Why the PGUS pps is rising sharply Q: Why do we
Post# of 597
Q: Why do we have a sharp start on the second leg for the continuation of the price correction?
A: Supply vs Demand - PGUS is still greatly undervalued, the free float is shrinking, and the great majority of what is left is being bought and held tight.
Share Structure and Ownership...
- A/S = 1.5B
- O/S = 348M
- Restricted = 102M
- CEO = 16M
- Free Float = 230M
- CEO & Control Shareholders assumed debt and subscribed to preferred shares to inject funds, totalling ~$1M investment in February.
- CEO is accumulating shares, buying up the float, purchased ~16M shares on open market so far in 2016 - free float is shrinking.
- Free Float is being held tight and getting tighter: Many long investors holding strong positions, many new long investors starting and building strong positions.
- A/S reduction of 550M shares from 1.5B to 950M expected - Announced in PR on Aug 16: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/progreen-pla...16-9173131
Funding Growth & Operations...
- High quality PIPE financing to fund Baja and other projects - $5M equity line agreement: requires S-1 registration/effect... which requires high-quality OTCQB listing status... which requires $0.01 bid test (30 calendar days continuous - started Aug 12) among other OTC Markets current info updates (such as updated company profile & certification)
- Assets being monetized in Michigan
- First 300-acre land tract in Baja up for sale, several (6 or 7) suitors (offered at a discount to true value in favor of near-term turnover to recover investment + 50% of profit, rather than ~6-month delay for receiving certain certifications; e.g. organic farming)
Current Business & Valuation...
- PGUS is fully reporting (SEC) with audited financials
- ZERO toxic debt
- ProGreen has gained control of large tracts of land in Baja California
- Joint Venture agreements, Contel
- Strategic business entity, ProCon with 51% majority gives ProGreen control and balance sheet assets
- Baja business agreements provide for return of all capital invested by ProGreen prior to the 50-50 distribution of profits from sales and/or leasing
- Valuation based on real estate sector PE ratio = >> $0.31 per share (this is over 17x the current pps of 0.0174):
- conservative valuation (by INSTATRADER, dividing by 2) is 0.156 per share, which is still 9x the current pps of 0.0174
- considers only the ~1/3 of land estimated for agricultural leasing, of the land currently under ProGreen's control
- remaining ~2/3 of land being considered for residential/commercial development, which could yield much higher $/acre for sale or lease
- does not include the potential for additional land (where the CEO noted that there are "...several further opportunities for much more land in the area, both for agriculture use as well as for potential real estate developments."
- does not include the potential in the Ensenada area (where the CEO noted "I feel there are great possibilities for developments in this area directed to the US expat market."
- does not include any new projects (e.g. Michigan, Oklahoma construction or refurbishments with solar)
- does not include future potential for representation/distribution of SolTech patented solar products)
Long investors are looking forward to these important milestone events:
- OTCQB listing upgrade : Sept 10 marks day 30 of 30 calendar days meeting $0.01 EOD bid test
- S-1 Registration filing : This can come at any time, minimum 20 days before it can be made effective, so we want to see this ASAP
- S-1 Effect : when made effective, company can begin to access funding to accelerate operations: Baja projects plus new projects being contemplated in the U.S. (e.g. Michigan or Oklahoma projects involving new construction or refurbishing to energy-efficient with solar power / solar tiles, etc.)
All investors and traders are looking forward to these additional events:
- Update to OTC Markets Company Profile info: progress toward OTCQB listing upgrade
- Posting of OTCQB Initial Certification to OTC Markets website
- More Form 4's ?
- Quarterly Report (10-Q) due out by Sept 15 for period ending July 31 (as late as Sept 30 if NT for late filing) - balance sheet will show results from Subsequent Events to the recently filed audited Annual Report (10-K): elimination of toxic debt & interest, significant added receivables, sales of Michigan properties
- Sale of first 300-acre land tract: investment to be fully recovered upon sale plus additional 50% return on investment anticipated: ~$450K can be reinvested into operations.
- Sales of more Michigan properties
- Filing for A/S reduction
- Updates on activities in Baja
- Possible surprises regarding additional land agreements, Ensenada opportunities, Michigan projects, etc.