See your problem is Last election broke
Post# of 65628
Last election broke down 51% to 45%...
Republican 45% bases goes nowhere once they have a candidate is picked
Trump still took 24% comes from the Democratic 51%
24-30% Third party send it to the House 37% gives you control of the Deal...
as 96% - 24% = 72% / 2 or 36%
Trump only needs bleed about 6.5% from either side in a 3rd party run.