First thing: Monster recently had a 3-for-1 stock
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Posted On: 01/18/2017 4:40:57 PM
First thing: Monster recently had a 3-for-1 stock split. The price was around $145, so that's the benchmark we should be looking at. (I don't know about prior splits.)
Given the China activity, and assuming we don't find ourselves in a trade war with China (which strikes me as the biggest current risk for this stock), I believe a $1-$5 PPS is plausible in a year's time. That's 20x-$100x growth--not shabby! After that, it is truly anybody's guess. Someone once said there is no thing as a scenario; there are only scenarios (plural). A trajectory like Monster's is the most optimistic of multiple plausible scenarios. There's no way to say what the odds are for these scenarios. It's too early in the game and there are too many variables.
My not especially reliable intuition tells me it's reasonable to expect a $5-$10 PPS share within 2-3 years. Anything beyond that would be great, and the stock may get there, but I'm not planning on it.
When you're gambling, it's always good to know what you're playing for. One thing we can safely say at this point: RMBH has a very big potential upside. It's a lot more fun playing for a 2000x return, which is basically what we're looking at here ($100 = 2000 x $.05), than for a 10x return, right? Especially since, whether or not it comes to pass, it's clearly not pie in the sky.
Given the China activity, and assuming we don't find ourselves in a trade war with China (which strikes me as the biggest current risk for this stock), I believe a $1-$5 PPS is plausible in a year's time. That's 20x-$100x growth--not shabby! After that, it is truly anybody's guess. Someone once said there is no thing as a scenario; there are only scenarios (plural). A trajectory like Monster's is the most optimistic of multiple plausible scenarios. There's no way to say what the odds are for these scenarios. It's too early in the game and there are too many variables.
My not especially reliable intuition tells me it's reasonable to expect a $5-$10 PPS share within 2-3 years. Anything beyond that would be great, and the stock may get there, but I'm not planning on it.
When you're gambling, it's always good to know what you're playing for. One thing we can safely say at this point: RMBH has a very big potential upside. It's a lot more fun playing for a 2000x return, which is basically what we're looking at here ($100 = 2000 x $.05), than for a 10x return, right? Especially since, whether or not it comes to pass, it's clearly not pie in the sky.
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