US Trsy 2-Year Bear ETN Ipath (DTUS) 33.38 $DTUS
Dueling Fed chatter today
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Mar 20, 1:48PM CDT
STPP: 33.90 (-0.25), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), FLAT: 61.82 (+0.25), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
The Yield Curve And Economic Activity, Again
Econbrowser - Seeking Alpha - Fri Mar 20, 4:10AM CDT
Editor's note: This article was originally published on March 19, 2015 by Menzie Chinn here . The New York Times has an article in The Upshot today, which shows the yield curve over time in a nifty map. They also show the topography for...
TBX: 29.67 (-0.08), DFVS: 32.05 (-0.45), DFVL: 64.14 (+1.16), TBZ: 29.05 (-0.17), TYO: 17.21 (-0.19), ITE: 60.43 (+0.09), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), GSY: 50.03 (+0.03), SCHR: 54.29 (+0.17), SYTL: 85.70 (-2.97), FIVZ: 80.31 (unch), VGIT: 65.27 (+0.21), IEI: 123.91 (+0.39), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), TYD: 47.64 (+0.71), PST: 23.46 (-0.15), IEF: 108.31 (+0.44), UST: 58.13 (+0.46), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), DTYS: 19.36 (-0.62), TYNS: 30.32 (-0.09), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
Evans: Fed's biggest risk is hiking too soon
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Mar 19, 1:23PM CDT
SCHZ: 52.83 (+0.13), BOND: 110.19 (+0.10), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), VBND: 50.32 (+0.16), FBND: 50.81 (+0.23), IUSB: 102.53 (+0.33), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SAGG: 32.67 (-0.41), GBF: 115.47 (+0.47), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), AGG: 111.32 (+0.34), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), BND: 83.32 (+0.22), LAG: 58.88 (+0.25), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
Day's biggest news: Fed sharply cuts "normal" unemployment rate
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Mar 18, 2:09PM CDT
TBX: 29.67 (-0.08), DFVS: 32.05 (-0.45), TBZ: 29.05 (-0.17), DFVL: 64.14 (+1.16), FLAT: 61.82 (+0.25), TYO: 17.21 (-0.19), ITE: 60.43 (+0.09), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), GSY: 50.03 (+0.03), SCHR: 54.29 (+0.17), SYTL: 85.70 (-2.97), FIVZ: 80.31 (unch), VGIT: 65.27 (+0.21), IEI: 123.91 (+0.39), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), TYD: 47.64 (+0.71), PST: 23.46 (-0.15), IEF: 108.31 (+0.44), UST: 58.13 (+0.46), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), DTYS: 19.36 (-0.62), TYNS: 30.32 (-0.09), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), STPP: 33.90 (-0.25), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
One Thousand Scenarios For The U.S. Treasury Curve
Donald van Deventer - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Mar 12, 2:00AM CDT
TLH: 138.81 (+0.75), TBX: 29.67 (-0.08), DFVS: 32.05 (-0.45), DLBL: 76.53 (-0.18), DFVL: 64.14 (+1.16), TBZ: 29.05 (-0.17), TLO: 75.71 (+0.46), UBT: 87.85 (+1.14), TLT: 131.51 (+0.69), TBT: 41.44 (-0.47), DLBS: 19.31 (-0.39), ZROZ: 128.28 (+0.79), TYO: 17.21 (-0.19), ITE: 60.43 (+0.09), TTT: 35.27 (-0.59), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), GSY: 50.03 (+0.03), SCHR: 54.29 (+0.17), SYTL: 85.70 (-2.97), TYBS: 21.87 (+0.11), IEI: 123.91 (+0.39), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), TYD: 47.64 (+0.71), IEF: 108.31 (+0.44), PST: 23.46 (-0.15), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), EDV: 132.00 (+0.92), DTYS: 19.36 (-0.62), TYNS: 30.32 (-0.09), TMV: 26.26 (-0.43), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SBND: 4.17 (-0.06), TBF: 23.84 (-0.13), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), VGLT: 80.81 (+0.37), TMF: 96.98 (+1.44), SHV: 110.26 (unch), FIVZ: 80.31 (unch), VGIT: 65.27 (+0.21), UST: 58.13 (+0.46), TENZ: 87.46 (+0.56), LBND: 60.76 (+0.90), TAPR: 29.23 (-0.27), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), PLW: 33.61 (+0.10), GOVT: 25.50 (+0.04)
Hilsenrath: "Patient" gone
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Mar 10, 2:52PM CDT
DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
Fed's Evans in no hurry to hike
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Mar 04, 8:09AM CST
STPP: 33.90 (-0.25), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), FLAT: 61.82 (+0.25), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
Dudley: Long-run neutral Fed Funds rate is lower than historical norm
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 27, 9:35AM CST
STPP: 33.90 (-0.25), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), FLAT: 61.82 (+0.25), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
The Pathetic 'Talk Therapy' Of Janet Yellen
David Stockman - Seeking Alpha - Thu Feb 26, 1:34PM CST
What in god’s name does Janet Yellen think she is doing? Just a few weeks ago she established the ridiculous Fedspeak convention that “patient” means money market rates will not rise from the zero bound for at least two meetings....
