Short 20+ Year Treasury Proshares (TBF) 24.63 $TBF
Weak retail sales print takes steam out of Treasury yields
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Feb 12, 9:01AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
A Very Pernicious Partnership: Keynesian Money Printers And Wall Street Gamblers
David Stockman - Seeking Alpha - Mon Feb 09, 1:53PM CST
No sooner was the January jobs report released than the Wall Street Journal posted a succinct headline: "Hiring, Wages Pick Up as Job Market Nears Full Health". Whether the job market is actually as red hot as the BLS' headline numbers...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), TBX: 30.03 (+0.07), DFVS: 33.70 (+0.16), TBZ: 29.08 (unch), DFVL: 65.54 (+1.42), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), SINF: 47.80 (unch), MBG: 27.29 (+0.01), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), STIP: 99.28 (-0.02), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), RINF: 30.25 (+0.05), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), FINF: 42.47 (-0.64), HOLD: 99.38 (+0.07), ITE: 60.17 (-0.06), TYO: 17.93 (+0.14), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHO: 50.62 (-0.01), SCHP: 54.49 (-0.11), MBB: 109.88 (+0.03), GMTB: 52.35 (-0.02), GSY: 49.94 (+0.01), SCHR: 53.88 (-0.11), UINF: 27.79 (+0.01), SYTL: 88.67 (-3.56), TPS: 26.90 (-0.02), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TIP: 112.66 (-0.23), IEI: 123.09 (-0.14), DTYL: 76.39 (-1.24), TYD: 46.21 (-0.08), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), PST: 24.08 (+0.14), DTUS: 34.68 (-0.16), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), GNMA: 50.34 (-0.26), DTYS: 20.97 (+0.37), TYNS: 30.29 (+0.49), TFLO: 50.07 (-0.06), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DTUL: 62.62 (-0.15), LTPZ: 66.86 (-0.42), VTIP: 48.41 (-0.03), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TUZ: 50.92 (-0.01), SHY: 84.64 (unch), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), RAVI: 75.36 (+0.03), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), SHV: 110.27 (+0.01), ULST: 40.01 (unch), NEAR: 50.09 (-0.01), SIPE: 19.42 (unch), FLAT: 61.92 (-0.15), FTSM: 60.00 (unch), USFR: 24.89 (unch), TIPX: 19.30 (unch), AGZ: 114.28 (+0.08), ICSH: 50.02 (+0.09), TDTF: 24.73 (-0.03), TIPZ: 57.25 (-0.09), INFL: 39.28 (+0.47), TDTT: 24.39 (unch), FIVZ: 80.60 (unch), DEFL: 58.00 (unch), VGIT: 64.86 (-0.12), IPE: 56.23 (-0.11), UST: 56.86 (-0.32), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), STPP: 33.20 (+0.19), TAPR: 31.63 (+0.44), VMBS: 53.15 (-0.09), STPZ: 51.87 (-0.03), BIL: 45.73 (+0.01), SST: 30.16 (-0.01), VGSH: 60.96 (-0.02), FTSD: 99.21 (unch), MINT: 101.06 (-0.01), PLW: 33.20 (-0.21), GOVT: 25.33 (-0.06)
The Party Is Likely Over For U.S. Treasury Bonds
Sy Harding - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 06, 6:59PM CST
U.S. Treasury bonds defied the experts last year. The consensus was that once the Fed began dialing back its massive bond-buying stimulus program last January, bond prices would have to begin plunging. With the stock market so clearly in an ongoing...
TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33)
Will The Fed Start Raising Interest Rates Later This Year?
James Picerno - Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 06, 8:49AM CST
Warren Buffett has his doubts, and so do plenty of other analysts. Weak economic activity overseas is arguably a factor that could delay the onset of US tightening. Based on the domestic trend, however, the case for raising rates soon is...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHO: 50.62 (-0.01), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), DTUS: 34.68 (-0.16), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DTUL: 62.62 (-0.15), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TUZ: 50.92 (-0.01), SHY: 84.64 (unch), BIL: 45.73 (+0.01), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), SST: 30.16 (-0.01), VGSH: 60.96 (-0.02), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), SHV: 110.27 (+0.01)
Revisions turn January jobs report into blowout beat
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 06, 7:36AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), UUPT: 29.68 (-0.04), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), USDU: 27.70 (unch), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), UUP: 24.91 (-0.01), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), UDN: 22.76 (+0.03), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), FORX: 44.02 (+0.09), UDNT: 10.42 (-0.02), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
ADP: Energy shedding jobs, can other industries make up the slack?
