$PGNX $VRX with Progenics Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ
Post# of 2218
Preliminary results showed this development will boost sales of relistor, which is marketed and distributed by partner Valeant Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ: VRX) in the quarters ahead.
Third quarter gross sales of relistor went from $15.9 million to $22.1 million in the third quarter and should be even higher in the fourth quarter of 2016 when a full three months of sales of oral relistor are reflected in quarterly numbers.
This growth will also accelerate the timeline of when the company is expected to receive up to $200 million in sales milestones connected to relistor. I expect the company to receive the first $10 million of these milestones in the fourth quarter of 2017 and perhaps even in the third quarter, which will be a positive achievement.
In addition, Valeant is in talks to sell its gastrointestinal assets to Takeda for some $10 billion. If this happens, that would remove the “Valeant” overhang on Progenics. Given the need to pay down Valeant’s $30 billion debt load,
I believe this transaction might occur in the next quarter or two. Finally, Azedra is making good progress in trials and should be on the market late in 2017. This compound is wholly owned by Progenics, could deliver $300 million in peak sales according to at least one analyst and will produce a nice second income stream.
I would not be surprised if the company signs a collaboration deal to market and distribute this compound at some point over the next year.
I also would not be shocked if Progenics becomes a buyout target if Valeant is successful in selling the rights to relistor as well. Either way, I still see further upside for the stock in 2017.
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Positions: Long CARA, EXEL, OMER, PETX, PGNX