The confidence interval here is 4%. Voter turnout
Post# of 329
(Total Views: 455)
Posted On: 04/07/2019 3:54:23 PM
The confidence interval here is 4%. Voter turnout is much harder to predict than sentiment, especially with our more complicated system vs just overall sentiment. I have some background in this area.
The qu polling looks fairly solid., randomly dialing cell and landlines. The main issue is a non-voter lying to bias the poll—i.e. for example a illegal immigrant answering poll questions—but they hit the party % matching gallop. Also the questions answer accordingly. I didn't realize there was such a high level of independent... which gives me hope here. From reading here it looks both sides are too far embedded into their view to agree on a solution. Maybe us independents can help in the future
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Republican
26
%
Democrat
30
Independent
37
Other/DK/NA
7
gallop
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us01292...rya62.pdf/
https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2596
American voters trust House Speaker Nancy Pelosi more than President Donald Trump, 49 - 42 percent "on issues that are important to you," according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today. Independent voters trust Pelosi more than President Trump 49 - 36 percent.
There are gender, racial and partisan gaps, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University National Poll finds:
Men are divided as 48 percent trust Trump more and 42 percent trust Pelosi. Women trust Pelosi more 54 - 37 percent;
White voters trust Trump more 52 - 42 percent. Black voters go to Pelosi 82 - 2 percent and Hispanic voters trust her more 62 - 27 percent;
Republicans trust Trump more 88 - 6 percent, as Democrats back Pelosi 91 - 5 percent.
Trump and Republicans in Congress are responsible for the partial government shutdown, 56 percent of voters say, as 34 percent say Democrats are responsible.
American voters trust Democrats in Congress more than President Trump "on the issue of border security" 50 - 41 percent. Independent voters trust Democrats more 50 - 37 percent.
Democrats in Congress have a negative 38 - 57 percent job approval rating, their best grade since a negative 38 - 50 percent approval rating in a July 2, 2009 survey. Republicans in Congress get a negative 30 - 65 percent job approval rating, little changed from recent surveys.
"House Speaker Nancy Pelosi - one; President Donald Trump - zero. The first round of many to come in the heavyweight bout goes the Speaker's way as Trump takes the hit for the shutdown and his party is suffering along with him," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
"Does 38 percent approval translate to reelection problems? Maybe."
Trump gets a negative 38 - 57 percent job approval rating, compared to a negative 41 - 55 percent score January 15.
Trump gets negative grades for handling key issues:
46 percent approve his handling of the economy and 51 percent disapprove;
37 - 58 percent for handling foreign policy;
38 - 59 percent for handling immigration.
The Wall
American voters oppose 55 - 41 percent building a wall along the border with Mexico, compared to 55 - 43 percent opposition January 14.
A wall would not significantly reduce violent crime in the U.S., voters say 64 - 33 percent, and would not significantly decrease the amount of illegal drugs in the U.S., voters say 60 - 37 percent.
Voters support 61 - 33 percent a bill that funds new border security measures, but does not fund a wall along the Mexican border. Republicans oppose this "no wall" idea 62 - 32 percent, but all other party, gender, age and racial groups support it.
Voters disapprove 66 - 31 percent of the president using emergency powers to fund a wall along the border.
American voters also oppose 68 - 26 percent shutting down the government to get funding for a wall.
Shutting down the government for leverage in policy disagreements is "inappropriate," voters say 79 - 16 percent.
"Voters buy in on better border security. But that wall...Bad idea," Malloy said.
"'Don't build it,' voters say, 'and it wouldn't work anyway.'"
Transgender People in the Military
American voters say 70 - 22 percent that transgender people should be allowed to serve in the military. The only listed group opposed to this is Republicans, opposed 50 - 40 percent.
From January 25 - 28, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,004 voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points, including the design effect.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 38% 84% 3% 31% 44% 33% 39% 56%
Disapprove 57 11 93 63 51 62 57 39
DK/NA 5 5 4 5 5 5 4 5
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 26% 34% 41% 47% 52% 43% 47% 2% 23%
Disapprove 69 62 53 50 45 52 48 93 71
DK/NA 5 4 5 3 4 5 4 5 5
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
App Dis DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 38 57 5
Jan 15, 2019 41 55 3
Dec 19, 2018 39 52 8
Nov 20, 2018 41 54 6
Oct 02, 2018 41 53 6
Sep 10, 2018 38 54 8
Aug 14, 2018 41 54 5
Jul 24, 2018 38 58 4
Jul 03, 2018 40 55 4
Jun 20, 2018 43 52 6
See additional trend information at top of page
1a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q1) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve strongly 29% 67% 2% 22% 35% 25% 28% 46%
Approve smwht 9 16 1 9 9 8 11 9
Disapprove smwht 6 5 4 10 5 8 5 7
Disapprove strongly 50 7 90 53 46 54 52 31
DK/NA 5 5 4 6 6 5 4 6
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve strongly 14% 24% 36% 37% 41% 32% 37% 2% 17%
Approve smwht 11 9 6 9 10 10 10 - 6
Disapprove smwht 14 8 3 3 6 6 6 9 8
Disapprove strongly 55 54 49 47 38 46 42 84 63
DK/NA 5 5 6 4 5 5 5 5 5
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
APPROVE...... DISAPPROVE.....