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Feb 04, 7:38AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Long-term Treasury yields lower after soft GDP print
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Jan 30, 7:36AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), GGOV: 36.80 (-0.99), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), BUNT: 50.82 (-0.29), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), BUNL: 27.48 (+0.05), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Revised 2015 Interest Rate Outlook: Is The Fear Rational?
Pat Stout - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 29, 6:54AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
No Fed hike this year? Morgan Stanley the latest
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 27, 8:01AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Zulauf: Fed won't hike this year
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Sat Jan 24, 7:26AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), RTH: 75.72 (unch), USDU: 27.70 (unch), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), UDNT: 10.42 (-0.02), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UUPT: 29.68 (-0.04), UUP: 24.91 (-0.01), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), UDN: 22.76 (+0.03), FORX: 44.02 (+0.09), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Why Muni Closed-End Funds May Not Do Well In 2015
Joe Eqcome - Seeking Alpha - Fri Jan 23, 2:10PM CST
European Central Bank : Since the financial crisis in 2008, the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of England (BOE), and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) have each utilized quantitative easing. Then on Thursday January 22, Mario Draghi revealed that the...
TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), NUV: 9.86 (-0.02), PNI: 12.56 (-0.09), NXP: 14.49 (-0.04), NXQ: 13.81 (-0.14), NCA: 10.49 (+0.04), MUB: 109.95 (-0.13), PCK: 9.88 (-0.05), NXR: 14.58 (-0.08)
Is The Bond Market In A Bubble?
Nicholas P. Cheer - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 22, 9:41AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Chart Of The Week: Bonds Versus Oil
Mark Ungewitter - Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 20, 2:06AM CST
While many factors influence the bond market, it's worth noting that cyclical bottoms in oil prices (NYSEARCA: USO ) have often matched cyclical bottoms in long-term Treasury (NYSEARCA: TLT ) yields. The oil crashes ending in March 1986, December...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), OLO: 7.58 (+0.02), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), BNO: 23.05 (+0.78), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), DNO: 54.24 (-1.32), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), OIL: 12.01 (+0.34), OLEM: 25.07 (+0.30), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), USO: 19.62 (+0.44), UCO: 9.19 (+0.39), DTO: 81.31 (-5.12), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UWTI: 3.71 (+0.23), SCO: 70.05 (-3.45), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), SZO: 60.00 (-4.31), DBO: 14.88 (+0.08), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), DWTI: 95.90 (-7.40), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), USL: 26.81 (+0.40)
Bond yields get back on their feet
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Jan 16, 12:00PM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Treasury yields continue steep decline
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 15, 2:55PM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), TBX: 30.03 (+0.07), DFVS: 33.70 (+0.16), TBZ: 29.08 (unch), DFVL: 65.54 (+1.42), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), ITE: 60.17 (-0.06), TYO: 17.93 (+0.14), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), GSY: 49.94 (+0.01), SCHR: 53.88 (-0.11), SYTL: 88.67 (-3.56), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), FIVZ: 80.60 (unch), VGIT: 64.86 (-0.12), DTYL: 76.39 (-1.24), IEI: 123.09 (-0.14), TYD: 46.21 (-0.08), PST: 24.08 (+0.14), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), UST: 56.86 (-0.32), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), DTYS: 20.97 (+0.37), TYNS: 30.29 (+0.49), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
The Long Perspective
Mark Liew - Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 15, 10:23AM CST
After reading Dr. Gary A. Shilling’s book ( The Age of Deleveraging ), and following his articles over the years, I must confess that I have at times been disappointed at the outcome in the overall stock market vs. his forecasts. A recent...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), SPY: 209.78 (+0.86), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
U.S. 10-year note yield lowest in 20 months
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 13, 3:17AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), TBX: 30.03 (+0.07), DFVS: 33.70 (+0.16), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), DFVL: 65.54 (+1.42), TBZ: 29.08 (unch), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TYO: 17.93 (+0.14), ITE: 60.17 (-0.06), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHO: 50.62 (-0.01), GSY: 49.94 (+0.01), SCHR: 53.88 (-0.11), SYTL: 88.67 (-3.56), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), IEI: 123.09 (-0.14), DTYL: 76.39 (-1.24), TYD: 46.21 (-0.08), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), PST: 24.08 (+0.14), DTUS: 34.68 (-0.16), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), DTYS: 20.97 (+0.37), TYNS: 30.29 (+0.49), TFLO: 50.07 (-0.06), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DTUL: 62.62 (-0.15), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TUZ: 50.92 (-0.01), SHY: 84.64 (unch), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), SHV: 110.27 (+0.01), FLAT: 61.92 (-0.15), USFR: 24.89 (unch), FIVZ: 80.60 (unch), VGIT: 64.86 (-0.12), UST: 56.86 (-0.32), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), STPP: 33.20 (+0.19), TAPR: 31.63 (+0.44), BIL: 45.73 (+0.01), SST: 30.16 (-0.01), VGSH: 60.96 (-0.02), PLW: 33.20 (-0.21), GOVT: 25.33 (-0.06)
Hot-handed forecaster sees yields continuing to fall
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Mon Jan 12, 2:55PM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Why Is Anyone Buying Long-Term Treasuries?
