$EXSFF..DRILLING AT KIDD!! With far more certaint
Post# of 154
Kitco News, Jim Wyckoff, Jan23, 2017, The world marketplace is still anticipating moves from the new Trump administration on this first full week of his U.S. presidency. Trump has promised fast action on many fronts and that has traders and investors still a bit apprehensive, which is bullish for safe-haven GOLD.
The U.S. dollar index is weaker to start the new trading week. There are some early technical clues that the dollar index has put in a market top. Prices have been trending lower for three weeks.
Seeking Alpha, Andrew Hecht, Jan23, 2017, GOLD is a barometer for fear and uncertainty on the global landscape. The dollar is the benchmark pricing mechanism for GOLD and there is an inverse relationship between the currency and the precious metal. We have seen lots of volatility in the dollar over recent weeks and it is likely that the price path of GOLD has been a result, at least in part, of that volatility.
Speaking to the US markets, I really liked this comment,
Pawoto Investments. Jan23, 2017
To be fair, I'm probably suffering from "confirmation bias" - i.e. looking for arguments to confirm my thinking - but the contrarian in me can't justify current market levels. To quote Mark Twain, "Whenever you find yourself on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect." The bottom line? Risk is skewed to the downside because the market has fully priced in the good news it expects under Trump. There is an old saying on Wall Street, "Buy the rumor, Sell the news". More recently, the saying has morphed into "Buy the election, Sell the inauguration", that will prove to be the trade of 2017.