Alan, a thought exercise, let me know if this seem
Post# of 72440
Now, because volume is never a consistent 10 shares every single day, the short percentage varies. However, naked shorts, or MM wash trades, etc. could be covered and re-placed every day without ever violating the 3 day rule or ever growing a substantial naked short position. All resulting in a long-term average being 50% to break even assuming the float is consistent. For example, three 60% 100k volume days could be recovered with one 40% 300k volume day to maintain a consistent short position. Perhaps a reason the average is below 50% in IPIX's case is because the float is decreasing as investors accumulate.
Anyways, given the above thoughts (which may be totally bogus), one could begin to track a daily volume and percentage, perform some regression analysis, and perhaps determine if a total active short position was waxing or waning? Info used to know when to buy and sell a manipulated security.
It's late, math is starting to hurt, haha, goodnight