TLH: 138.81 (+0.75), TBX: 29.67 (-0.08), DFVS: 32.05 (-0.45), TBZ: 29.05 (-0.17), DFVL: 64.14 (+1.16), DLBL: 76.53 (-0.18), SINF: 47.80 (unch), MBG: 27.42 (+0.04), TLO: 75.71 (+0.46), UBT: 87.85 (+1.14), TLT: 131.51 (+0.69), STIP: 99.24 (+0.12), TBT: 41.44 (-0.47), RINF: 30.61 (+0.74), DLBS: 19.31 (-0.39), ZROZ: 128.28 (+0.79), FINF: 42.47 (-0.64), ITE: 60.43 (+0.09), TYO: 17.21 (-0.19), TTT: 35.27 (-0.59), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), SCHP: 55.03 (+0.12), MBB: 110.13 (+0.05), GSY: 50.03 (+0.03), SCHR: 54.29 (+0.17), UINF: 27.79 (+0.01), SYTL: 85.70 (-2.97), TPS: 27.63 (+0.23), TYBS: 21.87 (+0.11), TIP: 113.76 (+0.34), IEI: 123.91 (+0.39), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), TYD: 47.64 (+0.71), IEF: 108.31 (+0.44), PST: 23.46 (-0.15), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), EDV: 132.00 (+0.92), GNMA: 50.32 (-0.07), DTYS: 19.36 (-0.62), TYNS: 30.32 (-0.09), TFLO: 50.04 (-0.09), TMV: 26.26 (-0.43), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), LTPZ: 69.43 (+0.37), VTIP: 48.36 (unch), SBND: 4.17 (-0.06), TBF: 23.84 (-0.13), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), VGLT: 80.81 (+0.37), TMF: 96.98 (+1.44), SHV: 110.26 (unch), SIPE: 19.40 (+0.08), FLAT: 61.82 (+0.25), USFR: 24.77 (-0.19), TIPX: 19.33 (+0.05), AGZ: 113.93 (-0.16), TDTF: 24.79 (+0.06), TIPZ: 57.81 (+0.17), INFL: 39.28 (unch), TDTT: 24.39 (+0.05), FIVZ: 80.31 (unch), DEFL: 58.00 (unch), VGIT: 65.27 (+0.21), IPE: 56.84 (+0.17), UST: 58.13 (+0.46), TENZ: 87.46 (+0.56), LBND: 60.76 (+0.90), STPP: 33.90 (-0.25), TAPR: 29.23 (-0.27), VMBS: 53.31 (+0.04), STPZ: 51.86 (+0.07), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), PLW: 33.61 (+0.10), GOVT: 25.50 (+0.04)
10-year Treasury yield tumbles back below 2%
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Feb 24, 1:45PM CST
TLH: 138.81 (+0.75), TBX: 29.67 (-0.08), DFVS: 32.05 (-0.45), TBZ: 29.05 (-0.17), DFVL: 64.14 (+1.16), DLBL: 76.53 (-0.18), TLO: 75.71 (+0.46), UBT: 87.85 (+1.14), TLT: 131.51 (+0.69), TBT: 41.44 (-0.47), DLBS: 19.31 (-0.39), ZROZ: 128.28 (+0.79), ITE: 60.43 (+0.09), TYO: 17.21 (-0.19), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TTT: 35.27 (-0.59), SCHR: 54.29 (+0.17), GSY: 50.03 (+0.03), SYTL: 85.70 (-2.97), TYBS: 21.87 (+0.11), FIVZ: 80.31 (unch), VGIT: 65.27 (+0.21), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), IEI: 123.91 (+0.39), TYD: 47.64 (+0.71), PST: 23.46 (-0.15), IEF: 108.31 (+0.44), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), UST: 58.13 (+0.46), TENZ: 87.46 (+0.56), EDV: 132.00 (+0.92), DTYS: 19.36 (-0.62), TYNS: 30.32 (-0.09), TMV: 26.26 (-0.43), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), LBND: 60.76 (+0.90), SBND: 4.17 (-0.06), TBF: 23.84 (-0.13), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), VGLT: 80.81 (+0.37), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), SHV: 110.26 (unch), TMF: 96.98 (+1.44)
Treasury yields move lower after dovish read on FOMC minutes
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Feb 18, 1:22PM CST
