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Posted On: 09/23/2013 7:04:01 AM
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09-23-2013 |

Science&Technology
Intimacy on the Web, With a Crowd

Politics
Ad Campaigns Compete as Health Law Rollout Looms

General
Military Lags in Push for Robotic Ground Vehicles

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09-23-2013 |

Politics
Kenyan forces have 'chance to neutralise terrorists'

Environment
Climate change: starkest warning yet

General
Pink Panthers Diamond thieves

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09-23-2013 Science&Technology

Autumn brings a chill for BlackBerry

With the fall of Nokia looming over him, this weekend will be an uncomfortable one for Thorsten Heins, chief executive of BlackBerry. While the Finnish firm sold its mobile phone business to Microsoft for €5.4bn (£4.5bn) this month, questions are swirling as to how long BlackBerry – which signalled its distress in August by putting itself up for sale – can survive, and in what form.

Things are so bad that on Friday night, market rumours forced Heins to announce the top-line quarterly results a week early. And they are grim: an operating loss of up to $995m (£620m), including $960m of inventory writedowns on its new Z10 handsets released in January, a net loss of more than $250m, revenues half what analysts expected at $1.6bn, and phone shipments of 3.7m – which Apple will comfortably exceed with its new iPhones this weekend alone.


For a company that once dismissed the iPhone for having no keyboard (a key selling point for BlackBerry phones), it's a humiliation. The low shipment figure exposes Heins's claim in April that the new Q10 phone – the first keyboard-equipped model using its new BB10 software – would sell "tens of millions". It might have sold a million.


Now the question is turning to how long BlackBerry has to go. On Friday, the company said it will cut 4,500 jobs, roughly 40% of its 11,000 total worldwide, adding to 7,000 jobs cut in the two previous financial years. It will reduce its future phone portfolio from six to four.


One former insider asks: "How would BlackBerry win? There's no answer to that at the moment. A buyer? I don't see how they would make the case."


This weekend was meant to be a new start for the company, with an attempt to turn back the clock to when it was the star of the tech world by offering its famous BlackBerry Messenger (BBM) software free for iPhones and Android phones. But rivals such as WhatsApp are already on both, with more users, while BlackBerry's base is dwindling both among consumers and businesses. BBM's arrival on the other platforms is two years too late, says the insider.


Friday's bad news drove the stock down by 20%, to a market cap of just $4.5bn. Broken up, BlackBerry might be worth more: last quarter, it valued its patent portfolio at $3bn, and says it has $2.6bn of cash and no debt. The services business has around 35m business customers, who could fetch up to $4.5bn.



But who would buy it now? Silver Lake, the private equity company that facilitated the recent $24.8bn buyout of Dell, appears uninterested – and Michael Dell has said his company won't go back into smartphones. Reuters reported last week that while Canada's Fairfax Financial Holdings, a 10% shareholder, might try to stage a buyout, interest from other private equity players is muted.

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Source: TheGuardian

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09-23-2013 Science&Technology

David Cameron in Twitter gaffe no 2

Prime minister David Cameron appears to have blundered again on Twitter, marking a highly offensive tweet as a "favourite" on his official account on the social networking site.

The error occurred after the account, run by the prime minister and Tory aides, posted a message offering Cameron's condolences to Kenya's president Uhuru Kenyatta in the wake of the Nairobi terror attack. It added that the foreign secretary, William Hague, would make a statement.


A tweet was then posted in reply, saying: "David-Cameron please call off WilliamHague, hasn't Kenya suffered enough today?" The user's profile coupled an offensive username with an image of Lord Tebbit in the aftermath of the Brighton bombing. But Cameron's account then "favourited" the tweet.


The Mail Online website said the error was made overnight by one of the aides running the Tory leader's Twitter account.


A spokesman said: "This is a deeply offensive account that the prime minister would never want to be associated with. Clearly, the tweet was favourited by mistake and was removed as soon as it was realised."


Cameron warned about the danger of Twitter before he signed up to the website, and it is the second time his account has been involved in an embarrassing mistake. In July he posted a message in support of work and pensions secretary Iain Duncan Smith's welfare reforms, but blundered by listing the name of a spoof account for the Cabinet minister.


