Signs Of Stress
Joseph Calhoun - Seeking Alpha - 20 mins ago
2015 has started with a bang, with the Dow trading in a roughly 700 point range through the first six trading days. The increase in volatility started in the 4th quarter and appears to have entered the new year with a new – higher –...
SPY: 202.65 (-1.60), GLD: 118.56 (+1.30), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), IAU: 11.94 (+0.12), BARL: 24.00 (unch)
Macro-Markets Risk Index Still Anticipates U.S. Growth
James Picerno - at Seeking Alpha - 41 mins ago
A markets-based estimate of US macro conditions has endured a volatile period in recent months, but the outlook remains positive in the new year. The Macro-Markets Risk Index (MMRI) closed at +7.2% on Friday (Jan. 9). The benchmark’s...
SPY: 202.65 (-1.60), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), BARL: 24.00 (unch)
Shale Oil Production: 2015 CapEx Reductions Will Have A Major Impact Beyond 2015
Elephant Analytics - at Seeking Alpha - 2 hrs 11 mins ago
USO: 17.41 (-0.87), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65)
The Global Chessboard Reconsidered
Marc Chandler - Seeking Alpha - Mon Jan 12, 11:22AM CST
The two main knocks against the US from global investors have been largely addressed. The US budget deficit has been reduced from 10% of GDP to less than 3%. The current account deficit has been halved. Nevertheless, many observers, including some...
EZA: 64.75 (-0.74), RBL: 14.53 (-0.48), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), FCA: 23.15 (-0.35), UUP: 24.38 (unch)
Brent crude falls below $50 as Goldman cuts outlook
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Mon Jan 12, 7:18AM CST
USO: 17.41 (-0.87), TWTI: 20.40 (+0.02), UCO: 7.56 (-0.80), SZO: 69.50 (+3.37), OLO: 6.98 (-0.35), DNO: 64.00 (+2.98), DBO: 13.27 (-0.73), DTO: 104.23 (+7.14), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), UWTI: 2.95 (-0.51), BNO: 18.68 (-0.98), OLEM: 22.28 (-0.40), DWTI: 181.01 (+23.40), SCO: 102.00 (+9.16), USL: 23.59 (-0.95)
What Mainstream Media Is Not Telling You About The Price Of Oil
Jason Russ - at Seeking Alpha - Mon Jan 12, 6:54AM CST
USO: 17.41 (-0.87), XES: 24.91 (-1.10), OIH: 32.59 (-1.29), XOP: 43.10 (-2.16), DBO: 13.27 (-0.73), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), BNO: 18.68 (-0.98), XLE: 74.16 (-2.20)
Further Evidence That Low Oil Prices Are Not Unequivocally Good For The U.S. Economy
Power Hedge - at Seeking Alpha - Mon Jan 12, 6:41AM CST
USO: 17.41 (-0.87), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), X: 23.38 (-1.19), BHI: 55.09 (-1.38)
A Crude Oil Bottom: Where To Look For Clues
Andrew Hecht - at Seeking Alpha - Mon Jan 12, 5:55AM CST
USO: 17.41 (-0.87), UCO: 7.56 (-0.80), OLO: 6.98 (-0.35), DTO: 104.23 (+7.14), BNO: 18.68 (-0.98), UWTI: 2.95 (-0.51), UGA: 29.48 (-0.92), SCO: 102.00 (+9.16), SZO: 69.50 (+3.37), DNO: 64.00 (+2.98), DBO: 13.27 (-0.73), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), OLEM: 22.28 (-0.40), DWTI: 181.01 (+23.40), XLE: 74.16 (-2.20), USL: 23.59 (-0.95)
What Are We Watching?
Marc Chandler - at Seeking Alpha - Sun Jan 11, 11:15PM CST
The greatest risk to the divergence theme is not that the BOJ and ECB would abandon their pursuit of unorthodox monetary policy. It was that the consensus would swing against ideas that the Federal Reserve would raise rates near mid-year. The...
OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), FXB: 149.02 (+0.09), FXY: 82.22 (+0.15), FXE: 116.53 (-0.08), UUP: 24.38 (unch), EWJ: 11.09 (-0.04)
U.S. Oil Shales: Still Growing Fast
Richard Zeits - at Seeking Alpha - Sun Jan 11, 11:00AM CST
USO: 17.41 (-0.87), XES: 24.91 (-1.10), OIH: 32.59 (-1.29), XOP: 43.10 (-2.16), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), XLE: 74.16 (-2.20)
Iran, Venezuela accuse 'enemies' of using crude as a political weapon
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Sun Jan 11, 9:00AM CST
USO: 17.41 (-0.87), TWTI: 20.40 (+0.02), UCO: 7.56 (-0.80), SZO: 69.50 (+3.37), OLO: 6.98 (-0.35), DNO: 64.00 (+2.98), DBO: 13.27 (-0.73), DTO: 104.23 (+7.14), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), UWTI: 2.95 (-0.51), BNO: 18.68 (-0.98), OLEM: 22.28 (-0.40), DWTI: 181.01 (+23.40), SCO: 102.00 (+9.16), USL: 23.59 (-0.95)
Oil, Markets, Volatility
David Kotok - Seeking Alpha - Sun Jan 11, 4:03AM CST
Editor's note: Originally published on January 6, 2015 Sharply lower oil prices have occasioned a huge discussion about their impact. We see it play out daily in newspapers, on TV and radio, at websites, on blogs, and in market letters. The range...
