Here is my conservative look at the numbers. I am
Post# of 3333
Variable 1 - They are limited right now to 30k bottles per month (great if they are able to pump out more)
Variable 2 - Cost per bottle (I have seen prices above and below the suggested $19.99 and just rounded lower to $19)
Variable 3 - Net profit ratio of .186 (Hard to get this since they have direct sales, distributors and internet sales)
Variable 4 - Price to Earning ratio (P/E). I used 22 since this is fairly conservative for a growth company. If things REALLY explode, this number goes up (as well as the stock price). Double the P/E to 44 and now the stock PPS would be at .40. This number is hard to predict with the growing company.
** 30,000 Cases Per Month x 6 Bottle Per Case = 180,000 Bottles
* 180,000 Bottles Per Month x $19 Per Bottle = $3,420,000 Revenues Per Month
** $3,420,000 Revenues Per Month x 12 Months = $41,040,000 Revenues Per Year
** $41,040,000 Revenues Per Year x .186 Net Profit Margin = $7,633,440 Net Income
Formula to use to derive the Earnings Per Share (EPS)…
Net Income ÷ Outstanding Shares (OS) = EPS
$7,633,440 Net Income ÷ 814,790,609 shares = .0093 EPS
Formula to use to derive the ICNB Share Price Valuation…
EPS x P/E Ratio = ICNB Share Price Valuation
.0093 EPS x 22 P/E Ratio = .20 ICNB Share Price Valuation
My 2 cents on a conservative ICNB evaluation for for 2017.