Strngly Smwht Smwht Strngly DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 29 9 6 50 5
Jan 15, 2019 33 8 5 50 4
Dec 19, 2018 31 8 7 46 8
Nov 20, 2018 31 9 6 47 7
Oct 02, 2018 31 10 6 46 7
Sep 10, 2018 27 10 6 48 9
Aug 14, 2018 30 10 6 48 6
Jul 24, 2018 28 10 7 51 5
Jul 03, 2018 30 10 8 47 5
Jun 20, 2018 32 10 5 47 6
See additional trend information at top of page
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 30% 65% 4% 24% 31% 28% 26% 42%
Disapprove 65 27 94 69 65 65 70 50
DK/NA 6 7 3 7 4 7 4 8
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 24% 28% 31% 29% 34% 33% 34% 15% 18%
Disapprove 71 66 62 66 62 59 60 81 73
DK/NA 5 5 6 5 4 8 6 3 9
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
App Dis DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 30 65 6
Jan 15, 2019 29 63 8
Dec 19, 2018 28 63 9
Nov 20, 2018 31 62 7
Jul 25, 2018 27 66 8
Jun 20, 2018 28 66 7
Apr 25, 2018 22 69 8
Mar 21, 2018 25 68 7
Feb 21, 2018 22 72 6
Jan 24, 2018 24 70 6
See additional trend information at top of page
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 38% 7% 77% 32% 34% 41% 42% 26%
Disapprove 57 89 20 63 62 53 55 70
DK/NA 5 4 3 5 4 6 2 3
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 44% 35% 36% 41% 31% 38% 34% 51% 49%
Disapprove 54 58 59 56 67 59 63 41 42
DK/NA 2 7 5 3 2 4 3 8 10
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
App Dis DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 38 57 5
Jan 15, 2019 37 56 7
Dec 19, 2018 32 59 9
Nov 20, 2018 32 57 10
Jul 25, 2018 30 63 7
Jun 20, 2018 26 66 8
Apr 25, 2018 26 66 8
Mar 21, 2018 28 63 9
Feb 21, 2018 28 66 6
Jan 24, 2018 30 63 7
See additional trend information at top of page
4. I am going to mention four phrases and ask you which one best describes how you feel about the way the federal government works. Do you feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Enthusiastic 3% 5% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Satisfied 18 19 14 19 19 17 17 22
Dissatisfied 48 49 45 49 48 47 47 44
Angry 29 21 39 29 28 30 32 27
DK/NA 2 5 1 1 2 2 1 3
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Enthusiastic 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 1% 2%
Satisfied 21 12 18 22 20 19 19 11 15
Dissatisfied 50 56 46 42 45 46 46 64 48
Angry 25 28 32 31 30 30 30 25 32
DK/NA 1 3 1 2 1 3 2 - 3
TREND: I am going to mention four phrases and ask you which one best describes how you feel about the way the federal government works. Do you feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?
Enthus Satis Dissat Angry DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 3 18 48 29 2
Jan 24, 2018 2 19 45 32 1
Aug 31, 2015 2 21 49 27 1
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - the economy?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 46% 90% 9% 43% 50% 43% 45% 64%
Disapprove 51 8 89 54 46 54 53 34
DK/NA 3 2 2 3 4 3 3 3
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 38% 41% 47% 52% 57% 51% 54% 12% 32%
Disapprove 57 56 50 45 41 46 43 83 64
DK/NA 5 2 3 3 2 3 3 5 4
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the economy?
App Dis DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 46 51 3
Jan 15, 2019 49 48 4
Nov 20, 2018 53 42 5
Jul 24, 2018 49 47 5
Jul 03, 2018 50 45 5
Jun 20, 2018 51 45 5
Jun 06, 2018 49 46 5
Apr 10, 2018 47 48 5
Mar 07, 2018 46 49 5
Feb 07, 2018 51 43 7
See additional trend information at top of page
6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - foreign policy?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 37% 81% 3% 30% 43% 32% 37% 56%
Disapprove 58 13 93 63 53 62 58 39
DK/NA 5 5 3 6 5 6 5 5
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 23% 33% 42% 46% 52% 41% 46% 4% 22%
Disapprove 71 62 54 49 44 53 49 88 75
DK/NA 6 5 4 6 4 6 5 8 3
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling foreign policy?
App Dis DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 37 58 5
Jan 15, 2019 40 56 4
Nov 20, 2018 42 53 6
Jul 24, 2018 38 58 4
Jul 03, 2018 43 53 4
Jun 20, 2018 44 53 3
Jun 06, 2018 40 52 7
Apr 10, 2018 39 55 6
Mar 07, 2018 33 61 5
Feb 07, 2018 37 57 6
See additional trend information at top of page
7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - immigration issues?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 38% 84% 3% 32% 43% 35% 40% 56%
Disapprove 59 13 96 65 54 64 59 41
DK/NA 2 2 1 3 3 2 1 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 23% 35% 42% 48% 51% 45% 48% 5% 23%
Disapprove 75 63 55 50 46 54 50 93 74
DK/NA 2 2 3 1 3 1 2 3 4
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling immigration issues?
App Dis DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 38 59 2
Jan 15, 2019 42 56 2
Nov 20, 2018 41 56 4
Jul 03, 2018 39 58 3
Jun 06, 2018 38 58 4
Apr 10, 2018 42 55 3
Feb 07, 2018 39 58 3
Jan 17, 2018 38 60 2
Dec 19, 2017 37 60 3
Nov 14, 2017 39 57 4
See additional trend information at top of page
8. In general, would you like to see Congress do more to stand up against President Trump and his policies, or would you like to see Congress do more to compromise with President Trump and his policies?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Stand up against 49% 10% 88% 51% 43% 55% 50% 35%
Compromise 46 87 9 43 51 42 47 59
NEITHER(VOL) 2 3 2 2 4 1 2 3
DK/NA 2 1 1 4 2 2 1 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Stand up against 57% 52% 48% 47% 38% 48% 43% 73% 62%
Compromise 36 44 49 50 56 50 53 25 33
NEITHER(VOL) 4 3 1 2 5 - 3 2 1
DK/NA 4 - 2 2 1 2 1 - 3
TREND: In general, would you like to see Congress do more to stand up against President Trump and his policies, or would you like to see Congress do more to compromise with President Trump and his policies?