Ted Barac - Seeking Alpha - Mon Jan 12, 12:40PM CST
Over the course of 2014, the Treasury yield curve flattened considerably as 5-year Treasury yields declined by only 10bps (to 1.65%) whereas 10-year Treasury yields declined by 86bps (to 2.17%) and 30-year Treasury yields by 121bps (to 2.75%)....
HYG: 91.12 (+0.13), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), LQD: 120.83 (-0.48), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33)
Heads up on NFP: Low prints tend to follow high ones
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 08, 8:33AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Weak retail sales print takes steam out of Treasury yields
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Feb 12, 9:01AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
A Very Pernicious Partnership: Keynesian Money Printers And Wall Street Gamblers
David Stockman - Seeking Alpha - Mon Feb 09, 1:53PM CST
No sooner was the January jobs report released than the Wall Street Journal posted a succinct headline: "Hiring, Wages Pick Up as Job Market Nears Full Health". Whether the job market is actually as red hot as the BLS' headline numbers...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), TBX: 30.03 (+0.07), DFVS: 33.70 (+0.16), TBZ: 29.08 (unch), DFVL: 65.54 (+1.42), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), SINF: 47.80 (unch), MBG: 27.29 (+0.01), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), STIP: 99.28 (-0.02), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), RINF: 30.25 (+0.05), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), FINF: 42.47 (-0.64), HOLD: 99.38 (+0.07), ITE: 60.17 (-0.06), TYO: 17.93 (+0.14), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHO: 50.62 (-0.01), SCHP: 54.49 (-0.11), MBB: 109.88 (+0.03), GMTB: 52.35 (-0.02), GSY: 49.94 (+0.01), SCHR: 53.88 (-0.11), UINF: 27.79 (+0.01), SYTL: 88.67 (-3.56), TPS: 26.90 (-0.02), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TIP: 112.66 (-0.23), IEI: 123.09 (-0.14), DTYL: 76.39 (-1.24), TYD: 46.21 (-0.08), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), PST: 24.08 (+0.14), DTUS: 34.68 (-0.16), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), GNMA: 50.34 (-0.26), DTYS: 20.97 (+0.37), TYNS: 30.29 (+0.49), TFLO: 50.07 (-0.06), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DTUL: 62.62 (-0.15), LTPZ: 66.86 (-0.42), VTIP: 48.41 (-0.03), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TUZ: 50.92 (-0.01), SHY: 84.64 (unch), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), RAVI: 75.36 (+0.03), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), SHV: 110.27 (+0.01), ULST: 40.01 (unch), NEAR: 50.09 (-0.01), SIPE: 19.42 (unch), FLAT: 61.92 (-0.15), FTSM: 60.00 (unch), USFR: 24.89 (unch), TIPX: 19.30 (unch), AGZ: 114.28 (+0.08), ICSH: 50.02 (+0.09), TDTF: 24.73 (-0.03), TIPZ: 57.25 (-0.09), INFL: 39.28 (+0.47), TDTT: 24.39 (unch), FIVZ: 80.60 (unch), DEFL: 58.00 (unch), VGIT: 64.86 (-0.12), IPE: 56.23 (-0.11), UST: 56.86 (-0.32), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), STPP: 33.20 (+0.19), TAPR: 31.63 (+0.44), VMBS: 53.15 (-0.09), STPZ: 51.87 (-0.03), BIL: 45.73 (+0.01), SST: 30.16 (-0.01), VGSH: 60.96 (-0.02), FTSD: 99.21 (unch), MINT: 101.06 (-0.01), PLW: 33.20 (-0.21), GOVT: 25.33 (-0.06)
The Party Is Likely Over For U.S. Treasury Bonds
Sy Harding - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 06, 6:59PM CST
U.S. Treasury bonds defied the experts last year. The consensus was that once the Fed began dialing back its massive bond-buying stimulus program last January, bond prices would have to begin plunging. With the stock market so clearly in an ongoing...
TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33)
Will The Fed Start Raising Interest Rates Later This Year?
James Picerno - Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 06, 8:49AM CST
Warren Buffett has his doubts, and so do plenty of other analysts. Weak economic activity overseas is arguably a factor that could delay the onset of US tightening. Based on the domestic trend, however, the case for raising rates soon is...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHO: 50.62 (-0.01), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), DTUS: 34.68 (-0.16), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DTUL: 62.62 (-0.15), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TUZ: 50.92 (-0.01), SHY: 84.64 (unch), BIL: 45.73 (+0.01), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), SST: 30.16 (-0.01), VGSH: 60.96 (-0.02), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), SHV: 110.27 (+0.01)
Revisions turn January jobs report into blowout beat
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Feb 06, 7:36AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), UUPT: 29.68 (-0.04), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), USDU: 27.70 (unch), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), UUP: 24.91 (-0.01), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), UDN: 22.76 (+0.03), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), FORX: 44.02 (+0.09), UDNT: 10.42 (-0.02), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
ADP: Energy shedding jobs, can other industries make up the slack?
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Wed Feb 04, 7:38AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Long-term Treasury yields lower after soft GDP print
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Jan 30, 7:36AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), GGOV: 36.80 (-0.99), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), BUNT: 50.82 (-0.29), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), BUNL: 27.48 (+0.05), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Revised 2015 Interest Rate Outlook: Is The Fear Rational?
Pat Stout - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 29, 6:54AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
No Fed hike this year? Morgan Stanley the latest
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 27, 8:01AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Zulauf: Fed won't hike this year
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Sat Jan 24, 7:26AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), RTH: 75.72 (unch), USDU: 27.70 (unch), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), UDNT: 10.42 (-0.02), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UUPT: 29.68 (-0.04), UUP: 24.91 (-0.01), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), UDN: 22.76 (+0.03), FORX: 44.02 (+0.09), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Why Muni Closed-End Funds May Not Do Well In 2015
Joe Eqcome - Seeking Alpha - Fri Jan 23, 2:10PM CST
European Central Bank : Since the financial crisis in 2008, the U.S. Federal Reserve, the Bank of England (BOE), and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) have each utilized quantitative easing. Then on Thursday January 22, Mario Draghi revealed that the...
TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), NUV: 9.86 (-0.02), PNI: 12.56 (-0.09), NXP: 14.49 (-0.04), NXQ: 13.81 (-0.14), NCA: 10.49 (+0.04), MUB: 109.95 (-0.13), PCK: 9.88 (-0.05), NXR: 14.58 (-0.08)
Is The Bond Market In A Bubble?
