We'll both come back to this article in a few mont
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Posted On: 07/11/2020 10:08:13 AM
Re: energy_wave #41106
We'll both come back to this article in a few months to see how well what you cherry picked from it holds up. Two out of three in the same article predict differently for Trump than your lead claims.
The prediction comes as a number other election models have suggested that Mr Trump will lose to Mr Biden as a result of a number of factors including the ongoing pandemic.
A national election model by Oxford Economics has predicted that Donald Trump will suffer a “historic defeat” in November’s election due to the coronavirus economic recession.
The Oxford model predicted the winner of the popular vote in 16 of the past 18 elections and presented a complete reversal of its prediction before the coronavirus outbreak hit the US.
Another forecast by The Washington Post preliminarily predicted Mr Trump will receive only 24 percent of the electoral college votes, but only on the condition that the economy and the president’s approval rating continues its downward trajectory.
However in Mr Norpoth’s model, not only will the president be re-elected, but he will expand his margin in the electoral college from 304 electoral votes in 2016 to 362 in 2020.
That is simply absurd.
The one thing many predictions seem to agree on is that the election could rest crucially on Mr Trump’s leadership of the US through the coronavirus pandemic and mitigating the public health crisis’s impact on the economy in the upcoming months before November.
Too bad for Trump that the leadership test is not as easy as the one he allegedly aced.
The prediction comes as a number other election models have suggested that Mr Trump will lose to Mr Biden as a result of a number of factors including the ongoing pandemic.
A national election model by Oxford Economics has predicted that Donald Trump will suffer a “historic defeat” in November’s election due to the coronavirus economic recession.
The Oxford model predicted the winner of the popular vote in 16 of the past 18 elections and presented a complete reversal of its prediction before the coronavirus outbreak hit the US.
Another forecast by The Washington Post preliminarily predicted Mr Trump will receive only 24 percent of the electoral college votes, but only on the condition that the economy and the president’s approval rating continues its downward trajectory.
However in Mr Norpoth’s model, not only will the president be re-elected, but he will expand his margin in the electoral college from 304 electoral votes in 2016 to 362 in 2020.
That is simply absurd.
The one thing many predictions seem to agree on is that the election could rest crucially on Mr Trump’s leadership of the US through the coronavirus pandemic and mitigating the public health crisis’s impact on the economy in the upcoming months before November.
Too bad for Trump that the leadership test is not as easy as the one he allegedly aced.
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