Stand Com-
Up promise NEITHER DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 49 46 2 2
Jan 15, 2019 48 48 2 3
9. Who do you trust more to handle issues that are important to you: President Trump or House Speaker Nancy Pelosi?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Trump 42% 88% 5% 36% 48% 37% 41% 63%
Pelosi 49 6 91 49 42 54 52 31
DK/NA 9 6 4 14 9 9 7 6
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Trump 32% 34% 47% 49% 56% 48% 52% 2% 27%
Pelosi 58 54 45 45 37 46 42 82 62
DK/NA 11 11 8 6 7 6 6 16 11
10. How accepting do you think the U.S. is of transgender people today; very accepting, somewhat accepting, not so accepting, or not accepting at all?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Very accepting 9% 15% 2% 11% 11% 8% 8% 11%
Somewhat accepting 56 62 54 53 56 56 53 57
Not so accepting 23 12 32 23 21 25 28 19
Not accepting at all 8 7 8 8 8 8 9 7
DK/NA 4 5 3 4 4 4 2 6
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Very accepting 6% 11% 8% 11% 12% 7% 9% 8% 9%
Somewhat accepting 58 50 61 53 55 55 55 59 60
Not so accepting 28 26 20 19 21 26 24 25 17
Not accepting at all 5 9 7 10 8 8 8 6 5
DK/NA 3 4 4 6 4 4 4 1 10
TREND: How accepting do you think the U.S. is of transgender people today; very accepting, somewhat accepting, not so accepting, or not accepting at all?
Very Smwht Not so Not acpt
accpt accpt accpt at all DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 9 56 23 8 4
Aug 03, 2017 9 51 27 10 4
Mar 08, 2017 12 51 25 8 4
11. Do you think more acceptance of transgender people would be a good thing for the country, a bad thing for the country, or do you think that it would not make much difference either way?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Good thing 42% 15% 68% 42% 37% 46% 51% 33%
Bad thing 12 30 2 8 12 12 10 22
Not much difference 42 50 28 46 46 38 36 42
DK/NA 4 6 2 4 5 4 4 4
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Good thing 54% 48% 37% 35% 37% 47% 42% 38% 42%
Bad thing 7 12 14 16 14 17 15 8 1
Not much difference 37 37 46 44 45 34 39 51 49
DK/NA 3 4 3 5 5 2 4 3 8
TREND: Do you think more acceptance of transgender people would be a good thing for the country, a bad thing for the country, or do you think that it would not make much difference either way?
Good Bad NotMuch
thing thing diff DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 42 12 42 4
Aug 03, 2017 46 14 39 2
Mar 08, 2017 41 14 42 3
12. Do you think transgender people should be allowed to serve in the military or not?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Allowed 70% 40% 94% 75% 67% 73% 71% 62%
No 22 50 3 16 26 18 21 31
DK/NA 8 10 2 9 7 8 8 7
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Allowed 86% 74% 65% 65% 64% 68% 66% 90% 72%
No 11 20 27 25 29 24 26 8 13
DK/NA 4 6 9 10 7 8 8 2 15
TREND: Do you think transgender people should be allowed to serve in the military or not?
Yes/
Allowed No DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 70 22 8
Aug 03, 2017 68 27 5
13. Overall, do you believe that immigration is good for the country or bad for the country?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Good 75% 60% 90% 79% 80% 72% 82% 66%
Bad 14 25 4 12 11 17 9 21
DK/NA 11 15 5 10 10 12 9 13
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Good 80% 84% 71% 70% 79% 69% 74% 88% 72%
Bad 12 9 16 18 13 18 15 4 15
DK/NA 9 8 14 12 8 14 11 8 14
TREND: Overall, do you believe that immigration is good for the country or bad for the country?
Good Bad DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 75 14 11
Jan 14, 2019 73 16 12
14. Who do you trust more on the issue of border security: President Trump or the Democrats in Congress?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
President Trump 41% 87% 4% 37% 47% 36% 41% 59%
Dems in Congress 50 8 91 50 43 56 52 35
DK/NA 9 6 5 13 10 8 7 6
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
President Trump 29% 36% 45% 51% 54% 46% 50% 9% 21%
Dems in Congress 64 52 46 44 39 48 44 75 66
DK/NA 8 12 8 5 7 6 6 16 13
TREND: Who do you trust more on the issue of border security: President Trump or the Democrats in Congress?
Pres DemsIn
Trump Congrs DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 41 50 9
Jan 14, 2019 44 49 7
15. Do you support or oppose building a wall along the border with Mexico?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Support 41% 85% 7% 36% 46% 37% 42% 56%
Oppose 55 12 91 59 50 59 56 40
DK/NA 4 3 2 6 4 4 2 4
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Support 23% 40% 46% 50% 52% 46% 49% 16% 26%
Oppose 73 56 50 47 45 51 48 76 70
DK/NA 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 8 4
TREND: Do you support or oppose building a wall along the border with Mexico?
Sup Opp DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 41 55 4
Jan 14, 2019 43 55 2
Dec 18, 2018 43 54 3
Aug 15, 2018 38 58 4
Jun 18, 2018 39 58 4
Apr 11, 2018 40 57 3
Feb 06, 2018 37 59 4
Jan 11, 2018 34 63 3
Dec 13, 2017 36 62 2
Sep 28, 2017 37 60 3
See additional trend information at top of page
16. Would you support or oppose a bill that funded new border security measures, but did not fund a wall along the border with Mexico?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Support 61% 32% 84% 66% 59% 63% 67% 47%
Oppose 33 62 12 29 36 31 28 49
DK/NA 5 6 3 5 5 6 5 4
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Support 67% 62% 60% 61% 53% 60% 57% 83% 70%
Oppose 27 32 37 34 43 34 38 14 22
DK/NA 6 6 3 5 4 6 5 3 8
TREND: Would you support or oppose a bill that funded new border security measures, but did not fund a wall along the border with Mexico?
