Too early to have any confidence in the “death r

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Too early to have any confidence in the “death rate” calculations attributed to this virus. The denominator of that calculation could easily be off by 10x or 100x or more as we don’t know how many people are mildly infected.

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Yeah, but the number of dead is misleading also, because 80% of cases have not recovered yet. So that top number is going much higher as well, which is why we will not know until it is over. Maybe isolated cases like the Diamond Princess, where they test everyone, will give us an estimate.