DB 3X Long 25+ Yr Trsy Bd ETN Powershares (LBND) 56.35 $LBND
Weak retail sales print takes steam out of Treasury yields
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Feb 12, 9:01AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
A Very Pernicious Partnership: Keynesian Money Printers And Wall Street Gamblers
David Stockman - Seeking Alpha - Mon Feb 09, 1:53PM CST
No sooner was the January jobs report released than the Wall Street Journal posted a succinct headline: "Hiring, Wages Pick Up as Job Market Nears Full Health". Whether the job market is actually as red hot as the BLS' headline numbers...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), TBX: 30.03 (+0.07), DFVS: 33.70 (+0.16), TBZ: 29.08 (unch), DFVL: 65.54 (+1.42), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), SINF: 47.80 (unch), MBG: 27.29 (+0.01), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), STIP: 99.28 (-0.02), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), RINF: 30.25 (+0.05), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), FINF: 42.47 (-0.64), HOLD: 99.38 (+0.07), ITE: 60.17 (-0.06), TYO: 17.93 (+0.14), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHO: 50.62 (-0.01), SCHP: 54.49 (-0.11), MBB: 109.88 (+0.03), GMTB: 52.35 (-0.02), GSY: 49.94 (+0.01), SCHR: 53.88 (-0.11), UINF: 27.79 (+0.01), SYTL: 88.67 (-3.56), TPS: 26.90 (-0.02), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TIP: 112.66 (-0.23), IEI: 123.09 (-0.14), DTYL: 76.39 (-1.24), TYD: 46.21 (-0.08), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), PST: 24.08 (+0.14), DTUS: 34.68 (-0.16), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), GNMA: 50.34 (-0.26), DTYS: 20.97 (+0.37), TYNS: 30.29 (+0.49), TFLO: 50.07 (-0.06), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DTUL: 62.62 (-0.15), LTPZ: 66.86 (-0.42), VTIP: 48.41 (-0.03), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TUZ: 50.92 (-0.01), SHY: 84.64 (unch), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), RAVI: 75.36 (+0.03), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), SHV: 110.27 (+0.01), ULST: 40.01 (unch), NEAR: 50.09 (-0.01), SIPE: 19.42 (unch), FLAT: 61.92 (-0.15), FTSM: 60.00 (unch), USFR: 24.89 (unch), TIPX: 19.30 (unch), AGZ: 114.28 (+0.08), ICSH: 50.02 (+0.09), TDTF: 24.73 (-0.03), TIPZ: 57.25 (-0.09), INFL: 39.28 (+0.47), TDTT: 24.39 (unch), FIVZ: 80.60 (unch), DEFL: 58.00 (unch), VGIT: 64.86 (-0.12), IPE: 56.23 (-0.11), UST: 56.86 (-0.32), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), STPP: 33.20 (+0.19), TAPR: 31.63 (+0.44), VMBS: 53.15 (-0.09), STPZ: 51.87 (-0.03), BIL: 45.73 (+0.01), SST: 30.16 (-0.01), VGSH: 60.96 (-0.02), FTSD: 99.21 (unch), MINT: 101.06 (-0.01), PLW: 33.20 (-0.21), GOVT: 25.33 (-0.06)
Will The Fed Start Raising Interest Rates Later This Year?
James Picerno - Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 06, 8:49AM CST
Warren Buffett has his doubts, and so do plenty of other analysts. Weak economic activity overseas is arguably a factor that could delay the onset of US tightening. Based on the domestic trend, however, the case for raising rates soon is...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHO: 50.62 (-0.01), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), DTUS: 34.68 (-0.16), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DTUL: 62.62 (-0.15), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TUZ: 50.92 (-0.01), SHY: 84.64 (unch), BIL: 45.73 (+0.01), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), SST: 30.16 (-0.01), VGSH: 60.96 (-0.02), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), SHV: 110.27 (+0.01)
Revisions turn January jobs report into blowout beat
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 06, 7:36AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), UUPT: 29.68 (-0.04), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), USDU: 27.70 (unch), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), UUP: 24.91 (-0.01), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), UDN: 22.76 (+0.03), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), FORX: 44.02 (+0.09), UDNT: 10.42 (-0.02), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
ADP: Energy shedding jobs, can other industries make up the slack?