Sup Opp DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 61 33 5
Jan 14, 2019 61 32 8
17. Would you approve or disapprove of President Trump using emergency executive powers to fund a wall along the border with Mexico without the approval of Congress?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 31% 66% 4% 26% 34% 28% 29% 44%
Disapprove 66 29 96 73 63 69 69 52
DK/NA 3 5 1 2 3 3 1 4
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 16% 26% 37% 39% 41% 33% 37% 8% 18%
Disapprove 82 71 59 60 57 64 61 89 80
DK/NA 2 3 4 1 2 3 3 3 3
TREND: Would you approve or disapprove of President Trump using emergency executive powers to fund a wall along the border with Mexico without the approval of Congress?
App Dis DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 31 66 3
Jan 14, 2019 32 65 3
18. Do you think that a wall along the border with Mexico would significantly decrease violent crime in the United States, or don't you think so?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Decrease crime 33% 71% 5% 28% 36% 31% 31% 48%
No 64 23 94 70 61 66 66 47
DK/NA 3 6 1 2 3 3 3 5
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Decrease crime 16% 30% 36% 44% 42% 38% 39% 7% 22%
No 79 66 62 54 55 59 57 93 75
DK/NA 5 4 3 2 3 4 4 - 3
19. Do you think that a wall along the border with Mexico would significantly decrease the amount of illegal drugs in the United States, or don't you think so?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Decrease drugs 37% 75% 5% 33% 41% 34% 38% 48%
No 60 22 91 65 57 62 60 49
DK/NA 3 3 4 2 2 4 2 3
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Decrease drugs 23% 35% 43% 41% 45% 41% 43% 13% 29%
No 74 64 54 54 54 55 55 83 67
DK/NA 3 1 3 4 1 4 3 4 5
20. As you may know, the government partially shut down over differences about federal government funding for a wall along the border with Mexico. Who do you think is responsible for this shut down: President Trump and the Republicans in Congress, or the Democrats in Congress?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Trump/Reps in Congrs 56% 13% 93% 59% 52% 60% 58% 42%
Dems in Congress 34 74 3 29 37 32 32 46
DK/NA 10 14 3 12 11 9 10 12
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Trump/Reps in Congrs 67% 58% 55% 51% 48% 52% 50% 86% 62%
Dems in Congress 26 30 36 40 41 37 39 7 30
DK/NA 7 12 10 9 11 11 11 6 8
TREND: As you may know, the government partially shut down over differences about federal government funding for a wall along the border with Mexico. Who do you think is responsible for this shut down: President Trump and the Republicans in Congress, or the Democrats in Congress?
Trump/ DemsIn
Reps Congrs DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 56 34 10
Jan 14, 2019 56 36 8
21. Do you support or oppose shutting down the government to make sure that the wall along the border with Mexico receives funding?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Support 26% 61% 1% 20% 31% 22% 24% 37%
Oppose 68 30 96 73 62 72 71 55
DK/NA 6 9 3 7 6 6 4 7
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Support 17% 26% 28% 28% 36% 26% 31% 3% 17%
Oppose 80 67 66 65 59 68 63 88 77
DK/NA 4 6 6 6 5 6 6 9 6
NOTE: Percentages based on all registered voters. Question was asked of those who support the wall in Q15. Those who oppose the wall in Q15 were coded as oppose.
TREND: Do you support or oppose shutting down the government to make sure that the wall along the border with Mexico receives funding?
Sup Opp DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 26 68 6
Jan 14, 2019 32 63 5
22. Has the partial government shutdown had a negative impact on you personally, or not?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Negative impact 18% 10% 23% 20% 16% 20% 18% 13%
No 81 89 76 80 84 80 81 86
DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 - - 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Negative impact 19% 20% 18% 15% 14% 18% 16% 18% 15%
No 80 79 81 85 85 82 83 82 84
DK/NA - 1 1 1 1 - 1 - 2
23. How concerned are you about the impact of the government shut down on the nation's economy: very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Very concerned 42% 15% 66% 42% 33% 50% 39% 34%
Smwht concerned 36 41 31 39 37 36 38 40
Not so concerned 12 23 2 10 14 10 14 12
Not concerned at all 9 19 1 9 15 4 9 13
DK/NA 1 2 - 1 1 1 - 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Very concerned 36% 46% 41% 47% 28% 45% 37% 58% 49%
Smwht concerned 43 36 36 32 39 38 39 34 38
Not so concerned 14 12 11 8 14 11 13 7 8
Not concerned at all 6 7 11 12 18 4 11 1 3
DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 2
24. In general, do you think it is appropriate for government shut downs to be used as leverage in policy disagreements, or do you think it is inappropriate?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Appropriate 16% 30% 2% 15% 18% 15% 16% 19%
Inappropriate 79 59 96 81 76 81 82 72
DK/NA 5 10 2 3 6 4 2 8
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Appropriate 13% 15% 15% 18% 20% 16% 18% 3% 16%
Inappropriate 80 82 82 76 75 79 77 93 81
DK/NA 7 4 3 6 6 5 5 4 3
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The qu polling looks fairly solid., randomly dialing cell and landlines. The main issue is a non-voter lying to bias the poll—i.e. for example a illegal immigrant answering poll questions—but they hit the party % matching gallop. Also the questions answer accordingly. I didn't realize there was such a high level of independent... which gives me hope here. From reading here it looks both sides are too far embedded into their view to agree on a solution. Maybe us independents can help in the future
PARTY IDENTIFICATION
Republican
26
%
Democrat
30
Independent
37
Other/DK/NA
7
gallop
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us01292...rya62.pdf/
https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2596
American voters trust House Speaker Nancy Pelosi more than President Donald Trump, 49 - 42 percent "on issues that are important to you," according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today. Independent voters trust Pelosi more than President Trump 49 - 36 percent.