A quick check would have revealed that the IDS-MP account included such messages as: "I've always supported a Mansion Tax. Your Tax buys my Mansion. Chin chin!"



Cameron was a latecomer to Twitter, having previously said he was worried that "too many tweets might make a twat".

Source: TheGuardian

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09-23-2013 Religion

Pope attacks global economics for worshipping 'god of money'

Pope Francis made one of his strongest attacks on the global economic system on Sunday, saying it could no longer be based on a "god called money" and urged the unemployed to fight for work.

Francis, at the start of a day-long trip to the Sardinian capital, Cagliari, put aside his prepared text at a meeting with unemployed workers, including miners in hard hats who told him of their situation, and improvised for nearly 20 minutes.


"I find suffering here ... It weakens you and robs you of hope," he said. "Excuse me if I use strong words, but where there is no work there is no dignity."


He discarded his prepared speech after listening to Francesco Mattana, a 45-year-old married father of three who lost his job with an alternative energy company four years ago.


Mattana, his voice trembling, told the pope that unemployment "oppresses you and wears you out to the depths of your soul".


The crowd of about 20,000 people in a square near the city port chanted what Francis called a prayer for "work, work, work". They cheered each time he spoke of the rights of workers and the personal devastation caused by joblessness.


The pope, who later celebrated Mass for some 300,000 people outside the city's cathedral, told them: "We don't want this globalised economic system which does us so much harm. Men and women have to be at the centre (of an economic system) as God wants, not money."


"The world has become an idolator of this god called money," he said.


Sardinia's coast is famous for its idyllic beaches, exclusive resorts and seaside palatial residences of some of the world's richest people, including former Italian prime minister Silvio Berlusconi and a host of Hollywood actors.


But much of the island, particularly its large cities and the vast agricultural and industrial interior, has been blighted by the economic crisis, with factories closed and mines operating at low capacity.


YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT, CLOSING MINES


Cagliari has a youth unemployment rate of about 51 percent. The Sulcis area in the southwest of the island is threatened with more unemployment from the looming closures of the Carbosulcis coal mine and an aluminum smelter.


The pope made clear that his assessment was not limited to the local situation.


"It is not a problem of Italy and Europe ... It is the consequence of a world choice, of an economic system that brings about this tragedy, an economic system that has at its centre an idol which is called money," he said to the cheers of the crowd.



While Francis's predecessor Benedict also called for changes to economic systems, he was more likely to use dense intellectual language.

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Source: Reuters

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09-23-2013 Politics

Inside the mind of Vladimir Putin

Sociologist Olga Kryshtanovskaya is used to getting into people’s heads.

She’s an expert on Russia’s elites and its political system. For 23 years she headed the Department of Elite Studies at the Russian Academy of Sciences and now is director general of the research center “Kryshtanovskaya Laboratory.”


When Kryshtanovskaya looks at Russian President Vladimir Putin, she sees an “average Joe” - make that an “average Ivan.”


“Putin,” she says, “reflects the middle statistical opinion of the average Russian, and what he says is sometimes contradictory, but that is what the majority of Russians think.”


In his first term, she recalls, Putin said the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20th century was the dissolution of the Soviet Union.


“Every resident of Russia would subscribe to that,” she says.


It’s not that Russians want Communism back, although some do, but the whole structure of life and secure social programs fell apart along with the USSR. So, when people in the West reacted with horror to Putin’s statement, many Russians were surprised, Kryshtanovskaya says, “Everything Putin says is very understandable to us, but not very understandable to you – and vice versa,” she says. “What the American president does, when he starts a war, when he sends troops, when Vietnam begins, Afghanistan, Iraq, etc., we can’t understand it.”


Russians who lived during the Soviet Union grew up with government-inspired anti-Americanism. “It’s one of the pillars of our country’s ideology,” she says. “It was formed a long time ago and was carefully instilled in people by the Soviet leaders. Why are there problems? ‘It’s those people, the evil Americans, who are at fault, who make things worse for us.’ It’s an ideological cliché.”


Now, Kryshtanovskaya says, “When Putin thinks of how he can justify his policies, it’s faster to recall this old enemy than to create a new one. This external enemy is a factor of the internal politics of Russia, as strange as that may seem.”


