7-10 Yr Trsy Ishares (IEF) 108.11 $IEF
Fed Lift-Off: Making Mountains Out Of Molehills
Brian Romanchuk - Seeking Alpha - Mon Mar 30, 8:24AM CDT
With the U.S. policy rate locked at zero and no Quantitative Easing in sight, reporters and commentators on the monetary policy beat have to dig really deep into the barrel in order to find content. Some of the latest kerfuffles around...
IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), PST: 23.50 (unch), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06)
Reading The Federal Reserve's Tea Leaves/Dot Plots
Brad DeLong - Seeking Alpha - Mon Mar 30, 1:38AM CDT
It is always instructive to look at the materials that the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee pumps out, especially their semi-anonymized (hi, Charlie Evans, with your 3% longer-run value) estimates of what the appropriate federal funds...
IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), PST: 23.50 (unch), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06)
Near-Term Dollar Conviction Went MIA
Marc Chandler - at Seeking Alpha - Sat Mar 28, 2:39PM CDT
The US dollar fell against most of the major and emerging market currencies in the past week. The price action has been choppy, and many participants lack near-term conviction. Month, quarter, and for many, fiscal-year end considerations also inject...
SPY: 208.25 (+2.51), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), DIG: 51.53 (+2.01), FXA: 76.52 (-1.16), OIL: 10.27 (+0.02), FXB: 145.21 (-0.83), FXY: 80.92 (-0.67), FXC: 78.36 (-0.51), FXE: 106.32 (-0.84), FXF: 100.56 (-1.00), UDN: 21.57 (-0.17), UUP: 25.86 (+0.20)
Fed Statistical Elephant Tracks?
The Nattering Naybob - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Mar 27, 7:36AM CDT
HYG: 90.72 (+0.25), RWL: 41.71 (+0.57), SFLA: 159.00 (unch), SH: 21.27 (-0.27), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), UUPT: 29.72 (-0.06), SPUU: 144.18 (+3.58), IVV: 209.62 (+2.52), UUP: 25.86 (+0.20), SPLX: 31.76 (+0.67), SPXU: 35.07 (-1.33), JNK: 39.23 (+0.09), VOO: 190.88 (+2.35), UPRO: 137.02 (+4.88), EPS: 72.10 (+1.06), QQQ: 106.73 (+1.21), SDS: 20.96 (-0.53), LQD: 121.49 (+0.21), CORP: 104.29 (+0.10), DIA: 179.39 (+2.58), SPXL: 90.80 (+3.24), IWM: 124.77 (+1.67)
Long-end Treasury yields surge higher
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Mar 26, 2:06PM CDT
TLH: 138.34 (-0.22), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), DLBL: 76.53 (-0.18), TLO: 75.06 (-0.36), UBT: 85.99 (-0.73), TLT: 130.41 (-0.65), TBT: 42.07 (+0.39), DLBS: 19.68 (+0.42), ZROZ: 126.54 (-0.63), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), TTT: 36.03 (+0.48), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), TYBS: 21.84 (+0.16), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), PST: 23.50 (unch), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), UST: 57.77 (unch), TENZ: 87.22 (+0.21), EDV: 129.38 (-0.77), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), TMV: 26.87 (+0.35), LBND: 59.58 (-0.80), SBND: 4.30 (+0.04), TBF: 24.03 (+0.12), VGLT: 80.17 (-0.25), TMF: 94.34 (-1.32)
Managing Expectations Down
James Picerno - Seeking Alpha - Thu Mar 26, 6:39AM CDT
This week's initial peek at the March economic profile for the U.S. via Markit's survey data for manufacturing delivered upbeat news, which takes some of the edge off for expecting trouble. Later today, we'll see the equivalent for the services...
IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), PST: 23.50 (unch), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06)
What Will End The 34-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Bull Market?
Charles Hugh Smith - Seeking Alpha - Thu Mar 26, 5:10AM CDT
I see #1 and #4 as the most likely triggers of a rise in Treasury yields. U.S. Treasury bonds (10-year and 30-year) topped out above 15% in late 1981, and have traced a sawtooth pattern down ever since. The 10-year bond now yields 1.92% and the...
IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), PST: 23.50 (unch), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06)
Distinguishing Curves
Joseph Calhoun - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Mar 25, 4:17AM CDT
By Jeffrey P. Snider While the more interesting action has shifted to funding markets , the treasury curve remains at least relevant to the analysis of all those ebbs and flows. For the most part, the yield curve in UST has found itself stuck in a...
IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), PST: 23.50 (unch), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06)
Why A 'Rate Hike Tantrum' Will Not Kill Bond ETFs In 2015
Gary Gordon - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Mar 24, 5:51PM CDT
The 10-year Treasury note is the most recognizable, and most important, debt instrument in the world's financial system. It is vital to foreign jurisdictions, banks and investors as a way to gain exposure to the U.S. dollar, as well as interest...
TLH: 138.34 (-0.22), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), EDV: 129.38 (-0.77), VYM: 68.58 (+0.86), USMV: 41.55 (+0.45), TLT: 130.41 (-0.65), XLV: 73.78 (+0.74)
Interest Rates Have Bottomed
Owen Williams, CFA - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Mar 24, 7:43AM CDT
TLH: 138.34 (-0.22), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), BUNT: 53.09 (+0.04), GGOV: 35.63 (unch), TLT: 130.41 (-0.65), GOVT: 25.49 (-0.03), BUNL: 28.00 (unch)
The Dollar's Near-Term Vulnerability Is An Opportunity For Medium And Long Term Investors
Marc Chandler - at Seeking Alpha - Sat Mar 21, 11:55AM CDT
The market staged a dramatic reversal of the near-term trends in response to the Federal Reserve meeting. In a masterstroke, Yellen dropped the word patience from the Fed's forward guidance and avoided delivering a hawkish signal. The equity...
SPY: 208.25 (+2.51), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), DIG: 51.53 (+2.01), FXA: 76.52 (-1.16), OIL: 10.27 (+0.02), FXB: 145.21 (-0.83), FXY: 80.92 (-0.67), FXC: 78.36 (-0.51), FXE: 106.32 (-0.84), FXF: 100.56 (-1.00), UDN: 21.57 (-0.17), UUP: 25.86 (+0.20)
The Yield Curve And Economic Activity, Again
Econbrowser - Seeking Alpha - Fri Mar 20, 4:10AM CDT
Editor's note: This article was originally published on March 19, 2015 by Menzie Chinn here . The New York Times has an article in The Upshot today, which shows the yield curve over time in a nifty map. They also show the topography for...
TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), SCHO: 50.71 (+0.01), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06), IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), PST: 23.50 (unch), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTUS: 32.98 (-0.30), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), TUZ: 51.01 (+0.03), SHY: 84.81 (-0.01), BIL: 45.71 (-0.01), SST: 30.28 (+0.01), VGSH: 61.09 (+0.02), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
The Fed Loses Patience... Sort Of
James Picerno - Seeking Alpha - Thu Mar 19, 9:11AM CDT
The Federal Reserve removed the word "patient" from its new policy statement yesterday, signaling that the central bank is inching closer to raising interest rates. But in an attempt to walk a thin line with managing expectations, Fed...
IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), PST: 23.50 (unch), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06)
Day's biggest news: Fed sharply cuts "normal" unemployment rate
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Mar 18, 2:09PM CDT
TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), FLAT: 61.12 (+0.01), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), SCHO: 50.71 (+0.01), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06), IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), PST: 23.50 (unch), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTUS: 32.98 (-0.30), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), STPP: 34.50 (+0.75), TUZ: 51.01 (+0.03), SHY: 84.81 (-0.01), BIL: 45.71 (-0.01), SST: 30.28 (+0.01), VGSH: 61.09 (+0.02), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
Tuttle Tactical Debuts ETF Industry with U.S. Core ETF (TUTT) - ETF News And Commentary
Zacks Equity Research - Zacks Investment Research - Sun Mar 15, 1:12PM CDT
Tuttle Tactical has made its debut in the U.S. ETF market with a “fund of funds” that removes emotional decision making by following a rules-based approach to market exposure.
DWAT: 10.76 (+0.19), FPX: 54.16 (+0.50), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), TUTT: 24.31 (+0.30), SPXL: 90.80 (+3.24), SDOG: 37.37 (+0.34), GTAA: 25.54 (+0.18)
Dollar Momentum Takes A Life On Of Its Own
Marc Chandler - at Seeking Alpha - Sat Mar 14, 11:26PM CDT
The dollar's advance accelerated since the end of February. The momentum has surprised everyone. Pullbacks continue to be shallow. The move appears to have taken a life of its own. Consider last week, as the euro slumped more than 3%, sterling more...