There are gender, racial and partisan gaps, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe- ack) University National Poll finds:
Men are divided as 48 percent trust Trump more and 42 percent trust Pelosi. Women trust Pelosi more 54 - 37 percent;
White voters trust Trump more 52 - 42 percent. Black voters go to Pelosi 82 - 2 percent and Hispanic voters trust her more 62 - 27 percent;
Republicans trust Trump more 88 - 6 percent, as Democrats back Pelosi 91 - 5 percent.
Trump and Republicans in Congress are responsible for the partial government shutdown, 56 percent of voters say, as 34 percent say Democrats are responsible.
American voters trust Democrats in Congress more than President Trump "on the issue of border security" 50 - 41 percent. Independent voters trust Democrats more 50 - 37 percent.
Democrats in Congress have a negative 38 - 57 percent job approval rating, their best grade since a negative 38 - 50 percent approval rating in a July 2, 2009 survey. Republicans in Congress get a negative 30 - 65 percent job approval rating, little changed from recent surveys.
"House Speaker Nancy Pelosi - one; President Donald Trump - zero. The first round of many to come in the heavyweight bout goes the Speaker's way as Trump takes the hit for the shutdown and his party is suffering along with him," said Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
"Does 38 percent approval translate to reelection problems? Maybe."
Trump gets a negative 38 - 57 percent job approval rating, compared to a negative 41 - 55 percent score January 15.
Trump gets negative grades for handling key issues:
46 percent approve his handling of the economy and 51 percent disapprove;
37 - 58 percent for handling foreign policy;
38 - 59 percent for handling immigration.
The Wall
American voters oppose 55 - 41 percent building a wall along the border with Mexico, compared to 55 - 43 percent opposition January 14.
A wall would not significantly reduce violent crime in the U.S., voters say 64 - 33 percent, and would not significantly decrease the amount of illegal drugs in the U.S., voters say 60 - 37 percent.
Voters support 61 - 33 percent a bill that funds new border security measures, but does not fund a wall along the Mexican border. Republicans oppose this "no wall" idea 62 - 32 percent, but all other party, gender, age and racial groups support it.
Voters disapprove 66 - 31 percent of the president using emergency powers to fund a wall along the border.
American voters also oppose 68 - 26 percent shutting down the government to get funding for a wall.
Shutting down the government for leverage in policy disagreements is "inappropriate," voters say 79 - 16 percent.
"Voters buy in on better border security. But that wall...Bad idea," Malloy said.
"'Don't build it,' voters say, 'and it wouldn't work anyway.'"
Transgender People in the Military
American voters say 70 - 22 percent that transgender people should be allowed to serve in the military. The only listed group opposed to this is Republicans, opposed 50 - 40 percent.
From January 25 - 28, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,004 voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 3.7 percentage points, including the design effect.
The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts gold standard surveys using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones. The Quinnipiac University Poll conducts nationwide surveys and polls in more than a dozen states on national and statewide elections, as well as public policy issues.
Visit poll.qu.edu or www.facebook.com/quinnipiacpoll
Call (203) 582-5201, or follow us on Twitter @QuinnipiacPoll.
1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 38% 84% 3% 31% 44% 33% 39% 56%
Disapprove 57 11 93 63 51 62 57 39
DK/NA 5 5 4 5 5 5 4 5
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 26% 34% 41% 47% 52% 43% 47% 2% 23%
Disapprove 69 62 53 50 45 52 48 93 71
DK/NA 5 4 5 3 4 5 4 5 5
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
App Dis DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 38 57 5
Jan 15, 2019 41 55 3
Dec 19, 2018 39 52 8
Nov 20, 2018 41 54 6
Oct 02, 2018 41 53 6
Sep 10, 2018 38 54 8
Aug 14, 2018 41 54 5
Jul 24, 2018 38 58 4
Jul 03, 2018 40 55 4
Jun 20, 2018 43 52 6
See additional trend information at top of page
1a. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove q1) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve strongly 29% 67% 2% 22% 35% 25% 28% 46%
Approve smwht 9 16 1 9 9 8 11 9
Disapprove smwht 6 5 4 10 5 8 5 7
Disapprove strongly 50 7 90 53 46 54 52 31
DK/NA 5 5 4 6 6 5 4 6
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve strongly 14% 24% 36% 37% 41% 32% 37% 2% 17%
Approve smwht 11 9 6 9 10 10 10 - 6
Disapprove smwht 14 8 3 3 6 6 6 9 8
Disapprove strongly 55 54 49 47 38 46 42 84 63
DK/NA 5 5 6 4 5 5 5 5 5
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president? COMBINED WITH: (If approve/disapprove) Do you strongly or somewhat approve/disapprove?
APPROVE...... DISAPPROVE.....
Strngly Smwht Smwht Strngly DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 29 9 6 50 5
Jan 15, 2019 33 8 5 50 4
Dec 19, 2018 31 8 7 46 8
Nov 20, 2018 31 9 6 47 7
Oct 02, 2018 31 10 6 46 7
Sep 10, 2018 27 10 6 48 9
Aug 14, 2018 30 10 6 48 6
Jul 24, 2018 28 10 7 51 5
Jul 03, 2018 30 10 8 47 5
Jun 20, 2018 32 10 5 47 6
See additional trend information at top of page
2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 30% 65% 4% 24% 31% 28% 26% 42%
Disapprove 65 27 94 69 65 65 70 50
DK/NA 6 7 3 7 4 7 4 8
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 24% 28% 31% 29% 34% 33% 34% 15% 18%
Disapprove 71 66 62 66 62 59 60 81 73
DK/NA 5 5 6 5 4 8 6 3 9
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republicans in Congress are handling their job?