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Feb 04, 7:38AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Long-term Treasury yields lower after soft GDP print
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Jan 30, 7:36AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), GGOV: 36.80 (-0.99), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), BUNT: 50.82 (-0.29), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), BUNL: 27.48 (+0.05), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Revised 2015 Interest Rate Outlook: Is The Fear Rational?
Pat Stout - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 29, 6:54AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
No Fed hike this year? Morgan Stanley the latest
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 27, 8:01AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Zulauf: Fed won't hike this year
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Sat Jan 24, 7:26AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), RTH: 75.72 (unch), USDU: 27.70 (unch), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), UDNT: 10.42 (-0.02), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UUPT: 29.68 (-0.04), UUP: 24.91 (-0.01), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), UDN: 22.76 (+0.03), FORX: 44.02 (+0.09), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Is The Bond Market In A Bubble?
Nicholas P. Cheer - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 22, 9:41AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Chart Of The Week: Bonds Versus Oil
Mark Ungewitter - Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 20, 2:06AM CST
While many factors influence the bond market, it's worth noting that cyclical bottoms in oil prices (NYSEARCA: USO ) have often matched cyclical bottoms in long-term Treasury (NYSEARCA: TLT ) yields. The oil crashes ending in March 1986, December...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), OLO: 7.58 (+0.02), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), BNO: 23.05 (+0.78), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), DNO: 54.24 (-1.32), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), OIL: 12.01 (+0.34), OLEM: 25.07 (+0.30), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), USO: 19.62 (+0.44), UCO: 9.19 (+0.39), DTO: 81.31 (-5.12), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UWTI: 3.71 (+0.23), SCO: 70.05 (-3.45), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), SZO: 60.00 (-4.31), DBO: 14.88 (+0.08), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), DWTI: 95.90 (-7.40), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), USL: 26.81 (+0.40)
Bond yields get back on their feet
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Jan 16, 12:00PM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Treasury yields continue steep decline
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 15, 2:55PM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), TBX: 30.03 (+0.07), DFVS: 33.70 (+0.16), TBZ: 29.08 (unch), DFVL: 65.54 (+1.42), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), ITE: 60.17 (-0.06), TYO: 17.93 (+0.14), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), GSY: 49.94 (+0.01), SCHR: 53.88 (-0.11), SYTL: 88.67 (-3.56), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), FIVZ: 80.60 (unch), VGIT: 64.86 (-0.12), DTYL: 76.39 (-1.24), IEI: 123.09 (-0.14), TYD: 46.21 (-0.08), PST: 24.08 (+0.14), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), UST: 56.86 (-0.32), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), DTYS: 20.97 (+0.37), TYNS: 30.29 (+0.49), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
The Long Perspective
Mark Liew - Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 15, 10:23AM CST
After reading Dr. Gary A. Shilling’s book ( The Age of Deleveraging ), and following his articles over the years, I must confess that I have at times been disappointed at the outcome in the overall stock market vs. his forecasts. A recent...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), SPY: 209.78 (+0.86), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
U.S. 10-year note yield lowest in 20 months
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 13, 3:17AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), TBX: 30.03 (+0.07), DFVS: 33.70 (+0.16), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), DFVL: 65.54 (+1.42), TBZ: 29.08 (unch), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TYO: 17.93 (+0.14), ITE: 60.17 (-0.06), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHO: 50.62 (-0.01), GSY: 49.94 (+0.01), SCHR: 53.88 (-0.11), SYTL: 88.67 (-3.56), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), IEI: 123.09 (-0.14), DTYL: 76.39 (-1.24), TYD: 46.21 (-0.08), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), PST: 24.08 (+0.14), DTUS: 34.68 (-0.16), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), DTYS: 20.97 (+0.37), TYNS: 30.29 (+0.49), TFLO: 50.07 (-0.06), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DTUL: 62.62 (-0.15), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TUZ: 50.92 (-0.01), SHY: 84.64 (unch), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), SHV: 110.27 (+0.01), FLAT: 61.92 (-0.15), USFR: 24.89 (unch), FIVZ: 80.60 (unch), VGIT: 64.86 (-0.12), UST: 56.86 (-0.32), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), STPP: 33.20 (+0.19), TAPR: 31.63 (+0.44), BIL: 45.73 (+0.01), SST: 30.16 (-0.01), VGSH: 60.96 (-0.02), PLW: 33.20 (-0.21), GOVT: 25.33 (-0.06)
