IBDaily. Climate Change Models Got It Wrong, Say

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IBDaily. Climate Change Models Got It Wrong, Say Researchers

Environment: The global warming models, as we have said repeatedly, are hopelessly flawed. Earth is not going to heat up as they have projected. Scientific research out of Norway confirms this.

The United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, maybe the most hysterical organization ever established, has predicted temperatures to rise by 3 degrees Celsius by 2050 if by then, carbon dioxide levels double from their preindustrialized levels of 1750. Such a projection has prompted much hair-pulling and routine public hand-wringing.

But never mind.

The Research Council of Norway plugged in real temperature data from 2000 to 2010 and from its calculations, determined that an increase in temperature due to a doubling of CO2 would be 1.9 degrees Celsius.

That number, of course, is really no more than a midpoint. The researchers say the increase could actually be as high as 2.9 degrees or as little as 1.2.

But even the 2.9-degree increase "is substantially lower than many previous calculations have estimated," the council noted.

"Thus, when the researchers factor in the observations of temperature trends from 2000 to 2010, they significantly reduce the probability of our experiencing the most dramatic climate change forecast up to now."

Project manager Terje Berntsen said the climate's sensitivity to CO2 was likely overestimated due to the inclusion of the 1990s' high temperatures in projections.

Don't assume, though, that the hot '90s were caused by man-made global warming.

Berntsen said, "We are most likely witnessing natural fluctuations in the climate system — changes that can occur over several decades — and which are coming on top of a long-term warming. The natural changes resulted in a rapid global temperature rise in the 1990s, whereas the natural variations between 2000 and 2010 may have resulted in the leveling off we are observing now."

Despite the council's findings, it still supports "implementing substantial climate measures within the next few years."

To do so, though, would be a huge waste of resources.

Predictions of doom have turned out to be nothing more than madness and there is no reason, none, to think that the fate we have allegedly determined for ourselves will ever happen. As we've learned over the last 20 years, there are too many unknowns, too many variables. If there come adverse effects of climate, humanity will adapt as needed, as it has for many millennia.

And nothing ever proposed would have any impact anyway. China and India, growing economies that are going through the "dirty" period that all economies must endure before they mature and get cleaner, are always exempted from the regulations.



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