TLH: 138.81 (+0.75), TBX: 29.67 (-0.08), DFVS: 32.05 (-0.45), TBZ: 29.05 (-0.17), DFVL: 64.14 (+1.16), DLBL: 76.53 (-0.18), TLO: 75.71 (+0.46), UBT: 87.85 (+1.14), TLT: 131.51 (+0.69), TBT: 41.44 (-0.47), DLBS: 19.31 (-0.39), ZROZ: 128.28 (+0.79), ITE: 60.43 (+0.09), TYO: 17.21 (-0.19), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TTT: 35.27 (-0.59), SCHR: 54.29 (+0.17), GSY: 50.03 (+0.03), SYTL: 85.70 (-2.97), TYBS: 21.87 (+0.11), FIVZ: 80.31 (unch), VGIT: 65.27 (+0.21), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), IEI: 123.91 (+0.39), TYD: 47.64 (+0.71), PST: 23.46 (-0.15), IEF: 108.31 (+0.44), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), UST: 58.13 (+0.46), TENZ: 87.46 (+0.56), EDV: 132.00 (+0.92), DTYS: 19.36 (-0.62), TYNS: 30.32 (-0.09), TMV: 26.26 (-0.43), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), LBND: 60.76 (+0.90), SBND: 4.17 (-0.06), TBF: 23.84 (-0.13), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), VGLT: 80.81 (+0.37), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), SHV: 110.26 (unch), TMF: 96.98 (+1.44)
Reversal nearly complete as Treasury yields surge higher
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Feb 17, 1:54PM CST
TLH: 138.81 (+0.75), TBX: 29.67 (-0.08), DFVS: 32.05 (-0.45), TBZ: 29.05 (-0.17), DFVL: 64.14 (+1.16), DLBL: 76.53 (-0.18), TLO: 75.71 (+0.46), UBT: 87.85 (+1.14), TLT: 131.51 (+0.69), TBT: 41.44 (-0.47), DLBS: 19.31 (-0.39), ZROZ: 128.28 (+0.79), ITE: 60.43 (+0.09), TYO: 17.21 (-0.19), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TTT: 35.27 (-0.59), SCHR: 54.29 (+0.17), GSY: 50.03 (+0.03), SYTL: 85.70 (-2.97), TYBS: 21.87 (+0.11), FIVZ: 80.31 (unch), VGIT: 65.27 (+0.21), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), IEI: 123.91 (+0.39), TYD: 47.64 (+0.71), PST: 23.46 (-0.15), IEF: 108.31 (+0.44), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), UST: 58.13 (+0.46), TENZ: 87.46 (+0.56), EDV: 132.00 (+0.92), DTYS: 19.36 (-0.62), TYNS: 30.32 (-0.09), TMV: 26.26 (-0.43), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), LBND: 60.76 (+0.90), SBND: 4.17 (-0.06), TBF: 23.84 (-0.13), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), VGLT: 80.81 (+0.37), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), SHV: 110.26 (unch), TMF: 96.98 (+1.44)
FOMC voters getting itchy trigger fingers
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Feb 10, 12:26PM CST
DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), FLAT: 61.82 (+0.25), USFR: 24.77 (-0.19), TFLO: 50.04 (-0.09), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), STPP: 33.90 (-0.25), TAPR: 29.23 (-0.27), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), PLW: 33.61 (+0.10), SHV: 110.26 (unch), GOVT: 25.50 (+0.04)
A Very Pernicious Partnership: Keynesian Money Printers And Wall Street Gamblers
David Stockman - Seeking Alpha - Mon Feb 09, 1:53PM CST
No sooner was the January jobs report released than the Wall Street Journal posted a succinct headline: "Hiring, Wages Pick Up as Job Market Nears Full Health". Whether the job market is actually as red hot as the BLS' headline numbers...