Hot-handed forecaster sees yields continuing to fall
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Mon Jan 12, 2:55PM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Heads up on NFP: Low prints tend to follow high ones
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 08, 8:33AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Markets hold their positions after FOMC minutes
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Jan 07, 1:26PM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHO: 50.62 (-0.01), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), DTUS: 34.68 (-0.16), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DTUL: 62.62 (-0.15), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TUZ: 50.92 (-0.01), SHY: 84.64 (unch), BIL: 45.73 (+0.01), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), SST: 30.16 (-0.01), VGSH: 60.96 (-0.02), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), SHV: 110.27 (+0.01)
10-year Treasury yield dips below 2%
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 06, 6:16AM CST
JGBL: 21.50 (unch), TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), JGBT: 25.51 (-0.04), JGBS: 18.30 (unch), BNDX: 53.60 (-0.11), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), BWX: 54.15 (-0.08), ITLY: 31.58 (unch), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), ITLT: 65.95 (unch), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), GGOV: 36.80 (-0.99), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), BUNT: 50.82 (-0.29), IGOV: 94.02 (-0.09), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), JGBB: 49.57 (+0.11), JGBD: 15.54 (+0.04), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), BUNL: 27.48 (+0.05)
10-year yield eyes sub-2% handle
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Mon Jan 05, 9:13AM CST
EWI: 14.44 (+0.05), TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), TBX: 30.03 (+0.07), DFVS: 33.70 (+0.16), TBZ: 29.08 (unch), DFVL: 65.54 (+1.42), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), ITE: 60.17 (-0.06), TYO: 17.93 (+0.14), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHR: 53.88 (-0.11), GSY: 49.94 (+0.01), SYTL: 88.67 (-3.56), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), FIVZ: 80.60 (unch), VGIT: 64.86 (-0.12), DTYL: 76.39 (-1.24), IEI: 123.09 (-0.14), TYD: 46.21 (-0.08), PST: 24.08 (+0.14), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), UST: 56.86 (-0.32), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), DTYS: 20.97 (+0.37), TYNS: 30.29 (+0.49), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Weak retail sales print takes steam out of Treasury yields
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Feb 12, 9:01AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
A Very Pernicious Partnership: Keynesian Money Printers And Wall Street Gamblers
David Stockman - Seeking Alpha - Mon Feb 09, 1:53PM CST
No sooner was the January jobs report released than the Wall Street Journal posted a succinct headline: "Hiring, Wages Pick Up as Job Market Nears Full Health". Whether the job market is actually as red hot as the BLS' headline numbers...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), TBX: 30.03 (+0.07), DFVS: 33.70 (+0.16), TBZ: 29.08 (unch), DFVL: 65.54 (+1.42), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), SINF: 47.80 (unch), MBG: 27.29 (+0.01), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), STIP: 99.28 (-0.02), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), RINF: 30.25 (+0.05), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), FINF: 42.47 (-0.64), HOLD: 99.38 (+0.07), ITE: 60.17 (-0.06), TYO: 17.93 (+0.14), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHO: 50.62 (-0.01), SCHP: 54.49 (-0.11), MBB: 109.88 (+0.03), GMTB: 52.35 (-0.02), GSY: 49.94 (+0.01), SCHR: 53.88 (-0.11), UINF: 27.79 (+0.01), SYTL: 88.67 (-3.56), TPS: 26.90 (-0.02), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TIP: 112.66 (-0.23), IEI: 123.09 (-0.14), DTYL: 76.39 (-1.24), TYD: 46.21 (-0.08), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), PST: 24.08 (+0.14), DTUS: 34.68 (-0.16), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), GNMA: 50.34 (-0.26), DTYS: 20.97 (+0.37), TYNS: 30.29 (+0.49), TFLO: 50.07 (-0.06), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DTUL: 62.62 (-0.15), LTPZ: 66.86 (-0.42), VTIP: 48.41 (-0.03), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TUZ: 50.92 (-0.01), SHY: 84.64 (unch), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), RAVI: 75.36 (+0.03), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), SHV: 110.27 (+0.01), ULST: 40.01 (unch), NEAR: 50.09 (-0.01), SIPE: 19.42 (unch), FLAT: 61.92 (-0.15), FTSM: 60.00 (unch), USFR: 24.89 (unch), TIPX: 19.30 (unch), AGZ: 114.28 (+0.08), ICSH: 50.02 (+0.09), TDTF: 24.73 (-0.03), TIPZ: 57.25 (-0.09), INFL: 39.28 (+0.47), TDTT: 24.39 (unch), FIVZ: 80.60 (unch), DEFL: 58.00 (unch), VGIT: 64.86 (-0.12), IPE: 56.23 (-0.11), UST: 56.86 (-0.32), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), STPP: 33.20 (+0.19), TAPR: 31.63 (+0.44), VMBS: 53.15 (-0.09), STPZ: 51.87 (-0.03), BIL: 45.73 (+0.01), SST: 30.16 (-0.01), VGSH: 60.96 (-0.02), FTSD: 99.21 (unch), MINT: 101.06 (-0.01), PLW: 33.20 (-0.21), GOVT: 25.33 (-0.06)
Will The Fed Start Raising Interest Rates Later This Year?
