easton > Mike Buck • 2 hours ago lol...on
Post# of 65629
Posted On: 09/24/2016 12:03:05 AM
Quote:
easton > Mike Buck • 2 hours ago
lol...only a Trumpanzee brags that hey, Trump won't be destroyed as badly as Romney was. MORON, Democrats don't need Iowa. Right now she is at 272 and strongly there, anything above that is GRAVY.
As to the LATEST polls, look to the right hand side. General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein
McClatchy/Marist
Clinton 45, Trump 39, Johnson 10, Stein 4
Clinton +6
General Election: Trump vs. Clinton
McClatchy/Marist
Clinton 48, Trump 41
Clinton +7
Yeah, this hours old poll is so OLD.
Trump has never lead in polling averages EVER. And for the record Obama over performed his polling averages as well.
Final Results
51.1
47.2 Obama +3.9RCP Average
11/21 - 11/5----48.8
48.1Obama +0.7
Do you see this? Polling averages had Obama winning by only .7%, he won by 3.9%, he over performed polls by 3.2% and do you what to know why? They did not POLL enough young people who use cell phones far more.
Do you want to know what Hillary's average is NOW?
RCP Average9/8 - 9/21----46.243.2Clinton +3.0
Obama did 3.2% better than his polling averages in 2012. Hillary is 3% above NOW, meaning if that held for her, she would win by 6.2%
Do you see why I am not exactly sweating here?
She is overperforming national polls compared to Obama in 2012, if she wins by 3% then she wins. PERIOD.
Trump has NEVER led in polling averages. NEVER.
The reasons why polling has tightened is because polls have switched from registered to likely voters, but they made the same kind of mistake in 2012.
As to Iowa, only 27% of Iowa voters hold a college degree, a low share among swing states. Mr. Trump’s best numbers are among this demographic.
You are getting all excited about 6 electoral votes is pretty funny.
Meanwhile Hillary is poised for an upset in North Carolina because the Republican governor is polling so badly and North Carolina is turning blue.
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