TLH: 138.81 (+0.75), TBX: 29.67 (-0.08), DFVS: 32.05 (-0.45), TBZ: 29.05 (-0.17), DFVL: 64.14 (+1.16), DLBL: 76.53 (-0.18), SINF: 47.80 (unch), MBG: 27.42 (+0.04), TLO: 75.71 (+0.46), UBT: 87.85 (+1.14), TLT: 131.51 (+0.69), STIP: 99.24 (+0.12), TBT: 41.44 (-0.47), RINF: 30.61 (+0.74), DLBS: 19.31 (-0.39), ZROZ: 128.28 (+0.79), FINF: 42.47 (-0.64), HOLD: 99.40 (unch), ITE: 60.43 (+0.09), TYO: 17.21 (-0.19), TTT: 35.27 (-0.59), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), SCHP: 55.03 (+0.12), MBB: 110.13 (+0.05), GMTB: 52.47 (unch), GSY: 50.03 (+0.03), SCHR: 54.29 (+0.17), UINF: 27.79 (+0.01), SYTL: 85.70 (-2.97), TPS: 27.63 (+0.23), TYBS: 21.87 (+0.11), TIP: 113.76 (+0.34), IEI: 123.91 (+0.39), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), TYD: 47.64 (+0.71), IEF: 108.31 (+0.44), PST: 23.46 (-0.15), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), EDV: 132.00 (+0.92), GNMA: 50.32 (-0.07), DTYS: 19.36 (-0.62), TYNS: 30.32 (-0.09), TFLO: 50.04 (-0.09), TMV: 26.26 (-0.43), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), LTPZ: 69.43 (+0.37), VTIP: 48.36 (unch), SBND: 4.17 (-0.06), TBF: 23.84 (-0.13), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), VGLT: 80.81 (+0.37), RAVI: 75.43 (-0.15), TMF: 96.98 (+1.44), SHV: 110.26 (unch), ULST: 40.03 (-0.04), NEAR: 50.11 (unch), SIPE: 19.40 (+0.08), FLAT: 61.82 (+0.25), FTSM: 60.04 (-0.01), USFR: 24.77 (-0.19), TIPX: 19.33 (+0.05), AGZ: 113.93 (-0.16), ICSH: 49.95 (+0.01), TDTF: 24.79 (+0.06), TIPZ: 57.81 (+0.17), INFL: 39.28 (unch), TDTT: 24.39 (+0.05), FIVZ: 80.31 (unch), DEFL: 58.00 (unch), VGIT: 65.27 (+0.21), IPE: 56.84 (+0.17), UST: 58.13 (+0.46), TENZ: 87.46 (+0.56), LBND: 60.76 (+0.90), STPP: 33.90 (-0.25), TAPR: 29.23 (-0.27), VMBS: 53.31 (+0.04), STPZ: 51.86 (+0.07), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), FTSD: 99.29 (+0.17), MINT: 101.15 (+0.01), PLW: 33.61 (+0.10), GOVT: 25.50 (+0.04)
Fed's Lockhart: Rate hike possible "from June on"
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 06, 11:50AM CST
DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
Will The Fed Start Raising Interest Rates Later This Year?
James Picerno - Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 06, 8:49AM CST
Warren Buffett has his doubts, and so do plenty of other analysts. Weak economic activity overseas is arguably a factor that could delay the onset of US tightening. Based on the domestic trend, however, the case for raising rates soon is...