USO: 17.23 (+0.09), SPY: 208.25 (+2.51), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), DIG: 51.53 (+2.01), FXA: 76.52 (-1.16), OIL: 10.27 (+0.02), FXB: 145.21 (-0.83), FXY: 80.92 (-0.67), FXC: 78.36 (-0.51), FXE: 106.32 (-0.84), UUP: 25.86 (+0.20)
Bank Hoarding In The Mainstream
Joseph Calhoun - Seeking Alpha - Sat Mar 14, 7:59AM CDT
By Jeffrey P. Snider The issue of bank hoarding has become nearly mainstream as the size of the move into UST is now too large to ignore. It wasn't so much an issue last year, apparently, as there was less to suggest taking very pessimistic...
DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), PST: 23.50 (unch), TLO: 75.06 (-0.36), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TLT: 130.41 (-0.65), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), TAPR: 29.62 (-0.15), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), PLW: 33.49 (-0.05), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06), GOVT: 25.49 (-0.03)
February Liquid Alternatives Report
Brian Haskin - Seeking Alpha - Fri Mar 13, 5:21AM CDT
February is in the books, and while it ended with a significant decline in volatility as investors shifted to risk assets, we have already seen that trend reverse in early March with the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) climbing from a low of 12.94 on...
DJP: 28.07 (-0.02), SPY: 208.25 (+2.51), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01)
How To Beat The Market Using Tactical Asset Rotation
Matt Erickson - Seeking Alpha - Thu Mar 12, 2:29PM CDT
One of the most rapidly growing segments in the investment industry over the past few years has been in the "tactical managed ETF portfolio" space. So much so, that in September of 2011 Morningstar announced plans to track and rank ETF...
EEM: 40.22 (+0.76), SPY: 208.25 (+2.51), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), MDY: 278.20 (+3.91), EFA: 65.18 (+0.04), TLT: 130.41 (-0.65)
Fed Lift-Off: Making Mountains Out Of Molehills
Brian Romanchuk - Seeking Alpha - Mon Mar 30, 8:24AM CDT
With the U.S. policy rate locked at zero and no Quantitative Easing in sight, reporters and commentators on the monetary policy beat have to dig really deep into the barrel in order to find content. Some of the latest kerfuffles around...
IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), PST: 23.50 (unch), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06)
Reading The Federal Reserve's Tea Leaves/Dot Plots
Brad DeLong - Seeking Alpha - Mon Mar 30, 1:38AM CDT
It is always instructive to look at the materials that the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee pumps out, especially their semi-anonymized (hi, Charlie Evans, with your 3% longer-run value) estimates of what the appropriate federal funds...
IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), PST: 23.50 (unch), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06)
Near-Term Dollar Conviction Went MIA
Marc Chandler - at Seeking Alpha - Sat Mar 28, 2:39PM CDT
The US dollar fell against most of the major and emerging market currencies in the past week. The price action has been choppy, and many participants lack near-term conviction. Month, quarter, and for many, fiscal-year end considerations also inject...
SPY: 208.25 (+2.51), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), DIG: 51.53 (+2.01), FXA: 76.52 (-1.16), OIL: 10.27 (+0.02), FXB: 145.21 (-0.83), FXY: 80.92 (-0.67), FXC: 78.36 (-0.51), FXE: 106.32 (-0.84), FXF: 100.56 (-1.00), UDN: 21.57 (-0.17), UUP: 25.86 (+0.20)
Fed Statistical Elephant Tracks?