Russian presidents that Americans like are the ones Russians don’t like, she says. “Gorbachev, whom the whole world loved, Russians didn’t like. It’s the mentality. Putin acts according to our traditional mentality which is to respect only strength. That one has to be quite aggressive, that you have to demonstrate crude power so that people will respect you. We even have that expression – “when people fear you it means people respect you.”


Putin’s way of behaving, she says, is an attempt to say “’We are a great power, you have to fear us, we have nuclear weapons, etc.’ That is our mentality.”



Vladimir Putin’s recent op-ed in the New York Times was addressed to the American people, but Kryshtanovskaya believes he was talking to Russians, too.

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Source: CNN

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09-23-2013 General

Islamist gunmen holed up with hostages in Kenya siege, 59 dead

Islamist militants were holed up with hostages on Sunday at a shopping mall in Nairobi, where at least 59 people have been killed in an attack by the al Shabaab group that opposes Kenya's participation in a peacekeeping mission in neighboring Somalia.

Brief volleys of gunfire interrupted hours of stalemate in the late afternoon. A Reuters correspondent saw security personnel on the move and as dusk closed in two helicopters swooped low over the Westgate shopping centre, which has several Israeli-owned outlets and is frequented by many foreigners.


Mobile phone signals began to fail in the area as darkness fell. Kenya's president, vowing to stand firm against Somali militants, was cautious about the outcome, saying chances of the siege ending well were "as good ... as we can hope for".


"We will punish the masterminds swiftly and painfully," he added.


Foreigners, including three Britons and two diplomats - one from Canada and another from Ghana - were killed in Saturday's attack at the upmarket mall, claimed by Somali group al Shabaab.


Shortly after the shots were fired, troops in camouflage ran crouching below a restaurant terrace along the front of the building that had been buzzing with customers when assailants charged in. One witness said they first told Muslims to leave.


For hours after the brazen attack, the dead were strewn around tables of unfinished meals. At one burger restaurant, a man and woman lay in a final embrace, before their bodies were removed. Pop music was left playing.


Scores of Kenyans gathered at a site overlooking the mall, awaiting what they expected to be a violent denouement. "They entered through blood, that's how they'll leave," said Jonathan Maungo, a private security guard.


President Uhuru Kenyatta, facing his first major security challenge since being elected in March, said he lost a nephew and his fiancée in the raid and vowed to defeat the militants.


"We have overcome terrorist attacks before," he said.


He later addressed the nation, and the world, urging wealthy governments not to warn their citizens against visiting a country heavily dependent on tourist income, while insisting that he would not pull Kenyan troops out of Somalia. He said he would "not relent on the war on terror".


As he spoke there was a new volley of gunfire inside the mall, shortly after about a dozen security personnel in camouflage moved inside the building.



Saying all the gunmen were now in one place, Kenyatta added: "With the professionals on site, I assure Kenyans that we have as good a chance to successfully neutralize the terrorists as we can hope for." Foreign governments have offered help.

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Source: Reuters

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09-23-2013 Politics

Despite thaw, resolving Iranian nuclear dispute a huge challenge

The diplomatic thaw between the West and Iran could quickly chill again if the two sides are unable to master the many moving parts of Tehran's disputed nuclear program under the weight of more than three decades of distrust.

The dispute is not only about the West stopping Iran building a bomb, but also about preventing it expanding its capabilities to the point where it could make a dash for nuclear weapons - known as "breakout" - if it chose to.


Many different conditions need to be met even for an interim agreement to slow Iran's nuclear program and stop it reaching a point - expected by some nuclear experts by the middle of next year - when the United States and Israel could be drawn into military action to prevent it advancing further.


"The debate is more about breakout," said Shashank Joshi at the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) in London.


Unlike India and Pakistan, which developed nuclear weapons in secret before publicly testing in 1998, Iran is a member of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), subjecting it to international inspections. As a result, the outside world would know fairly quickly if it made a break for a nuclear bomb.


But Iran is advancing its nuclear capabilities - including the ability to enrich uranium - at such a rate that it has narrowed the time it would need for breakout, meaning it could build a bomb before the West had time to detect and stop it.