TLH: 138.81 (+0.75), DLBL: 76.53 (-0.18), TLO: 75.71 (+0.46), UBT: 87.85 (+1.14), TLT: 131.51 (+0.69), TBT: 41.44 (-0.47), DLBS: 19.31 (-0.39), ZROZ: 128.28 (+0.79), TTT: 35.27 (-0.59), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TYBS: 21.87 (+0.11), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), TENZ: 87.46 (+0.56), EDV: 132.00 (+0.92), TMV: 26.26 (-0.43), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), LBND: 60.76 (+0.90), SBND: 4.17 (-0.06), TBF: 23.84 (-0.13), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), VGLT: 80.81 (+0.37), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), TMF: 96.98 (+1.44), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
Kocherlakota and Bullard spar on policy
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Feb 03, 11:56AM CST
DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
Bullard: Expectations for summer rate hike "reasonable"
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Jan 30, 8:32AM CST
TBX: 29.67 (-0.08), DFVS: 32.05 (-0.45), TBZ: 29.05 (-0.17), DFVL: 64.14 (+1.16), FLAT: 61.82 (+0.25), TYO: 17.21 (-0.19), ITE: 60.43 (+0.09), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), GSY: 50.03 (+0.03), SCHR: 54.29 (+0.17), SYTL: 85.70 (-2.97), FIVZ: 80.31 (unch), VGIT: 65.27 (+0.21), IEI: 123.91 (+0.39), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), TYD: 47.64 (+0.71), PST: 23.46 (-0.15), IEF: 108.31 (+0.44), UST: 58.13 (+0.46), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), DTYS: 19.36 (-0.62), TYNS: 30.32 (-0.09), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), STPP: 33.90 (-0.25), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
CAT CEO urges Fed not to raise rates this year
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 27, 7:29AM CST
DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), CAT: 81.19 (+1.10), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
U.S. 10-year note yield lowest in 20 months
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 13, 3:17AM CST
TLH: 138.81 (+0.75), TBX: 29.67 (-0.08), DFVS: 32.05 (-0.45), DLBL: 76.53 (-0.18), DFVL: 64.14 (+1.16), TBZ: 29.05 (-0.17), TLO: 75.71 (+0.46), UBT: 87.85 (+1.14), TLT: 131.51 (+0.69), TBT: 41.44 (-0.47), DLBS: 19.31 (-0.39), ZROZ: 128.28 (+0.79), TYO: 17.21 (-0.19), ITE: 60.43 (+0.09), TTT: 35.27 (-0.59), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), GSY: 50.03 (+0.03), SCHR: 54.29 (+0.17), SYTL: 85.70 (-2.97), TYBS: 21.87 (+0.11), IEI: 123.91 (+0.39), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), TYD: 47.64 (+0.71), IEF: 108.31 (+0.44), PST: 23.46 (-0.15), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), EDV: 132.00 (+0.92), DTYS: 19.36 (-0.62), TYNS: 30.32 (-0.09), TFLO: 50.04 (-0.09), TMV: 26.26 (-0.43), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SBND: 4.17 (-0.06), TBF: 23.84 (-0.13), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), VGLT: 80.81 (+0.37), TMF: 96.98 (+1.44), SHV: 110.26 (unch), FLAT: 61.82 (+0.25), USFR: 24.77 (-0.19), FIVZ: 80.31 (unch), VGIT: 65.27 (+0.21), UST: 58.13 (+0.46), TENZ: 87.46 (+0.56), LBND: 60.76 (+0.90), STPP: 33.90 (-0.25), TAPR: 29.23 (-0.27), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), PLW: 33.61 (+0.10), GOVT: 25.50 (+0.04)
Dueling Fed chatter today
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Mar 20, 1:48PM CDT
STPP: 33.90 (-0.25), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), FLAT: 61.82 (+0.25), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
The Yield Curve And Economic Activity, Again
Econbrowser - Seeking Alpha - Fri Mar 20, 4:10AM CDT
Editor's note: This article was originally published on March 19, 2015 by Menzie Chinn here . The New York Times has an article in The Upshot today, which shows the yield curve over time in a nifty map. They also show the topography for...
