Investors Hangout Stock Message Boards Logo
  • Mailbox
  • Favorites
  • Boards
    • The Hangout
    • NASDAQ
    • NYSE
    • OTC Markets
    • All Boards
  • Whats Hot!
    • Recent Activity
    • Most Viewed Boards
    • Most Viewed Posts
    • Most Posted
    • Most Followed
    • Top Boards
    • Newest Boards
    • Newest Members
  • Blog
    • Recent Blog Posts
    • Recently Updated
    • News
    • Stocks
    • Crypto
    • Investing
    • Business
    • Markets
    • Economy
    • Real Estate
    • Personal Finance
  • Market Movers
  • Interactive Charts
  • Login - Join Now FREE!
  1. Home ›
  2. Stock Message Boards ›
  3. User Boards ›
  4. Political Debate Board Message Board

You'd better HOPE for an actual diagnosis, otherwi

Message Board Public Reply | Private Reply | Keep | Replies (1)                   Post New Msg
Edit Msg () | Previous | Next


Post# of 65629
Posted On: 10/05/2016 6:58:53 PM
Posted By: Bhawks
Re: INSTATRADER #21477
You'd better HOPE for an actual diagnosis, otherwise the election results are pretty much ..... 'baked in'.

Quote:
b]FiveThirtyEight Has Some Really Bad News for Trump and the GOP[/b]

Who will win the presidency? FiveThirtyEight has a pretty good idea.

According to statistical wizard, Hillary has a 75% chance of winning the Presidency, vs. Trump who only gets 25%.

FiveThirtyEight says that Clinton will likely win with 93 more electoral votes than Trump, and by 5% more of the popular vote. Interestingly enough, Johnson will come in with 7.2% of the popular vote, up from 7.1% the last time the site took a look at the numbers.



While this puts Johnson in a no-win situation, finishing above 7% qualifies the Libertarian party for federal campaign funding in 2020, which will go far into bringing this third party more into the spotlight, should those who fled the GOP and Democrat party continue their political journey as independents.

It should be noted that Nate Silver, and FiveThirtyEight have a pretty good track record in terms of predicting how races will go. That's not to say that they border on precognitive.

They get things wrong sometimes, and gladly admit when they do. Still, FiveThirtyEight isn't exactly known for missing their mark.

And in this case, if Silver is correct, then Trump's campaign is a proverbial dead man walking.




(1)
(0)








Investors Hangout

Home

Mailbox

Message Boards

Favorites

Whats Hot

Blog

Settings

Privacy Policy

Terms and Conditions

Disclaimer

Contact Us

Whats Hot

Recent Activity

Most Viewed Boards

Most Viewed Posts

Most Posted Boards

Most Followed

Top Boards

Newest Boards

Newest Members

Investors Hangout Message Boards

Welcome To Investors Hangout

Stock Message Boards

American Stock Exchange (AMEX)

NASDAQ Stock Exchange (NASDAQ)

New York Stock Exchange (NYSE)

Penny Stocks - (OTC)

User Boards

The Hangout

Private

Global Markets

Australian Securities Exchange (ASX)

Euronext Amsterdam (AMS)

Euronext Brussels (BRU)

Euronext Lisbon (LIS)

Euronext Paris (PAR)

Foreign Exchange (FOREX)

Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX)

London Stock Exchange (LSE)

Milan Stock Exchange (MLSE)

New Zealand Exchange (NZX)

Singapore Stock Exchange (SGX)

Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX)

Contact Investors Hangout

Email Us

Follow Investors Hangout

Twitter

YouTube

Facebook

Market Data powered by QuoteMedia. Copyright © 2025. Data delayed 15 minutes unless otherwise indicated (view delay times for all exchanges).
Analyst Ratings & Earnings by Zacks. RT=Real-Time, EOD=End of Day, PD=Previous Day. Terms of Use.

© 2025 Copyright Investors Hangout, LLC All Rights Reserved.

Privacy Policy |Do Not Sell My Information | Terms & Conditions | Disclaimer | Help | Contact Us