App Dis DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 30 65 6
Jan 15, 2019 29 63 8
Dec 19, 2018 28 63 9
Nov 20, 2018 31 62 7
Jul 25, 2018 27 66 8
Jun 20, 2018 28 66 7
Apr 25, 2018 22 69 8
Mar 21, 2018 25 68 7
Feb 21, 2018 22 72 6
Jan 24, 2018 24 70 6
See additional trend information at top of page
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 38% 7% 77% 32% 34% 41% 42% 26%
Disapprove 57 89 20 63 62 53 55 70
DK/NA 5 4 3 5 4 6 2 3
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 44% 35% 36% 41% 31% 38% 34% 51% 49%
Disapprove 54 58 59 56 67 59 63 41 42
DK/NA 2 7 5 3 2 4 3 8 10
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democrats in Congress are handling their job?
App Dis DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 38 57 5
Jan 15, 2019 37 56 7
Dec 19, 2018 32 59 9
Nov 20, 2018 32 57 10
Jul 25, 2018 30 63 7
Jun 20, 2018 26 66 8
Apr 25, 2018 26 66 8
Mar 21, 2018 28 63 9
Feb 21, 2018 28 66 6
Jan 24, 2018 30 63 7
See additional trend information at top of page
4. I am going to mention four phrases and ask you which one best describes how you feel about the way the federal government works. Do you feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Enthusiastic 3% 5% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Satisfied 18 19 14 19 19 17 17 22
Dissatisfied 48 49 45 49 48 47 47 44
Angry 29 21 39 29 28 30 32 27
DK/NA 2 5 1 1 2 2 1 3
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Enthusiastic 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 1% 2%
Satisfied 21 12 18 22 20 19 19 11 15
Dissatisfied 50 56 46 42 45 46 46 64 48
Angry 25 28 32 31 30 30 30 25 32
DK/NA 1 3 1 2 1 3 2 - 3
TREND: I am going to mention four phrases and ask you which one best describes how you feel about the way the federal government works. Do you feel enthusiastic, satisfied but not enthusiastic, dissatisfied but not angry, or angry?
Enthus Satis Dissat Angry DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 3 18 48 29 2
Jan 24, 2018 2 19 45 32 1
Aug 31, 2015 2 21 49 27 1
5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - the economy?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 46% 90% 9% 43% 50% 43% 45% 64%
Disapprove 51 8 89 54 46 54 53 34
DK/NA 3 2 2 3 4 3 3 3
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 38% 41% 47% 52% 57% 51% 54% 12% 32%
Disapprove 57 56 50 45 41 46 43 83 64
DK/NA 5 2 3 3 2 3 3 5 4
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling the economy?
App Dis DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 46 51 3
Jan 15, 2019 49 48 4
Nov 20, 2018 53 42 5
Jul 24, 2018 49 47 5
Jul 03, 2018 50 45 5
Jun 20, 2018 51 45 5
Jun 06, 2018 49 46 5
Apr 10, 2018 47 48 5
Mar 07, 2018 46 49 5
Feb 07, 2018 51 43 7
See additional trend information at top of page
6. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - foreign policy?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 37% 81% 3% 30% 43% 32% 37% 56%
Disapprove 58 13 93 63 53 62 58 39
DK/NA 5 5 3 6 5 6 5 5
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 23% 33% 42% 46% 52% 41% 46% 4% 22%
Disapprove 71 62 54 49 44 53 49 88 75
DK/NA 6 5 4 6 4 6 5 8 3
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling foreign policy?
App Dis DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 37 58 5
Jan 15, 2019 40 56 4
Nov 20, 2018 42 53 6
Jul 24, 2018 38 58 4
Jul 03, 2018 43 53 4
Jun 20, 2018 44 53 3
Jun 06, 2018 40 52 7
Apr 10, 2018 39 55 6
Mar 07, 2018 33 61 5
Feb 07, 2018 37 57 6
See additional trend information at top of page
7. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling - immigration issues?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 38% 84% 3% 32% 43% 35% 40% 56%
Disapprove 59 13 96 65 54 64 59 41
DK/NA 2 2 1 3 3 2 1 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 23% 35% 42% 48% 51% 45% 48% 5% 23%
Disapprove 75 63 55 50 46 54 50 93 74
DK/NA 2 2 3 1 3 1 2 3 4
TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling immigration issues?
App Dis DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 38 59 2
Jan 15, 2019 42 56 2
Nov 20, 2018 41 56 4
Jul 03, 2018 39 58 3
Jun 06, 2018 38 58 4
Apr 10, 2018 42 55 3
Feb 07, 2018 39 58 3
Jan 17, 2018 38 60 2
Dec 19, 2017 37 60 3
Nov 14, 2017 39 57 4
See additional trend information at top of page
8. In general, would you like to see Congress do more to stand up against President Trump and his policies, or would you like to see Congress do more to compromise with President Trump and his policies?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Stand up against 49% 10% 88% 51% 43% 55% 50% 35%
Compromise 46 87 9 43 51 42 47 59
NEITHER(VOL) 2 3 2 2 4 1 2 3
DK/NA 2 1 1 4 2 2 1 2
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Stand up against 57% 52% 48% 47% 38% 48% 43% 73% 62%
Compromise 36 44 49 50 56 50 53 25 33
NEITHER(VOL) 4 3 1 2 5 - 3 2 1
DK/NA 4 - 2 2 1 2 1 - 3
TREND: In general, would you like to see Congress do more to stand up against President Trump and his policies, or would you like to see Congress do more to compromise with President Trump and his policies?