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Evans: Fed's biggest risk is hiking too soon
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Mar 19, 1:23PM CDT
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Day's biggest news: Fed sharply cuts "normal" unemployment rate
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Mar 18, 2:09PM CDT
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One Thousand Scenarios For The U.S. Treasury Curve
Donald van Deventer - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Mar 12, 2:00AM CDT
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Hilsenrath: "Patient" gone
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Mar 10, 2:52PM CDT
DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
Fed's Evans in no hurry to hike
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Mar 04, 8:09AM CST
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Dudley: Long-run neutral Fed Funds rate is lower than historical norm
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 27, 9:35AM CST
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The Pathetic 'Talk Therapy' Of Janet Yellen
David Stockman - Seeking Alpha - Thu Feb 26, 1:34PM CST
What in god’s name does Janet Yellen think she is doing? Just a few weeks ago she established the ridiculous Fedspeak convention that “patient” means money market rates will not rise from the zero bound for at least two meetings....
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10-year Treasury yield tumbles back below 2%
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Feb 24, 1:45PM CST
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Treasury yields move lower after dovish read on FOMC minutes
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Feb 18, 1:22PM CST
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Reversal nearly complete as Treasury yields surge higher
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Feb 17, 1:54PM CST
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FOMC voters getting itchy trigger fingers
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Feb 10, 12:26PM CST
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A Very Pernicious Partnership: Keynesian Money Printers And Wall Street Gamblers
David Stockman - Seeking Alpha - Mon Feb 09, 1:53PM CST
No sooner was the January jobs report released than the Wall Street Journal posted a succinct headline: "Hiring, Wages Pick Up as Job Market Nears Full Health". Whether the job market is actually as red hot as the BLS' headline numbers...
TLH: 138.81 (+0.75), TBX: 29.67 (-0.08), DFVS: 32.05 (-0.45), TBZ: 29.05 (-0.17), DFVL: 64.14 (+1.16), DLBL: 76.53 (-0.18), SINF: 47.80 (unch), MBG: 27.42 (+0.04), TLO: 75.71 (+0.46), UBT: 87.85 (+1.14), TLT: 131.51 (+0.69), STIP: 99.24 (+0.12), TBT: 41.44 (-0.47), RINF: 30.61 (+0.74), DLBS: 19.31 (-0.39), ZROZ: 128.28 (+0.79), FINF: 42.47 (-0.64), HOLD: 99.40 (unch), ITE: 60.43 (+0.09), TYO: 17.21 (-0.19), TTT: 35.27 (-0.59), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), SCHP: 55.03 (+0.12), MBB: 110.13 (+0.05), GMTB: 52.47 (unch), GSY: 50.03 (+0.03), SCHR: 54.29 (+0.17), UINF: 27.79 (+0.01), SYTL: 85.70 (-2.97), TPS: 27.63 (+0.23), TYBS: 21.87 (+0.11), TIP: 113.76 (+0.34), IEI: 123.91 (+0.39), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), TYD: 47.64 (+0.71), IEF: 108.31 (+0.44), PST: 23.46 (-0.15), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), EDV: 132.00 (+0.92), GNMA: 50.32 (-0.07), DTYS: 19.36 (-0.62), TYNS: 30.32 (-0.09), TFLO: 50.04 (-0.09), TMV: 26.26 (-0.43), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), LTPZ: 69.43 (+0.37), VTIP: 48.36 (unch), SBND: 4.17 (-0.06), TBF: 23.84 (-0.13), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), VGLT: 80.81 (+0.37), RAVI: 75.43 (-0.15), TMF: 96.98 (+1.44), SHV: 110.26 (unch), ULST: 40.03 (-0.04), NEAR: 50.11 (unch), SIPE: 19.40 (+0.08), FLAT: 61.82 (+0.25), FTSM: 60.04 (-0.01), USFR: 24.77 (-0.19), TIPX: 19.33 (+0.05), AGZ: 113.93 (-0.16), ICSH: 49.95 (+0.01), TDTF: 24.79 (+0.06), TIPZ: 57.81 (+0.17), INFL: 39.28 (unch), TDTT: 24.39 (+0.05), FIVZ: 80.31 (unch), DEFL: 58.00 (unch), VGIT: 65.27 (+0.21), IPE: 56.84 (+0.17), UST: 58.13 (+0.46), TENZ: 87.46 (+0.56), LBND: 60.76 (+0.90), STPP: 33.90 (-0.25), TAPR: 29.23 (-0.27), VMBS: 53.31 (+0.04), STPZ: 51.86 (+0.07), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), FTSD: 99.29 (+0.17), MINT: 101.15 (+0.01), PLW: 33.61 (+0.10), GOVT: 25.50 (+0.04)
Fed's Lockhart: Rate hike possible "from June on"
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 06, 11:50AM CST
DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
Will The Fed Start Raising Interest Rates Later This Year?
