I want to address commentary from another forum. I
Post# of 7769
Posted On: 01/30/2015 12:52:06 PM
I want to address commentary from another forum. It was stated that id we do 16.2m for q1 2015 the stock will get killed. I strongly disagree and I will explain why imho. I believe there appears to be some significant accumulation the last 8 to 12 weeks .10 to .19 area. Scrc has a forecast available of 55m on .04 eps 2015. If we take a modest muliple of 10 p.e. thats approx .40 cents. I was told that hedge funds look for 3 consecutive quarters of profitability when they get involved with stocks of this caliber. I am pretty sure that the hedge funds are not in SCRC for 1 quarter, I believe that they put their $$$ to work over many quarters as they see a "trend" developing.
Also in q1 of 2014 as a company we did very little revenue approx 550k in revenues I believe with a loss of approx .01 eps a share. The comps for q1 2015 vs q1 2014 will be VERY FAVORABLE FOR US AND IN MY OPINION THE "STREET" WILL REWARD US IF WE COME IN ANYWHERE CLOSE TO Q4 OF 2014. We are replacing q1 2014 with q1 2015 #s which I would tend to think will be far greater than q1 2014 as I believe that is not a stretch. To suggest that we will get killed if we don't show growth from q4 2014 to q1 2015 is very short term sited. This particular poster allways attempts 'SENSATIONALISM" as it is very apparent that he has limited skin in the game on the long side if any at all.
Bottom Line: if the street continues to see profitability and #s are flat from q4 2014 I believe that the street would "embrace" a positive q1 2015 to start the year. We have NEVER BEEN PROFITABLE TO START THE YEAR. I believe THIS POSTER ATTEMPTS TO PUT FEAR AND BRING OUT THE BOOGEYMAN LIKE HE DID 12/15 TO 12/19 2014 WHEN HE STATED THERE IS A 2.6M SHORT ETC. I believe we are in pretty good shape as there are reports from Zacks as well as STE that suggest much higher prices in 2015 based upon the current forecast put out by the company at STE nov timeframe of 55m on .04 cents. Most people are not concerned with 1 quarter that get involved here as they are looking for 12 to 18 months out imho.
Also in q1 of 2014 as a company we did very little revenue approx 550k in revenues I believe with a loss of approx .01 eps a share. The comps for q1 2015 vs q1 2014 will be VERY FAVORABLE FOR US AND IN MY OPINION THE "STREET" WILL REWARD US IF WE COME IN ANYWHERE CLOSE TO Q4 OF 2014. We are replacing q1 2014 with q1 2015 #s which I would tend to think will be far greater than q1 2014 as I believe that is not a stretch. To suggest that we will get killed if we don't show growth from q4 2014 to q1 2015 is very short term sited. This particular poster allways attempts 'SENSATIONALISM" as it is very apparent that he has limited skin in the game on the long side if any at all.
Bottom Line: if the street continues to see profitability and #s are flat from q4 2014 I believe that the street would "embrace" a positive q1 2015 to start the year. We have NEVER BEEN PROFITABLE TO START THE YEAR. I believe THIS POSTER ATTEMPTS TO PUT FEAR AND BRING OUT THE BOOGEYMAN LIKE HE DID 12/15 TO 12/19 2014 WHEN HE STATED THERE IS A 2.6M SHORT ETC. I believe we are in pretty good shape as there are reports from Zacks as well as STE that suggest much higher prices in 2015 based upon the current forecast put out by the company at STE nov timeframe of 55m on .04 cents. Most people are not concerned with 1 quarter that get involved here as they are looking for 12 to 18 months out imho.
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