"In as much as they have the ability to indigenously develop a nuclear bomb, they already have a nuclear-weapons capability," said Joshi. "Now the issue that is looming is enrichment capacity. By the middle of next year, capacity will be so high that some fear that it would be at that dangerous level of undetectable breakout."


Iran has insisted it is not seeking nuclear weapons - an assertion reiterated last week by President Hassan Rouhani, whose diplomatic overtures to the West have raised hopes of progress in the long-running nuclear dispute.


Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, who has ultimate authority over the nuclear program, has issued a fatwa, or religious ruling, against nuclear weapons, saying these are against Islam. Western nuclear experts believe that holds, for now.


But Khamenei's fatwa could change, said Mehdi Khalaji, a trained Shi'ite theologian and Iran scholar at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, for example if Iranian rulers faced what they believed to be an existential threat.



"In Shia jurisprudence we believe that we don't have access to the truth, so it is in a way very relativistic." Decision-making in Iran, he said, is also driven by "the principle of expediency of the regime ... Therefore, the logic of the decision-making is more pragmatism and survivalism rather than the Islamic legal system."

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Source: Reuters

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09-23-2013 Sports

Sebastian Vettel storms to Singapore GP victory over Alonso

Sebastian Vettel dominated the Singapore Grand Prix to edge ever closer to a fourth consecutive title.

The Red Bull driver leads Fernando Alonso of Ferrari, who finished second, by 60 points with only 150 still available in the remaining six races. Lotus's Kimi Raikkonen was third from Mercedes drivers Nico Rosberg and Lewis Hamilton. Red Bull's Mark Webber was fourth with two laps to go but stopped on the last lap with a burning engine.


Ferrari's Felipe Massa benefited to take sixth, ahead of McLaren's Jenson Button and Sergio Perez, Sauber's Nico Hulkenberg and Force India's Adrian Sutil. Webber, classified 15th, was given a lift back to the pits by his friend Alonso.


The final laps were enlivened by close battles between a number of drivers as those who chose not to stop during a mid-race safety-car period but make their final pit stops later closed on those who had stopped during the caution period.


But ahead of the late excitement, Vettel was in a race of his own, able to lap at a pace far beyond any of his rivals. Starting from pole position, the world champion looked like he might lose a place at the start to Rosberg.


The Mercedes, second on the grid, nosed ahead into Turn One, despite Vettel leaning on him down the pit straight, but Rosberg ran wide through Turn Two and Vettel was able to sneak back ahead. Vettel proceeded to streak away at the front in trademark style, building a 5.6-second lead in just three laps before being told to back off slightly to manage his tyres. Despite that, he continued to extend his lead, taking it out to 8.2secs before his rivals behind him started to make their first pit stops.


Vettel was in total control when the safety car was deployed on lap 25 of 61 after Toro Rosso's Daniel Ricciardo crashed into the barriers at Turn 18. His true superiority was demonstrated at the re-start on lap 31, when Vettel was told to push to the limit to build a gap.


His pace was breathtaking - from building a 3.2-second lead over Rosberg after just one lap, he was 10 ahead after four and 22 ahead after 10. "It was mind-blowing," said BBC F1 technical analyst Gary Anderson.


Vettel was able to make his final pit stop without losing the lead and controlled the race to the end. The German made a joke about being booed again on the podium, which is becoming routine. "They are on a tour - they go around on a bus," he said with a smile.



Vettel added: "The start was quite hairy, Nico had a good start - better than me. I didn't get going initially, but fortunately he went in a little bit deep and I could get him back, which crucial as we had very good pace." The battling all took place behind the German and his peerless car.

Source: BBC

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09-23-2013 Politics

Germany votes: What you need to know, and why you should care

Voters in Germany vote Sunday for the first time since the eurozone crisis left the single currency -- and much of the continent -- teetering on the brink of chaos. While the campaign hasn't exactly set the world on fire -- voter apathy could prove a major issue -- what happens in ballot boxes across the nation has the potential to change the future of the euro, and of Europe.

Polls opened at 8 a.m. (2 a.m. ET) and will close at 6 p.m. (12 p.m. ET). Early results are expected shortly afterward -- but we will have to wait for a few days for final results.


