you have made a really bold statement without refe

you have made a really bold statement without references or support

I would posit that the failure rate you site adds apples and oranges together and proves nothing.

drugs are unique. The failure of one proves NOTHING about whether another is likely to fail.

If I drop 100 stones in a seine and they fail to pass thru that tells me nothing about whether

I might be successful with a grain of sand.