The Nattering Naybob - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Mar 27, 7:36AM CDT
HYG: 90.72 (+0.25), RWL: 41.71 (+0.57), SFLA: 159.00 (unch), SH: 21.27 (-0.27), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), UUPT: 29.72 (-0.06), SPUU: 144.18 (+3.58), IVV: 209.62 (+2.52), UUP: 25.86 (+0.20), SPLX: 31.76 (+0.67), SPXU: 35.07 (-1.33), JNK: 39.23 (+0.09), VOO: 190.88 (+2.35), UPRO: 137.02 (+4.88), EPS: 72.10 (+1.06), QQQ: 106.73 (+1.21), SDS: 20.96 (-0.53), LQD: 121.49 (+0.21), CORP: 104.29 (+0.10), DIA: 179.39 (+2.58), SPXL: 90.80 (+3.24), IWM: 124.77 (+1.67)
Long-end Treasury yields surge higher
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Mar 26, 2:06PM CDT
TLH: 138.34 (-0.22), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), DLBL: 76.53 (-0.18), TLO: 75.06 (-0.36), UBT: 85.99 (-0.73), TLT: 130.41 (-0.65), TBT: 42.07 (+0.39), DLBS: 19.68 (+0.42), ZROZ: 126.54 (-0.63), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), TTT: 36.03 (+0.48), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), TYBS: 21.84 (+0.16), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), PST: 23.50 (unch), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), UST: 57.77 (unch), TENZ: 87.22 (+0.21), EDV: 129.38 (-0.77), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), TMV: 26.87 (+0.35), LBND: 59.58 (-0.80), SBND: 4.30 (+0.04), TBF: 24.03 (+0.12), VGLT: 80.17 (-0.25), TMF: 94.34 (-1.32)
Managing Expectations Down
James Picerno - Seeking Alpha - Thu Mar 26, 6:39AM CDT
This week's initial peek at the March economic profile for the U.S. via Markit's survey data for manufacturing delivered upbeat news, which takes some of the edge off for expecting trouble. Later today, we'll see the equivalent for the services...
IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), PST: 23.50 (unch), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06)
What Will End The 34-Year U.S. Treasury Bond Bull Market?
Charles Hugh Smith - Seeking Alpha - Thu Mar 26, 5:10AM CDT
I see #1 and #4 as the most likely triggers of a rise in Treasury yields. U.S. Treasury bonds (10-year and 30-year) topped out above 15% in late 1981, and have traced a sawtooth pattern down ever since. The 10-year bond now yields 1.92% and the...
IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), PST: 23.50 (unch), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06)
Distinguishing Curves
Joseph Calhoun - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Mar 25, 4:17AM CDT
By Jeffrey P. Snider While the more interesting action has shifted to funding markets , the treasury curve remains at least relevant to the analysis of all those ebbs and flows. For the most part, the yield curve in UST has found itself stuck in a...
IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), PST: 23.50 (unch), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06)
Why A 'Rate Hike Tantrum' Will Not Kill Bond ETFs In 2015
Gary Gordon - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Mar 24, 5:51PM CDT
The 10-year Treasury note is the most recognizable, and most important, debt instrument in the world's financial system. It is vital to foreign jurisdictions, banks and investors as a way to gain exposure to the U.S. dollar, as well as interest...
TLH: 138.34 (-0.22), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), EDV: 129.38 (-0.77), VYM: 68.58 (+0.86), USMV: 41.55 (+0.45), TLT: 130.41 (-0.65), XLV: 73.78 (+0.74)
Interest Rates Have Bottomed
Owen Williams, CFA - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Mar 24, 7:43AM CDT
TLH: 138.34 (-0.22), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), BUNT: 53.09 (+0.04), GGOV: 35.63 (unch), TLT: 130.41 (-0.65), GOVT: 25.49 (-0.03), BUNL: 28.00 (unch)
The Dollar's Near-Term Vulnerability Is An Opportunity For Medium And Long Term Investors
Marc Chandler - at Seeking Alpha - Sat Mar 21, 11:55AM CDT
The market staged a dramatic reversal of the near-term trends in response to the Federal Reserve meeting. In a masterstroke, Yellen dropped the word patience from the Fed's forward guidance and avoided delivering a hawkish signal. The equity...
SPY: 208.25 (+2.51), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), DIG: 51.53 (+2.01), FXA: 76.52 (-1.16), OIL: 10.27 (+0.02), FXB: 145.21 (-0.83), FXY: 80.92 (-0.67), FXC: 78.36 (-0.51), FXE: 106.32 (-0.84), FXF: 100.56 (-1.00), UDN: 21.57 (-0.17), UUP: 25.86 (+0.20)
The Yield Curve And Economic Activity, Again
Econbrowser - Seeking Alpha - Fri Mar 20, 4:10AM CDT
Editor's note: This article was originally published on March 19, 2015 by Menzie Chinn here . The New York Times has an article in The Upshot today, which shows the yield curve over time in a nifty map. They also show the topography for...
TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), SCHO: 50.71 (+0.01), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06), IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), PST: 23.50 (unch), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTUS: 32.98 (-0.30), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), TUZ: 51.01 (+0.03), SHY: 84.81 (-0.01), BIL: 45.71 (-0.01), SST: 30.28 (+0.01), VGSH: 61.09 (+0.02), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
The Fed Loses Patience... Sort Of
James Picerno - Seeking Alpha - Thu Mar 19, 9:11AM CDT
The Federal Reserve removed the word "patient" from its new policy statement yesterday, signaling that the central bank is inching closer to raising interest rates. But in an attempt to walk a thin line with managing expectations, Fed...
IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), PST: 23.50 (unch), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06)
Day's biggest news: Fed sharply cuts "normal" unemployment rate
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Mar 18, 2:09PM CDT
TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), FLAT: 61.12 (+0.01), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), SCHO: 50.71 (+0.01), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06), IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), PST: 23.50 (unch), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTUS: 32.98 (-0.30), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), STPP: 34.50 (+0.75), TUZ: 51.01 (+0.03), SHY: 84.81 (-0.01), BIL: 45.71 (-0.01), SST: 30.28 (+0.01), VGSH: 61.09 (+0.02), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
Tuttle Tactical Debuts ETF Industry with U.S. Core ETF (TUTT) - ETF News And Commentary
Zacks Equity Research - Zacks Investment Research - Sun Mar 15, 1:12PM CDT
Tuttle Tactical has made its debut in the U.S. ETF market with a “fund of funds” that removes emotional decision making by following a rules-based approach to market exposure.
DWAT: 10.76 (+0.19), FPX: 54.16 (+0.50), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), TUTT: 24.31 (+0.30), SPXL: 90.80 (+3.24), SDOG: 37.37 (+0.34), GTAA: 25.54 (+0.18)
Dollar Momentum Takes A Life On Of Its Own
Marc Chandler - at Seeking Alpha - Sat Mar 14, 11:26PM CDT
The dollar's advance accelerated since the end of February. The momentum has surprised everyone. Pullbacks continue to be shallow. The move appears to have taken a life of its own. Consider last week, as the euro slumped more than 3%, sterling more...
USO: 17.23 (+0.09), SPY: 208.25 (+2.51), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), DIG: 51.53 (+2.01), FXA: 76.52 (-1.16), OIL: 10.27 (+0.02), FXB: 145.21 (-0.83), FXY: 80.92 (-0.67), FXC: 78.36 (-0.51), FXE: 106.32 (-0.84), UUP: 25.86 (+0.20)
Bank Hoarding In The Mainstream
Joseph Calhoun - Seeking Alpha - Sat Mar 14, 7:59AM CDT
By Jeffrey P. Snider The issue of bank hoarding has become nearly mainstream as the size of the move into UST is now too large to ignore. It wasn't so much an issue last year, apparently, as there was less to suggest taking very pessimistic...
DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), IEI: 123.94 (+0.08), TBX: 29.68 (-0.02), DFVS: 31.63 (-0.56), TYD: 47.14 (-0.05), TBZ: 28.91 (+0.04), DFVL: 65.25 (-0.05), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), PST: 23.50 (unch), TLO: 75.06 (-0.36), UST: 57.77 (unch), DTYS: 19.45 (-0.02), TLT: 130.41 (-0.65), TYNS: 29.78 (-0.54), TAPR: 29.62 (-0.15), ITE: 60.52 (+0.06), TYO: 17.26 (-0.03), GSY: 50.05 (+0.01), SCHR: 54.27 (-0.02), SYTL: 89.34 (+3.64), FIVZ: 80.71 (unch), PLW: 33.49 (-0.05), VGIT: 65.29 (+0.06), GOVT: 25.49 (-0.03)
February Liquid Alternatives Report
Brian Haskin - Seeking Alpha - Fri Mar 13, 5:21AM CDT
February is in the books, and while it ended with a significant decline in volatility as investors shifted to risk assets, we have already seen that trend reverse in early March with the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) climbing from a low of 12.94 on...
DJP: 28.07 (-0.02), SPY: 208.25 (+2.51), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01)
How To Beat The Market Using Tactical Asset Rotation
Matt Erickson - Seeking Alpha - Thu Mar 12, 2:29PM CDT
One of the most rapidly growing segments in the investment industry over the past few years has been in the "tactical managed ETF portfolio" space. So much so, that in September of 2011 Morningstar announced plans to track and rank ETF...
EEM: 40.22 (+0.76), SPY: 208.25 (+2.51), IEF: 108.11 (-0.01), MDY: 278.20 (+3.91), EFA: 65.18 (+0.04), TLT: 130.41 (-0.65)
