OT...Anybody traveling next week in the northeast
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Wxrisk.com added 2 new photos.
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**** ALERT **** EAST COAST WINTER STORM THREAT INCREASING FOR WED NIGHT / THURSDAY MORNING***
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON TRAVEL PLANS ON THE EAST COAST rain on the coast is likely for eastern NC se VA delmarva NJ - EVEN in NYC& Long island .. hvy snow well inland ... Mix over I-95 / piedmont that ends as snow
This should of been out hours earlier but I was just way too tired to and could NOT keep my eys open for the European. Sure enough of course the one night I decide not to when all hell breaks loose.
The European model once again is taken the lead in developing an forecasting a significant East Coast winter storm. This is now the fourth run in a row the model has shown this system -- see image #1 -- whle the high resolution 13km GFS ( GFS PARA) has done and no other major flip flop.
IMAGE #1 shows the Middle Atlantic region Wednesday and Thursday nights. Now this is a little faster than what the data showed yesterday... So again the issue remains how fast as the cold air coming Wednesday night. For those who love snow it would be really a much better the system to slow down by 12 hours. This will allow more cold air to get into the coastal areas. The image on the left hand side shows Tuesday 7:00 PM... The image on the right hand side Wednesday 7:00 PM. As you can see temperatures are still fairly mild. The map is pretty self explanatory as we can see low pressure area developing off the New Jersey Coast by Wednesday night. Notice how much colder everything has become of Wednesday night as the coastal Low sucks in the colder air and pulls it to the coast.
This next image -- #2-- shows the potential for how much snow could fall assuming the European models correct. I have and large as map so you can see it more clearly. The yellow line is the 6 inch line.... and the black line is the 12 inch line. As you can see the northwest third of Virginia as well as the western half of Maryland could see up to 6 inches of snow according to this map. In Eastern Pennsylvania the Lehigh valley and poker knows could see 8 to 10 inches... And the Catskills into much of western Mass and into interior New England could see a 12"+ of snow. Notice that New York City New Jersey Delaware coastal CT sees very little if any snowfall.
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