Understanding Electricity Distribution Revenue Projections

Overview of Electricity Distribution Revenue for 2026
AB “Ignitis grup?” is making forward strides in the electricity distribution market. As part of its ongoing commitment to transparency, the Group recently shared insights on income levels for its electricity distribution services, focusing on projections for 2026. The National Energy Regulatory Council (NERC) has established new income caps that are essential for the operational planning of AB “Energijos skirstymo operatorius” (ESO).
Income Level Projections for 2026
The allowed income cap for ESO’s electricity distribution services for 2026 is set at EUR 376.9 million. This figure represents a significant increase of 17.0% compared to the previous year’s cap of EUR 321.6 million. Such progress highlights the company’s commitment to improving service delivery and expanding infrastructure.
Driving Factors Behind the Increase
The decision by NERC to adjust the income cap is driven by a variety of factors, showcasing the Group's proactive stance on enhancing its services. These include:
- Increased investments in network infrastructure according to the Group's comprehensive 10-year Investment Plan.
- Enhancements in the additional tariff component, reflecting a stronger focus on ensuring quality service delivery.
- Adjustments in the depreciation and amortization rates which have been instrumental in recalibrating the financial framework.
Key Financial Metrics for Comparison
In reviewing the financial metrics, it’s essential to consider various indicators that influence revenue projections:
Metric | 2026 | 2025 | Change | Change (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|
Income Cap (EURm) | 376.9 | 321.6 | 55.3 | 17,2% |
Regulated Asset Base (RAB) (EURm) | 1,655.1 | 1,540.5 | 114.6 | 7,4% |
WACC (%) | 5.77 | 5.82 | (0.05 pp) | n/a |
Depreciation and Amortisation (EURm) | 97.8 | 88.6 | 9.2 | 10,4% |
Additional Tariff Component (EURm) | 51.8 | 37.5 | 14.3 | 38,0% |
Implications for the Group's Financial Performance
It is crucial to recognize that the adjusted income cap does not affect the Group’s Adjusted EBITDA and Investments guidance for 2025, maintaining stability in its financial projections. This firm stance supports its aim for sustainable and profitable growth.
Contact Information for Further Inquiries
For more information regarding these developments, please reach out to:
Communications
Valdas Lopeta
+370 621 77993
valdas.lopeta@ignitis.lt
Investor Relations
Ain? Riffel-Grinkevi?ien?
+370 643 14925
aine.riffel-grinkeviciene@ignitis.lt
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the income cap for electricity distribution services in 2026?
The income cap is set at EUR 376.9 million for the year 2026.
How does the 2026 figure compare to the previous year?
It represents a 17.0% increase from the 2025 cap of EUR 321.6 million.
What factors contributed to the income cap increase?
The increase is attributed to higher investments in infrastructure, adjustments in tariffs, and better regulatory frameworks.
Does the income cap affect the company's Adjusted EBITDA?
No, the income cap adjustments do not influence the Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2025.
Who can I contact for more information about these changes?
You can contact Valdas Lopeta for communications or Aine Riffel-Grinkevi?ien? for investor relations.
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