USO: 17.41 (-0.87), DBE: 15.15 (-0.66), UCO: 7.56 (-0.80), OLO: 6.98 (-0.35), DTO: 104.23 (+7.14), RGRE: 15.70 (-1.63), BNO: 18.68 (-0.98), UWTI: 2.95 (-0.51), UBN: 9.07 (+0.02), SCO: 102.00 (+9.16), RJN: 3.46 (-0.17), SZO: 69.50 (+3.37), DBO: 13.27 (-0.73), DNO: 64.00 (+2.98), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), ONG: 23.30 (unch), JJE: 9.07 (-0.50), OLEM: 22.28 (-0.40), DWTI: 181.01 (+23.40), USL: 23.59 (-0.95)
News Stream May Favor U.S. Doves And Spur Dollar Consolidation
Marc Chandler - at Seeking Alpha - Sat Jan 10, 10:20PM CST
The US dollar turned in a mixed performance during the first week of the new year. It fell against the Antipodeans and yen but rose against the other major currencies. The dollar's performance against emerging market currencies was similarly mixed....
SPY: 202.65 (-1.60), DIG: 47.47 (-2.90), FXA: 81.64 (-0.45), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), FXB: 149.02 (+0.09), FXY: 82.22 (+0.15), FXC: 83.08 (-0.76), FXE: 116.53 (-0.08), FXF: 96.14 (-0.04), UUP: 24.38 (unch)
U.S. Stocks Living On Borrowed Time As 2015 Begins
Daniel R Moore - at Seeking Alpha - Sat Jan 10, 2:22AM CST
USO: 17.41 (-0.87), HYG: 89.99 (-0.11), UCO: 7.56 (-0.80), IEF: 108.35 (+0.38), DTUS: 34.59 (-0.38), SJNK: 29.05 (+0.02), TLT: 131.82 (+0.75), JNK: 38.87 (-0.04), SGOL: 120.84 (+1.30), SPY: 202.65 (-1.60), TAPR: 30.87 (-1.24), QQQ: 101.55 (-1.07), DBO: 13.27 (-0.73), GLD: 118.56 (+1.30), DIA: 176.24 (-0.98), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), SHY: 84.73 (+0.05), IAU: 11.94 (+0.12), BKLN: 23.91 (-0.01)
Weekly ETF Gainers / Losers
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Jan 09, 3:18PM CST
USO: 17.41 (-0.87), AMJ: 42.68 (-1.69), GDXJ: 28.94 (+1.46), PSLV: 6.51 (+0.05), FCG: 9.85 (-0.47), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), BNO: 18.68 (-0.98), SIVR: 16.30 (+0.13), SLV: 15.87 (+0.10), GDX: 21.49 (+0.78)
U.S. rig count plunges 61 units in last week, Baker Hughes survey says
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Fri Jan 09, 2:48PM CST
USO: 17.41 (-0.87), TWTI: 20.40 (+0.02), UCO: 7.56 (-0.80), SZO: 69.50 (+3.37), OLO: 6.98 (-0.35), DNO: 64.00 (+2.98), DBO: 13.27 (-0.73), DTO: 104.23 (+7.14), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), UWTI: 2.95 (-0.51), BNO: 18.68 (-0.98), OLEM: 22.28 (-0.40), DWTI: 181.01 (+23.40), SCO: 102.00 (+9.16), USL: 23.59 (-0.95), BHI: 55.09 (-1.38)
Oil Price Drop Starting To Impact Canada
Hale Stewart - Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 08, 3:04PM CST
Several economic statistics released over the last few days have indicated the energy slowdown is negatively impacting Canada. Let's start with exports , which decreased 3.5%. However, the real story was the drop in energy related goods: Exports...
USO: 17.41 (-0.87), UCO: 7.56 (-0.80), SZO: 69.50 (+3.37), OLO: 6.98 (-0.35), DNO: 64.00 (+2.98), DBO: 13.27 (-0.73), DTO: 104.23 (+7.14), EWC: 27.20 (-0.44), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), UWTI: 2.95 (-0.51), BNO: 18.68 (-0.98), OLEM: 22.28 (-0.40), DWTI: 181.01 (+23.40), SCO: 102.00 (+9.16), USL: 23.59 (-0.95)
The Economic Impact Of Lower Oil Prices On Leading Exporting Countries
Elliott R. Morss - Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 08, 12:34PM CST
Elliott R. Morss, Ph.D. ©All Rights Reserved Introduction We think of oil exporting countries as financially sound with significant international reserves. And this is certainly valid for most of the Middle East sheikhdoms. But there are...
USO: 17.41 (-0.87), QCAN: 54.37 (-0.76), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), SCO: 102.00 (+9.16)
Oil trader Hall sees $40 oil as "absolute price floor"
Seeking Alpha - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 08, 10:09AM CST
USO: 17.41 (-0.87), TWTI: 20.40 (+0.02), UCO: 7.56 (-0.80), SZO: 69.50 (+3.37), OLO: 6.98 (-0.35), DNO: 64.00 (+2.98), DBO: 13.27 (-0.73), DTO: 104.23 (+7.14), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), UWTI: 2.95 (-0.51), BNO: 18.68 (-0.98), OLEM: 22.28 (-0.40), DWTI: 181.01 (+23.40), SCO: 102.00 (+9.16), USL: 23.59 (-0.95)
Supply Side Of The Crude Oil Market: Part II
Foundational Research - at Seeking Alpha - Thu Jan 08, 8:02AM CST
USO: 17.41 (-0.87), OIL: 10.47 (-0.65), XLE: 74.16 (-2.20)