James Picerno - Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 06, 8:49AM CST
Warren Buffett has his doubts, and so do plenty of other analysts. Weak economic activity overseas is arguably a factor that could delay the onset of US tightening. Based on the domestic trend, however, the case for raising rates soon is...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHO: 50.62 (-0.01), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), DTUS: 34.68 (-0.16), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DTUL: 62.62 (-0.15), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TUZ: 50.92 (-0.01), SHY: 84.64 (unch), BIL: 45.73 (+0.01), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), SST: 30.16 (-0.01), VGSH: 60.96 (-0.02), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), SHV: 110.27 (+0.01)
Revisions turn January jobs report into blowout beat
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 06, 7:36AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), UUPT: 29.68 (-0.04), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), USDU: 27.70 (unch), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), UUP: 24.91 (-0.01), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), UDN: 22.76 (+0.03), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), FORX: 44.02 (+0.09), UDNT: 10.42 (-0.02), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
ADP: Energy shedding jobs, can other industries make up the slack?
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Feb 04, 7:38AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Long-term Treasury yields lower after soft GDP print
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Jan 30, 7:36AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), GGOV: 36.80 (-0.99), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), BUNT: 50.82 (-0.29), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), BUNL: 27.48 (+0.05), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Revised 2015 Interest Rate Outlook: Is The Fear Rational?
Pat Stout - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 29, 6:54AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
No Fed hike this year? Morgan Stanley the latest
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 27, 8:01AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Zulauf: Fed won't hike this year
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Sat Jan 24, 7:26AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), RTH: 75.72 (unch), USDU: 27.70 (unch), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), UDNT: 10.42 (-0.02), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UUPT: 29.68 (-0.04), UUP: 24.91 (-0.01), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), UDN: 22.76 (+0.03), FORX: 44.02 (+0.09), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Is The Bond Market In A Bubble?
Nicholas P. Cheer - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 22, 9:41AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Chart Of The Week: Bonds Versus Oil
Mark Ungewitter - Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 20, 2:06AM CST
While many factors influence the bond market, it's worth noting that cyclical bottoms in oil prices (NYSEARCA: USO ) have often matched cyclical bottoms in long-term Treasury (NYSEARCA: TLT ) yields. The oil crashes ending in March 1986, December...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), OLO: 7.58 (+0.02), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), BNO: 23.05 (+0.78), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), DNO: 54.24 (-1.32), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), OIL: 12.01 (+0.34), OLEM: 25.07 (+0.30), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), USO: 19.62 (+0.44), UCO: 9.19 (+0.39), DTO: 81.31 (-5.12), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UWTI: 3.71 (+0.23), SCO: 70.05 (-3.45), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), SZO: 60.00 (-4.31), DBO: 14.88 (+0.08), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), DWTI: 95.90 (-7.40), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), USL: 26.81 (+0.40)
Bond yields get back on their feet
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Jan 16, 12:00PM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Treasury yields continue steep decline
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 15, 2:55PM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), TBX: 30.03 (+0.07), DFVS: 33.70 (+0.16), TBZ: 29.08 (unch), DFVL: 65.54 (+1.42), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), ITE: 60.17 (-0.06), TYO: 17.93 (+0.14), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), GSY: 49.94 (+0.01), SCHR: 53.88 (-0.11), SYTL: 88.67 (-3.56), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), FIVZ: 80.60 (unch), VGIT: 64.86 (-0.12), DTYL: 76.39 (-1.24), IEI: 123.09 (-0.14), TYD: 46.21 (-0.08), PST: 24.08 (+0.14), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), UST: 56.86 (-0.32), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), DTYS: 20.97 (+0.37), TYNS: 30.29 (+0.49), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
