A Cup & Handle pattern may have formed (be forming
Post# of 1023
See image below
Link if you cant see image
http://i.imgur.com/EJhGMfR.png
I could be wrong, but what do you think? Is this a cup and handle pattern?
Most requirements are met:
To be a Cup & Handle..
1. To qualify as a continuation pattern, a prior trend should exist.
Ideally, the trend should be a few months old and not too mature. The more mature the trend, the less chance that the pattern marks a continuation or the less upside potential.
My thought:
Check! The trend prior to the first yellow bar was a downward trend.
2. Cup: The cup should be “U” shaped and resemble a bowl or rounding bottom. A “V” shaped bottom would be considered too sharp of a reversal to qualify. The softer “U” shape ensures that the cup is a consolidation pattern with valid support at the bottom of the “U”. The perfect pattern would have equal highs on both sides of the cup, but this is not always the case.
My thought:
Check! The cup is not 'V' shape, and has equal prices on both sides of the cup (yellow highlights) at .008
3. Handle: After the high forms on the right side of the cup, there is a pullback that forms the handle. Sometimes this handle resembles a flag or pennant that slopes downward, other times it is just a short pullback . The handle represents the final consolidation/pullback before the big breakout and can retrace up to 1/3 of the cup's advance, but usually not more. The smaller the retracement, the more bullish the formation and significant the breakout. Sometimes it is prudent to wait for a break above the resistance line established by the highs of the cup.
My thought:
Check. This would be a very short handle, although the requirement says the smaller the retracement the better. If this is the case, .008 would be the breakout. Although I see .01 as being closer to any breakout.
4. Duration: The cup can extend from 1 to 6 months, sometimes longer on weekly charts. The handle can be from 1 week to many weeks and ideally completes within 1-4 weeks.
My thought:
Check! The cup is about 4 months wide
5. Volume: There should be a substantial increase in volume on the breakout above the handle's resistance.
My thought:
We have to wait. If this is a cup & handle, volume would have to begin to increase dramatically.
6. Target: The projected advance after breakout can be estimated by measuring the distance from the right peak of the cup to the bottom of the cup.
My thought:
We'd have to wait. If this is a cup & handle, we'd move up to around .012 cents on the run before the chart resets for the next advance.
I'm not worried if this isn't a cup & handle pattern. This post is more out of interest than trying to figure where we're going pricewise.
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