James Picerno - Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 06, 8:49AM CST
Warren Buffett has his doubts, and so do plenty of other analysts. Weak economic activity overseas is arguably a factor that could delay the onset of US tightening. Based on the domestic trend, however, the case for raising rates soon is...
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Kocherlakota and Bullard spar on policy
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Feb 03, 11:56AM CST
DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
Bullard: Expectations for summer rate hike "reasonable"
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Jan 30, 8:32AM CST
TBX: 29.67 (-0.08), DFVS: 32.05 (-0.45), TBZ: 29.05 (-0.17), DFVL: 64.14 (+1.16), FLAT: 61.82 (+0.25), TYO: 17.21 (-0.19), ITE: 60.43 (+0.09), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), GSY: 50.03 (+0.03), SCHR: 54.29 (+0.17), SYTL: 85.70 (-2.97), FIVZ: 80.31 (unch), VGIT: 65.27 (+0.21), IEI: 123.91 (+0.39), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), TYD: 47.64 (+0.71), PST: 23.46 (-0.15), IEF: 108.31 (+0.44), UST: 58.13 (+0.46), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), DTYS: 19.36 (-0.62), TYNS: 30.32 (-0.09), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), STPP: 33.90 (-0.25), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
CAT CEO urges Fed not to raise rates this year
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 27, 7:29AM CST
DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), BIL: 45.73 (unch), CAT: 81.19 (+1.10), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SHV: 110.26 (unch)
U.S. 10-year note yield lowest in 20 months
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 13, 3:17AM CST
TLH: 138.81 (+0.75), TBX: 29.67 (-0.08), DFVS: 32.05 (-0.45), DLBL: 76.53 (-0.18), DFVL: 64.14 (+1.16), TBZ: 29.05 (-0.17), TLO: 75.71 (+0.46), UBT: 87.85 (+1.14), TLT: 131.51 (+0.69), TBT: 41.44 (-0.47), DLBS: 19.31 (-0.39), ZROZ: 128.28 (+0.79), TYO: 17.21 (-0.19), ITE: 60.43 (+0.09), TTT: 35.27 (-0.59), SCHO: 50.68 (+0.03), GSY: 50.03 (+0.03), SCHR: 54.29 (+0.17), SYTL: 85.70 (-2.97), TYBS: 21.87 (+0.11), IEI: 123.91 (+0.39), DTYL: 76.15 (+1.46), TYD: 47.64 (+0.71), IEF: 108.31 (+0.44), PST: 23.46 (-0.15), DTUS: 33.38 (-0.48), EDV: 132.00 (+0.92), DTYS: 19.36 (-0.62), TYNS: 30.32 (-0.09), TFLO: 50.04 (-0.09), TMV: 26.26 (-0.43), DTUL: 61.40 (-1.22), SBND: 4.17 (-0.06), TBF: 23.84 (-0.13), TUZ: 50.97 (+0.02), SHY: 84.77 (+0.06), VGLT: 80.81 (+0.37), TMF: 96.98 (+1.44), SHV: 110.26 (unch), FLAT: 61.82 (+0.25), USFR: 24.77 (-0.19), FIVZ: 80.31 (unch), VGIT: 65.27 (+0.21), UST: 58.13 (+0.46), TENZ: 87.46 (+0.56), LBND: 60.76 (+0.90), STPP: 33.90 (-0.25), TAPR: 29.23 (-0.27), BIL: 45.73 (unch), SST: 30.26 (+0.02), VGSH: 61.06 (+0.05), PLW: 33.61 (+0.10), GOVT: 25.50 (+0.04)
