by 90% protection, because the only way to know absolutely would be to expose the control group and the vaccine group to the virus, which is obviously unethical.
Do they mean that 90% of the people who got the virus since being dosed (or placebo-ed) were the ones in the placebo group? There were 44,000 in the total study, and 94 cases in the few weeks since the last one was injected. What will this figure be OVER TIME? IF this is what they mean (and we really don't know yet how they got that 90% figure), how many people will get sick over the next 6 months? 94 cases in a few weeks is .002 of 44k. That's way less than the infection rate in the general population right now as measured over the last 8 months.
It's going to be great if these vaccines are effective and safe.
But I want more data -- LOTS more data -- before I start feeling hopeful.
In the meantime, those 100,000+ people PER DAY who are getting infected need treatments NOW.
It was a horrible thing that the BARDA grants for treatments were stopped to focus on vaccines. It's TREATMENTS that will stop the deaths and get the pandemic under control, not vaccines that won't be widely available until the middle of next year -- IF they actually work and are safe.
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