Stand Com-
Up promise NEITHER DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 49 46 2 2
Jan 15, 2019 48 48 2 3
9. Who do you trust more to handle issues that are important to you: President Trump or House Speaker Nancy Pelosi?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Trump 42% 88% 5% 36% 48% 37% 41% 63%
Pelosi 49 6 91 49 42 54 52 31
DK/NA 9 6 4 14 9 9 7 6
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Trump 32% 34% 47% 49% 56% 48% 52% 2% 27%
Pelosi 58 54 45 45 37 46 42 82 62
DK/NA 11 11 8 6 7 6 6 16 11
10. How accepting do you think the U.S. is of transgender people today; very accepting, somewhat accepting, not so accepting, or not accepting at all?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Very accepting 9% 15% 2% 11% 11% 8% 8% 11%
Somewhat accepting 56 62 54 53 56 56 53 57
Not so accepting 23 12 32 23 21 25 28 19
Not accepting at all 8 7 8 8 8 8 9 7
DK/NA 4 5 3 4 4 4 2 6
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Very accepting 6% 11% 8% 11% 12% 7% 9% 8% 9%
Somewhat accepting 58 50 61 53 55 55 55 59 60
Not so accepting 28 26 20 19 21 26 24 25 17
Not accepting at all 5 9 7 10 8 8 8 6 5
DK/NA 3 4 4 6 4 4 4 1 10
TREND: How accepting do you think the U.S. is of transgender people today; very accepting, somewhat accepting, not so accepting, or not accepting at all?
Very Smwht Not so Not acpt
accpt accpt accpt at all DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 9 56 23 8 4
Aug 03, 2017 9 51 27 10 4
Mar 08, 2017 12 51 25 8 4
11. Do you think more acceptance of transgender people would be a good thing for the country, a bad thing for the country, or do you think that it would not make much difference either way?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Good thing 42% 15% 68% 42% 37% 46% 51% 33%
Bad thing 12 30 2 8 12 12 10 22
Not much difference 42 50 28 46 46 38 36 42
DK/NA 4 6 2 4 5 4 4 4
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Good thing 54% 48% 37% 35% 37% 47% 42% 38% 42%
Bad thing 7 12 14 16 14 17 15 8 1
Not much difference 37 37 46 44 45 34 39 51 49
DK/NA 3 4 3 5 5 2 4 3 8
TREND: Do you think more acceptance of transgender people would be a good thing for the country, a bad thing for the country, or do you think that it would not make much difference either way?
Good Bad NotMuch
thing thing diff DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 42 12 42 4
Aug 03, 2017 46 14 39 2
Mar 08, 2017 41 14 42 3
12. Do you think transgender people should be allowed to serve in the military or not?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Allowed 70% 40% 94% 75% 67% 73% 71% 62%
No 22 50 3 16 26 18 21 31
DK/NA 8 10 2 9 7 8 8 7
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Allowed 86% 74% 65% 65% 64% 68% 66% 90% 72%
No 11 20 27 25 29 24 26 8 13
DK/NA 4 6 9 10 7 8 8 2 15
TREND: Do you think transgender people should be allowed to serve in the military or not?
Yes/
Allowed No DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 70 22 8
Aug 03, 2017 68 27 5
13. Overall, do you believe that immigration is good for the country or bad for the country?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Good 75% 60% 90% 79% 80% 72% 82% 66%
Bad 14 25 4 12 11 17 9 21
DK/NA 11 15 5 10 10 12 9 13
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Good 80% 84% 71% 70% 79% 69% 74% 88% 72%
Bad 12 9 16 18 13 18 15 4 15
DK/NA 9 8 14 12 8 14 11 8 14
TREND: Overall, do you believe that immigration is good for the country or bad for the country?
Good Bad DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 75 14 11
Jan 14, 2019 73 16 12
14. Who do you trust more on the issue of border security: President Trump or the Democrats in Congress?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
President Trump 41% 87% 4% 37% 47% 36% 41% 59%
Dems in Congress 50 8 91 50 43 56 52 35
DK/NA 9 6 5 13 10 8 7 6
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
President Trump 29% 36% 45% 51% 54% 46% 50% 9% 21%
Dems in Congress 64 52 46 44 39 48 44 75 66
DK/NA 8 12 8 5 7 6 6 16 13
TREND: Who do you trust more on the issue of border security: President Trump or the Democrats in Congress?
Pres DemsIn
Trump Congrs DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 41 50 9
Jan 14, 2019 44 49 7
15. Do you support or oppose building a wall along the border with Mexico?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Support 41% 85% 7% 36% 46% 37% 42% 56%
Oppose 55 12 91 59 50 59 56 40
DK/NA 4 3 2 6 4 4 2 4
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Support 23% 40% 46% 50% 52% 46% 49% 16% 26%
Oppose 73 56 50 47 45 51 48 76 70
DK/NA 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 8 4
TREND: Do you support or oppose building a wall along the border with Mexico?
Sup Opp DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 41 55 4
Jan 14, 2019 43 55 2
Dec 18, 2018 43 54 3
Aug 15, 2018 38 58 4
Jun 18, 2018 39 58 4
Apr 11, 2018 40 57 3
Feb 06, 2018 37 59 4
Jan 11, 2018 34 63 3
Dec 13, 2017 36 62 2
Sep 28, 2017 37 60 3
See additional trend information at top of page
16. Would you support or oppose a bill that funded new border security measures, but did not fund a wall along the border with Mexico?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Support 61% 32% 84% 66% 59% 63% 67% 47%
Oppose 33 62 12 29 36 31 28 49
DK/NA 5 6 3 5 5 6 5 4
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Support 67% 62% 60% 61% 53% 60% 57% 83% 70%
Oppose 27 32 37 34 43 34 38 14 22
DK/NA 6 6 3 5 4 6 5 3 8
TREND: Would you support or oppose a bill that funded new border security measures, but did not fund a wall along the border with Mexico?