Nicholas P. Cheer - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 22, 9:41AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Chart Of The Week: Bonds Versus Oil
Mark Ungewitter - Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 20, 2:06AM CST
While many factors influence the bond market, it's worth noting that cyclical bottoms in oil prices (NYSEARCA: USO ) have often matched cyclical bottoms in long-term Treasury (NYSEARCA: TLT ) yields. The oil crashes ending in March 1986, December...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), OLO: 7.58 (+0.02), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), BNO: 23.05 (+0.78), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), DNO: 54.24 (-1.32), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), OIL: 12.01 (+0.34), OLEM: 25.07 (+0.30), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), USO: 19.62 (+0.44), UCO: 9.19 (+0.39), DTO: 81.31 (-5.12), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UWTI: 3.71 (+0.23), SCO: 70.05 (-3.45), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), SZO: 60.00 (-4.31), DBO: 14.88 (+0.08), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), DWTI: 95.90 (-7.40), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), USL: 26.81 (+0.40)
Bond yields get back on their feet
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Jan 16, 12:00PM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Treasury yields continue steep decline
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 15, 2:55PM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), TBX: 30.03 (+0.07), DFVS: 33.70 (+0.16), TBZ: 29.08 (unch), DFVL: 65.54 (+1.42), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), ITE: 60.17 (-0.06), TYO: 17.93 (+0.14), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), GSY: 49.94 (+0.01), SCHR: 53.88 (-0.11), SYTL: 88.67 (-3.56), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), FIVZ: 80.60 (unch), VGIT: 64.86 (-0.12), DTYL: 76.39 (-1.24), IEI: 123.09 (-0.14), TYD: 46.21 (-0.08), PST: 24.08 (+0.14), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), UST: 56.86 (-0.32), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), DTYS: 20.97 (+0.37), TYNS: 30.29 (+0.49), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
The Long Perspective
Mark Liew - Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 15, 10:23AM CST
After reading Dr. Gary A. Shilling’s book ( The Age of Deleveraging ), and following his articles over the years, I must confess that I have at times been disappointed at the outcome in the overall stock market vs. his forecasts. A recent...
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), SPY: 209.78 (+0.86), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
U.S. 10-year note yield lowest in 20 months
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Jan 13, 3:17AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), TBX: 30.03 (+0.07), DFVS: 33.70 (+0.16), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), DFVL: 65.54 (+1.42), TBZ: 29.08 (unch), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), TYO: 17.93 (+0.14), ITE: 60.17 (-0.06), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), SCHO: 50.62 (-0.01), GSY: 49.94 (+0.01), SCHR: 53.88 (-0.11), SYTL: 88.67 (-3.56), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), IEI: 123.09 (-0.14), DTYL: 76.39 (-1.24), TYD: 46.21 (-0.08), IEF: 107.18 (-0.36), PST: 24.08 (+0.14), DTUS: 34.68 (-0.16), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), DTYS: 20.97 (+0.37), TYNS: 30.29 (+0.49), TFLO: 50.07 (-0.06), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DTUL: 62.62 (-0.15), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TUZ: 50.92 (-0.01), SHY: 84.64 (unch), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88), SHV: 110.27 (+0.01), FLAT: 61.92 (-0.15), USFR: 24.89 (unch), FIVZ: 80.60 (unch), VGIT: 64.86 (-0.12), UST: 56.86 (-0.32), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), STPP: 33.20 (+0.19), TAPR: 31.63 (+0.44), BIL: 45.73 (+0.01), SST: 30.16 (-0.01), VGSH: 60.96 (-0.02), PLW: 33.20 (-0.21), GOVT: 25.33 (-0.06)
Hot-handed forecaster sees yields continuing to fall
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Mon Jan 12, 2:55PM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
Why Is Anyone Buying Long-Term Treasuries?
Ted Barac - Seeking Alpha - Mon Jan 12, 12:40PM CST
Over the course of 2014, the Treasury yield curve flattened considerably as 5-year Treasury yields declined by only 10bps (to 1.65%) whereas 10-year Treasury yields declined by 86bps (to 2.17%) and 30-year Treasury yields by 121bps (to 2.75%)....
HYG: 91.12 (+0.13), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), LQD: 120.83 (-0.48), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33)
Heads up on NFP: Low prints tend to follow high ones
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 08, 8:33AM CST
TLH: 136.86 (-0.66), DLBL: 78.14 (+0.78), TLO: 73.76 (-0.77), TENZ: 86.50 (-0.21), EDV: 126.88 (-1.85), UBT: 83.49 (-1.42), TLT: 128.19 (-1.33), TBT: 44.22 (+0.88), TMV: 29.17 (+0.87), DLBS: 20.57 (+0.51), LBND: 56.35 (-2.05), ZROZ: 123.35 (-1.57), SBND: 4.44 (+0.08), TBF: 24.63 (+0.25), TTT: 38.96 (+1.14), VGLT: 78.92 (-0.70), TYBS: 22.40 (+0.20), TMF: 90.04 (-2.88)
