You factor in the pros and cons and percentages an
Post# of 11802
If DECN wins, the acquiring company most likely has gained a certain percentage beyond their accepted offer. If DECN loses, the selling company (DECN) has added to it's lowest expectations by the "bonus" the bidding company offered, expecting the win.
I would not factor into your equation (your bet) any type of shareholder bonus from a proposed J&J settlement. Small companies do not do these things (at least I have never known a small company to give shareholders a cash bonus for being a shareholder). I know grasshopper that you are new to this set of circumstances, and if you have been made to believe this cash dividend nonsense, you have been done a grave disservice.
Shareholders, IMO, will be rewarded by a higher stock price, or a higher take-out price.