Who's in the running?


Angela Merkel, the country's current chancellor, is campaigning for a third term in office. Were she to win, she would be on course to overtake Margaret Thatcher as Europe's longest-serving female political leader.


Merkel, a physicist-turned-politician from the former East Germany, came to power in 2005 as leader of the Christian Democrats (CDU), a center-right conservative party. Initially she served as Chancellor in a "grand coalition" of politicians from both sides of the political spectrum; in 2009 she won re-election at the head of a conservative coalition with the Free Democrats.


Her steady stewardship of the country through the eurozone crisis -- and her no-nonsense attitude to struggling members of the currency union -- has earned her both commendations and criticism abroad.


And while she does have detractors at home, she remains Germany's most popular politician by a long way -- according to the latest Transatlantic Trends report by the German Marshall Fund of the United States, two thirds of Germans approve of her handling of the eurozone crisis.


Who is she up against?


Her major opponent is Social Democrat Peer Steinbrueck. Steinbrueck served as finance minister in Merkel's first government, a grand coalition between the CDU and the left-leaning SPD, from 2005 to 2009, overseeing the country's bank rescue plan.


Gaffe-prone Steinbrueck caused the biggest controversy of the 2013 campaign when a photograph of him gesturing with his middle finger graced the cover of a popular magazine.



Merkel's current coalition partners, the conservative Free Democrats (FDP), are struggling to connect with voters -- polls suggest they may even fall below the 5% minimum vote threshold and lose their place in Germany's parliament, the Bundestag. The other parties seeking electors' votes include The Left (Die Linke), headed by the charismatic Gregor Gysi and tipped to do well in the states of the former East Germany, and the Greens, who are ranking third in the latest opinion poll. Are there any newcomers on the scene?

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Source: CNN

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09-21-2013 Science&Technology

iPhone 5C doesn't wow Apple faithful

Poor iPhone 5C. The flagship iPhone 5S got most of the love from the Apple diehards Friday. CNNMoney interviewed about 15 of the hundreds of people in line outside Apple's flagship New York store, and all of them were waiting for the glass-and-aluminum 5S, which cost $199 with a contract.

None were there for the colorful plastic 5C, which sold for $99 with a contract. Fortune's Philip Elmer-DeWitt, who counted more than 1,200 people on line at the flagship store a few minutes before the door opened, reported that everyone he asked was also "there to buy the iPhone 5S."


Some other customers waiting in lines around the world also dismissed the 5C. In London, 17-year-old student Waleed Tariq said "the 5C stands for 5 'cheap'. It's plastic and it looks cheap."


This is obviously a small sample size. It also may not be surprising that people willing to camp out for a phone would opt for the high-end model


http://i2.cdn.turner.com/money/dam/assets/130...20x348.jpg


But if more consumers shun the 5C, that could be bad news for Apple. Many analysts had hoped that the less-expensive 5C could boost Apple's profit margins since the phone is also a lot cheaper to produce.


And at first blush, it does look like demand for the 5C is weak, even from those who preferred to order new phones online instead of standing in line. Waiting in line today? Share your story with CNN iReport On Apple's U..S. website Friday morning, all five colors of the iPhone 5C were listed as available to ship in one to three business days.


The 5S was another story. The graphite and "space gray" models will ship in 7-10 days, while the new gold color isn't available until October. The 5C was the only device available for pre-order on September 13, and Apple didn't release early pre-order figures as it has done in past years. That led to speculation that the early iPhone 5C figures are disappointing.


Apple (AAPL, Fortune 500) did not immediately reply to a request for comment on the iPhone 5C's performance so far. But Nicholas Cage, who lined up at the Apple Store in Atlanta's Lenox Square shopping mall at 3:30 a.m., planned to pick up two 5Cs: one in white, the other in yellow.


"I got kids," he said simply.



Still, he said he was also there to buy himself a gold 5S. - CNNMoney's Virginia Harrison contributed reporting from London, and CNN's Todd Leopold reported from Atlanta.

