THE AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE: Why Trump Will Likely
Post# of 123771
Why Trump Will Likely Lose In November
With an ultimately unimpressive record, he hasn't made the right political calibrations to bolster his support.
MAY 20, 2020|12:01 AM
ROBERT MERRY
Donald Trump captured the presidency in 2016 in part because he perceived, alone among presidential contenders that year, that a chasm had opened up between the country’s arrogant meritocratic elite and vast numbers of citizens who felt the elites had turned on them and were leading the country astray. But another factor was the perception of many voters that Barack Obama’s second term had been a mild failure (following a mild first-term success; hence his 2012 reelection). Incumbent performance in office remains a potent factor in presidential elections.
And that’s why Donald Trump likely will lose the presidency come November. His performance, thoroughly at variance from his blustery rhetoric, will have rendered him, in the eyes of a majority of Americans, ineligible for rehire. His is not the kind of record that normally leads to a two-term presidency or to party retention of the White House when the incumbent is not on the ballot. Viewed from this perspective, Trump looks like a goner.
https://www.theamericanconservative.com/artic...-november/