Risk On Or Risk Off? (Weight Of Evidence, Part 4 Of 7)
360 Investment Research - Seeking Alpha - Tue Nov 18, 2:43PM CST
The credit (aka bond) markets overshadow the equity markets in terms of dollar value. Yes, the equity markets get all the publicity and headlines. However, it is the waters of the credit market that run deep. By looking at the current state of the...
JNK: 39.71 (-0.08), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33)
Home Depot, Other Retail Stocks Should Benefit From Lower Gasoline Prices
at The Street - Tue Nov 18, 1:21PM CST
The 'Fast Money' traders identify their top retail picks heading into the holiday shopping season.
TSLA: 257.70 (+3.72), F: 15.50 (-0.04), HD: 95.98 (-2.05), HTZ: 22.68 (+0.41), FXY: 83.26 (-0.35), M: 61.45 (-0.16), DB: 30.60 (+0.51), TM: 120.07 (+1.48), DXJS: 32.21 (+0.56), UUP: 23.26 (-0.11), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33), DIN: 95.46 (+0.19), URBN: 28.79 (-2.04), UA: 69.37 (+0.48), SPY: 205.55 (+1.18), QQQ: 103.68 (+0.77), TGT: 67.51 (+0.38), DIA: 176.96 (+0.47), COST: 139.21 (+0.74), LOW: 58.53 (-0.36), IWM: 116.39 (+0.67), FL: 54.83 (+0.03), AAPL: 115.47 (+1.48), BABA: 110.81 (-3.44)
CME Group Chairman Says Volatility Isn’t Going Anywhere
at The Street - Tue Nov 18, 11:24AM CST
CME Group President and Chairman Terry Duffy says his company has plenty of competition for its volatility and interest rate products.
CME: 83.71 (-0.38), SPY: 205.55 (+1.18), ICE: 219.95 (-2.25), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33)
'Fast Money' Recap: Stay Short the Yen Following Japan's GDP Miss
at The Street - Tue Nov 18, 4:00AM CST
The trading panel discussed Japan's surprising announcement and whether Twitter is a better bet than Facebook or LinkedIn.
CST: 42.42 (+0.51), AMZN: 324.93 (+1.88), GE: 27.01 (+0.40), FB: 74.34 (+0.10), HAL: 48.54 (-0.69), WMT: 83.79 (+0.22), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33), SLB: 95.28 (-0.35), LNKD: 221.07 (-2.21), SUNE: 21.48 (+4.87), TGT: 67.51 (+0.38), CVS: 90.12 (unch), GOOGL: 544.51 (-2.13), TWTR: 40.61 (+0.14), GDX: 20.30 (+0.91), BHI: 63.55 (-1.68)
Odds Of Stock Rally Pushing Higher
Chris Ciovacco - Seeking Alpha - Mon Nov 17, 2:52PM CST
ECB Ready To Act In a familiar theme of words and little in the way of action, the head of the European Central Bank was jawboning again Monday. From The Wall Street Journal : "The European Central Bank is willing to take additional...
VTI: 105.78 (+0.62), SPY: 205.55 (+1.18), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33)
U.S. Stocks Are the Top Investment as Japan Slips Into Recession
at The Street - Mon Nov 17, 1:38PM CST
The CNBC 'Fast Money' trading panel deemed U.S. equities as the better choice over international plays. Plus, should investors steer clear of General Motors or buy the pullback?
TSLA: 257.70 (+3.72), GPRO: 84.10 (+2.60), F: 15.50 (-0.04), VXX: 28.10 (-0.50), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33), ITW: 94.71 (+0.73), SJM: 101.97 (+0.45), YHOO: 51.75 (-0.62), SPY: 205.55 (+1.18), QQQ: 103.68 (+0.77), DIA: 176.96 (+0.47), GM: 32.27 (-0.04), IWM: 116.39 (+0.67), AAPL: 115.47 (+1.48), MBLY: 47.33 (+0.35), BABA: 110.81 (-3.44)
You Are Using HYG And JNK All Wrong, Here Is What To Do About It
The Macro Trader - Seeking Alpha - Sat Nov 15, 11:35AM CST
Historically junk bonds, also known as high yield bonds, correlate quite well with equities. In fact we have built timing systems that use junk bonds as a trend confirmation indicator that have done quite well from a historical perspective. Because...