Sup Opp DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 61 33 5
Jan 14, 2019 61 32 8
17. Would you approve or disapprove of President Trump using emergency executive powers to fund a wall along the border with Mexico without the approval of Congress?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Approve 31% 66% 4% 26% 34% 28% 29% 44%
Disapprove 66 29 96 73 63 69 69 52
DK/NA 3 5 1 2 3 3 1 4
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Approve 16% 26% 37% 39% 41% 33% 37% 8% 18%
Disapprove 82 71 59 60 57 64 61 89 80
DK/NA 2 3 4 1 2 3 3 3 3
TREND: Would you approve or disapprove of President Trump using emergency executive powers to fund a wall along the border with Mexico without the approval of Congress?
App Dis DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 31 66 3
Jan 14, 2019 32 65 3
18. Do you think that a wall along the border with Mexico would significantly decrease violent crime in the United States, or don't you think so?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Decrease crime 33% 71% 5% 28% 36% 31% 31% 48%
No 64 23 94 70 61 66 66 47
DK/NA 3 6 1 2 3 3 3 5
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Decrease crime 16% 30% 36% 44% 42% 38% 39% 7% 22%
No 79 66 62 54 55 59 57 93 75
DK/NA 5 4 3 2 3 4 4 - 3
19. Do you think that a wall along the border with Mexico would significantly decrease the amount of illegal drugs in the United States, or don't you think so?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Decrease drugs 37% 75% 5% 33% 41% 34% 38% 48%
No 60 22 91 65 57 62 60 49
DK/NA 3 3 4 2 2 4 2 3
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Decrease drugs 23% 35% 43% 41% 45% 41% 43% 13% 29%
No 74 64 54 54 54 55 55 83 67
DK/NA 3 1 3 4 1 4 3 4 5
20. As you may know, the government partially shut down over differences about federal government funding for a wall along the border with Mexico. Who do you think is responsible for this shut down: President Trump and the Republicans in Congress, or the Democrats in Congress?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Trump/Reps in Congrs 56% 13% 93% 59% 52% 60% 58% 42%
Dems in Congress 34 74 3 29 37 32 32 46
DK/NA 10 14 3 12 11 9 10 12
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Trump/Reps in Congrs 67% 58% 55% 51% 48% 52% 50% 86% 62%
Dems in Congress 26 30 36 40 41 37 39 7 30
DK/NA 7 12 10 9 11 11 11 6 8
TREND: As you may know, the government partially shut down over differences about federal government funding for a wall along the border with Mexico. Who do you think is responsible for this shut down: President Trump and the Republicans in Congress, or the Democrats in Congress?
Trump/ DemsIn
Reps Congrs DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 56 34 10
Jan 14, 2019 56 36 8
21. Do you support or oppose shutting down the government to make sure that the wall along the border with Mexico receives funding?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Support 26% 61% 1% 20% 31% 22% 24% 37%
Oppose 68 30 96 73 62 72 71 55
DK/NA 6 9 3 7 6 6 4 7
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Support 17% 26% 28% 28% 36% 26% 31% 3% 17%
Oppose 80 67 66 65 59 68 63 88 77
DK/NA 4 6 6 6 5 6 6 9 6
NOTE: Percentages based on all registered voters. Question was asked of those who support the wall in Q15. Those who oppose the wall in Q15 were coded as oppose.
TREND: Do you support or oppose shutting down the government to make sure that the wall along the border with Mexico receives funding?
Sup Opp DK/NA
Jan 29, 2019 26 68 6
Jan 14, 2019 32 63 5
22. Has the partial government shutdown had a negative impact on you personally, or not?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Yes/Negative impact 18% 10% 23% 20% 16% 20% 18% 13%
No 81 89 76 80 84 80 81 86
DK/NA 1 1 1 - 1 - - 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Yes/Negative impact 19% 20% 18% 15% 14% 18% 16% 18% 15%
No 80 79 81 85 85 82 83 82 84
DK/NA - 1 1 1 1 - 1 - 2
23. How concerned are you about the impact of the government shut down on the nation's economy: very concerned, somewhat concerned, not so concerned, or not concerned at all?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Very concerned 42% 15% 66% 42% 33% 50% 39% 34%
Smwht concerned 36 41 31 39 37 36 38 40
Not so concerned 12 23 2 10 14 10 14 12
Not concerned at all 9 19 1 9 15 4 9 13
DK/NA 1 2 - 1 1 1 - 1
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Very concerned 36% 46% 41% 47% 28% 45% 37% 58% 49%
Smwht concerned 43 36 36 32 39 38 39 34 38
Not so concerned 14 12 11 8 14 11 13 7 8
Not concerned at all 6 7 11 12 18 4 11 1 3
DK/NA 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 - 2
24. In general, do you think it is appropriate for government shut downs to be used as leverage in policy disagreements, or do you think it is inappropriate?
WHITE......
COLLEGE DEG
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Yes No
Appropriate 16% 30% 2% 15% 18% 15% 16% 19%
Inappropriate 79 59 96 81 76 81 82 72
DK/NA 5 10 2 3 6 4 2 8
AGE IN YRS.............. WHITE.....
18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Men Wom Wht Blk Hsp
Appropriate 13% 15% 15% 18% 20% 16% 18% 3% 16%
Inappropriate 80 82 82 76 75 79 77 93 81
DK/NA 7 4 3 6 6 5 5 4 3
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