The Long Perspective
Mark Liew - Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 15, 10:23AM CST
After reading Dr. Gary A. Shilling’s book ( The Age of Deleveraging ), and following his articles over the years, I must confess that I have at times been disappointed at the outcome in the overall stock market vs. his forecasts. A recent...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), SPY: 209.78 (+0.86), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
U.S. 10-year note yield lowest in 20 months
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 13, 3:17AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), TBX: 30.03 (+0.07), DFVS: 33.70 (+0.16), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), DFVL: 65.54 (+1.42), TBZ: 29.08 (unch), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TYO: 17.93 (+0.14), ITE: 60.17 (-0.06), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHO: 50.62 (-0.01), GSY: 49.94 (+0.01), SCHR: 53.88 (-0.11), SYTL: 88.67 (-3.56), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), IEI: 123.09 (-0.14), DTYL: 76.39 (-1.24), TYD: 46.21 (-0.08), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), PST: 24.08 (+0.14), DTUS: 34.68 (-0.16), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), DTYS: 20.97 (+0.37), TYNS: 30.29 (+0.49), TFLO: 50.07 (-0.06), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DTUL: 62.62 (-0.15), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TUZ: 50.92 (-0.01), SHY: 84.64 (unch), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), SHV: 110.27 (+0.01), FLAT: 61.92 (-0.15), USFR: 24.89 (unch), FIVZ: 80.60 (unch), VGIT: 64.86 (-0.12), UST: 56.86 (-0.32), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), STPP: 33.20 (+0.19), TAPR: 31.63 (+0.44), BIL: 45.73 (+0.01), SST: 30.16 (-0.01), VGSH: 60.96 (-0.02), PLW: 33.20 (-0.21), GOVT: 25.33 (-0.06)
Hot-handed forecaster sees yields continuing to fall
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Mon Jan 12, 2:55PM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Heads up on NFP: Low prints tend to follow high ones
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 08, 8:33AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Markets hold their positions after FOMC minutes
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Jan 07, 1:26PM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHO: 50.62 (-0.01), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), DTUS: 34.68 (-0.16), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DTUL: 62.62 (-0.15), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TUZ: 50.92 (-0.01), SHY: 84.64 (unch), BIL: 45.73 (+0.01), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), SST: 30.16 (-0.01), VGSH: 60.96 (-0.02), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), SHV: 110.27 (+0.01)
10-year Treasury yield dips below 2%
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 06, 6:16AM CST
JGBL: 21.50 (unch), TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), JGBT: 25.51 (-0.04), JGBS: 18.30 (unch), BNDX: 53.60 (-0.11), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), BWX: 54.15 (-0.08), ITLY: 31.58 (unch), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), ITLT: 65.95 (unch), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), GGOV: 36.80 (-0.99), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), BUNT: 50.82 (-0.29), IGOV: 94.02 (-0.09), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), JGBB: 49.57 (+0.11), JGBD: 15.54 (+0.04), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), BUNL: 27.48 (+0.05)
10-year yield eyes sub-2% handle
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Mon Jan 05, 9:13AM CST
EWI: 14.44 (+0.05), TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), TBX: 30.03 (+0.07), DFVS: 33.70 (+0.16), TBZ: 29.08 (unch), DFVL: 65.54 (+1.42), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), ITE: 60.17 (-0.06), TYO: 17.93 (+0.14), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHR: 53.88 (-0.11), GSY: 49.94 (+0.01), SYTL: 88.67 (-3.56), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), FIVZ: 80.60 (unch), VGIT: 64.86 (-0.12), DTYL: 76.39 (-1.24), IEI: 123.09 (-0.14), TYD: 46.21 (-0.08), PST: 24.08 (+0.14), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), UST: 56.86 (-0.32), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), DTYS: 20.97 (+0.37), TYNS: 30.29 (+0.49), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