JNK: 39.71 (-0.08), HYG: 91.26 (-0.18), IEI: 122.39 (+0.09), SJB: 27.94 (+0.10), SPY: 205.55 (+1.18), IEF: 105.10 (+0.12), XOVR: 26.32 (+0.04), QLTC: 52.08 (-0.08), ANGL: 27.52 (-0.27), UJB: 58.20 (unch), HYLS: 51.18 (-0.07), HYLD: 47.09 (-0.15), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33)
Short-Term Gyrations In The U.S. Treasury Bill Market Imply Negative 0.005% T-Bill Rates On December 31, 2014
Donald van Deventer - at Seeking Alpha - Sat Nov 15, 4:29AM CST
Short-term Treasury bill rates twisted up 0.01% to reach 0.05% at 1 month and down 0.01% to 0.02% at 3 months this week. The result is an implied path for T-bill rates that has the 1-month rate at MINUS 0.005% on December 31, 2014. Negative rates are...
BOND: 109.22 (+0.08), NUV: 9.52 (unch), IEF: 105.10 (+0.12), REM: 12.53 (+0.02), SHY: 84.67 (-0.01), BND: 82.38 (+0.12), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33), TMV: 38.31 (-0.27), TBT: 52.40 (-0.24), TMF: 73.04 (+0.47)
Airlines and Retail Stocks Look Attractive After Latest Oil Selloff
at The Street - Fri Nov 14, 1:56PM CST
According to the CNBC 'Fast Money Halftime' trading panel, oil service, low-end retail companies and airlines stocks look good on the long side following the decline in oil prices.
F: 15.50 (-0.04), NKE: 96.47 (+0.41), OIH: 43.44 (-0.30), WMT: 83.79 (+0.22), KORS: 72.93 (+0.61), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33), SLB: 95.28 (-0.35), RFMD: 13.75 (+0.40), SPY: 205.55 (+1.18), RIG: 25.85 (-0.35), WFT: 16.09 (-0.39), DIA: 176.96 (+0.47), COST: 139.21 (+0.74), APA: 72.07 (-0.02), TWTR: 40.61 (+0.14), SPN: 24.47 (+0.15), XLE: 85.83 (+0.07), BHI: 63.55 (-1.68), APC: 89.39 (+0.42), CJES: 17.98 (-0.53), AKAM: 62.16 (+0.13), HAL: 48.54 (-0.69), QQQ: 103.68 (+0.77), TJX: 61.64 (+0.10), JCP: 7.32 (+0.06), JWN: 73.52 (+0.25), IWM: 116.39 (+0.67), ROST: 81.28 (-0.06)
Five CEOs -- Including Those at Twitter, Cisco -- Face the 'Hot Seat'
at The Street - Thu Nov 13, 2:43PM CST
The CNBC 'Fast Money' trading panel discusses whether it's time for CEOs from Twitter, Cisco and Yelp, among others, to move on.
HAS: 56.12 (-0.25), DWA: 22.48 (+0.17), SPWR: 28.33 (+0.93), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33), DSW: 31.34 (-0.02), SPY: 205.55 (+1.18), QQQ: 103.68 (+0.77), IBM: 161.89 (-2.27), DIA: 176.96 (+0.47), MCD: 96.41 (+0.44), DG: 66.17 (+0.87), IWM: 116.39 (+0.67), YELP: 57.46 (-0.54), TWTR: 40.61 (+0.14), CSCO: 26.59 (+0.12)
Is the Fed Using a 1937 Monetary Debacle to Keep Rates Low?
at The Street - Thu Nov 13, 5:00AM CST
The Fed appears to be backing away from raising the benchmark federal funds rate for the first time in six years. And its reason may be suspect.
GS: 189.64 (-0.29), IEF: 105.10 (+0.12), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33)
Dual Momentum ETF Portfolio For November
Scott's Investments - Seeking Alpha - Wed Nov 12, 2:23PM CST
Scott's Investments provides a free "Dual ETF Momentum" spreadsheet which was originally created in February 2013. The strategy was inspired by a paper written by Gary Antonacci and available on Optimal Momentum . Antonacci has a new...
VTI: 105.78 (+0.62), HYG: 91.26 (-0.18), GLD: 115.05 (+1.00), REM: 12.53 (+0.02), SHY: 84.67 (-0.01), VNQ: 79.14 (+0.34), VEU: 48.97 (+0.44), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33), CIU: 109.46 (+0.04)
Should Investors Buy Twitter Following Its Analyst Day?
at The Street - Wed Nov 12, 2:08PM CST
The CNBC's 'Fast Money Halftime' trading panel says Twitter has a lot of potential but needs to find a way to grow its user base and engagement.
DHI: 24.63 (+0.14), FB: 74.34 (+0.10), WMT: 83.79 (+0.22), M: 61.45 (-0.16), BZH: 19.70 (+0.39), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33), DNKN: 47.03 (-0.55), SPY: 205.55 (+1.18), TJX: 61.64 (+0.10), EBAY: 55.38 (+0.55), QQQ: 103.68 (+0.77), GILD: 103.71 (+3.27), TGT: 67.51 (+0.38), DIA: 176.96 (+0.47), FL: 54.83 (+0.03), IWM: 116.39 (+0.67), TWTR: 40.61 (+0.14), TOL: 33.89 (+0.05), AAPL: 115.47 (+1.48)
Strategist Sees 'Low-Single-Digit' Return for S&P 500 in Next 12 Months
at The Street - Wed Nov 12, 10:57AM CST
Current valuations remain reasonable and the S&P should see a low double-digit rise over the next 12 months, said Alan Gayle, Senior Investment Strategist at RidgeWorth Investments.
JNK: 39.71 (-0.08), HYG: 91.26 (-0.18), SPY: 205.55 (+1.18), QQQ: 103.68 (+0.77), DIA: 176.96 (+0.47), IWM: 116.39 (+0.67), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33)
Dudley, Goldman Sachs And The 1937 Myth
Linus Wilson - Seeking Alpha - Wed Nov 12, 10:11AM CST
A recent Bloomberg story argued that the Fed should worry about tightening too soon because it does not want to replay 1937. Are they joking! Today is nothing like 1937. Today the unemployment rate is at 5.8% . In 1937, unemployment rate was ...
IEF: 105.10 (+0.12), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33)
Why U.S. Equities Are Perhaps the Best Investment Around
at The Street - Tue Nov 11, 2:55PM CST
The CNBC 'Fast Money' trading panel takes a look at Alibaba following China's Singles Day event, as well as the broader U.S. stock market.
F: 15.50 (-0.04), SPY: 205.55 (+1.18), GS: 189.64 (-0.29), QQQ: 103.68 (+0.77), KWEB: 37.04 (-0.63), DIA: 176.96 (+0.47), JD: 25.41 (+0.41), IWM: 116.39 (+0.67), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33), RYF: 43.71 (+0.13), BABA: 110.81 (-3.44)
Mid-Term Election Impacts On The Market Revisited
Bret Jensen - at Seeking Alpha - Tue Nov 11, 10:27AM CST
SPY: 205.55 (+1.18), QQQ: 103.68 (+0.77), MDT: 72.47 (+3.28), IEF: 105.10 (+0.12), DIA: 176.96 (+0.47), STJ: 64.95 (-0.22), IWM: 116.39 (+0.67), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33)
High Yield Attractive as Rates Creep Higher Says Nuveen's Rodriguez
at The Street - Mon Nov 10, 4:27PM CST
Fixed income investors should expect single digit returns in 2015 as rates drift higher, said Tony Rodriguez, co-head of fixed income for Nuveen Asset Management.
JNK: 39.71 (-0.08), HYG: 91.26 (-0.18), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33), TBT: 52.40 (-0.24)
Alibaba's Massive Revenue on China's 'Singles Day;' Are Target, GoPro Buys?
at The Street - Mon Nov 10, 3:05PM CST
CNBC's 'Fast Money' trading panel believe shares of Alibaba will have momentum going into 2015, while U.S. consumers will continue to benefit from lower gas prices.
BID: 39.80 (-0.27), GPRO: 84.10 (+2.60), NSC: 115.38 (-0.45), KWEB: 37.04 (-0.63), DDD: 35.37 (+0.04), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33), SPY: 205.55 (+1.18), QQQ: 103.68 (+0.77), TGT: 67.51 (+0.38), DIA: 176.96 (+0.47), MCD: 96.41 (+0.44), DF: 16.92 (+0.27), IWM: 116.39 (+0.67), BABA: 110.81 (-3.44)
Defensive Leadership: A Showstopper For Bull Market?
Chris Ciovacco - Seeking Alpha - Mon Nov 10, 2:56PM CST
Consumer Discretionary Underperforming The chart below shows the performance of consumer discretionary stocks (NYSEARCA: XLY ) relative to consumer staples (NYSEARCA: XLP ). For most of 2013, discretionary sectors were leading defensive sectors...
XLP: 48.26 (+0.18), SPY: 205.55 (+1.18), XLY: 69.33 (+0.13), PG: 87.95 (+0.11), TLT: 119.52 (+0.33)