Source: CNN

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09-21-2013 Science&Technology

Special Report: How a German tech giant trims its U.S. tax bill

In July 2012, then-U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner traveled to an island off the German coast to meet Wolfgang Schaeuble, Germany's finance minister. Schaeuble was on vacation, but Geithner visited to discuss the euro zone crisis. Talk also turned to a long-running bugbear of Schaeuble's: corporate tax avoidance.

According to a letter Schaeuble later wrote to Geithner, the Treasury Secretary had explained in their conversation that the most aggressive forms of avoidance often involved technology companies parking valuable know-how in low-tax countries and making other parts of the company pay high rates to use it. In Schaeuble's letter he sought Geithner's support for international action against legal tax dodging. Profit shifting, the finance minister said, was largely a problem involving U.S. companies. Tax rules in Germany made it more difficult there. This "could explain why we do not know of German companies with comparable tax arrangements to the U.S. companies," the letter, seen by Reuters, said.


But an examination of the accounts of one of Germany's largest firms shows it uses similar techniques. Without them, it would pay more than 100 million euros ($133.53 million) in additional tax each year, some of it to the United States.


SAP AG provides software for businesses to process and analyze transactions, counts 80 percent of the Fortune 500 as customers and has a market capitalization of $90 billion, making it the fourth biggest firm in Germany. Its accounts show that it - like U.S. tech firms such as Google and Microsoft - channels profit to subsidiaries in Ireland, where the corporate tax rate is 12.5 percent. The comparable rate in Germany is 30 percent and in the United States, SAP's largest market, 39 percent, according to the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), an international think tank.



SAP, which is headquartered in Walldorf, Germany, has paid a global annual tax rate in the last three years averaging 26 percent. That's nearly 20 percentage points less than the company paid a decade earlier. Like other German companies, SAP has benefited from significant German tax cuts over that time, but it is only taxed on part of its profits in Germany. The company is structured so that Ireland, which accounts for less than 1 percent of its sales and employees, is the home base for 20 percent of its profits. SAP uses Dublin as a base for know-how and other intellectual property generated by staff around the world, and has an Irish subsidiary lend billions of dollars to a U.S. affiliate for much higher interest rates than the group pays on the open market.

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Source: Reuters

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09-21-2013 Science&Technology

Shares of Apple, chip suppliers rise as iPhones hit stores

Shares in Apple Inc and key chip suppliers for its new iPhones rose on Friday, as the first day of sales at Apple stores drew long queues and an analyst said the first weekend would likely top the initial sales figures of last year's model.

Hundreds of people queued up at Apple stores in cities including Sydney, Tokyo and New York as Apple launched two iPhone models simultaneously for the first time.


Analysts have questioned whether the technology of the new top-end 5S is dramatic enough to persuade people to trade up. Many have also questioned whether Apple has priced its new plastic-backed 5C too high to combat cheaper smartphones that use Google's Android operating system.


But that did not put off Jimmy Gunawan, the first in line outside an Apple store in Sydney.


"It's been one year since iPhone 5. It's about time to upgrade I guess," he told Reuters TV.


The new iPhones use chips made by Avago Technologies Ltd, TriQuint Semiconductor Inc and Skyworks Solutions Inc, according to repair firm iFixit, which opened up the iPhone 5S and 5C on Thursday.


Broadcom Corp's chip is used for the touchscreen controller in both phones, iFixit said. All these suppliers also featured in last year's iPhone 5.


Apple shares rose as much as 1.3 percent as the new phones went on sale in 11 markets. Avago shares rose 4.5 percent to a year high, TriQuint rose 2.75 percent and Skyworks edged up 1.4 percent.


Apple could sell up to 6.5 million iPhones during the weekend, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Brian White said in a note.


Apple sold over 5 million iPhone 5 units during its opening weekend last year.


Investors are concerned that the iPhone 5C, with a price tag of $549 for an unlocked 16 GB model in the United States, may be too expensive. But Apple has a history of cutting iPhone prices once it has been on the market for a while, International Strategy and Investment Group LLC analyst Brian Marshall said.


"We believe it (Apple) will do the same for 5C after initial pent-up demand is met," Marshall said in a note.


Tech analysts this week praised the fingerprint scanner in the 5S model, which lets users unlock their devices or make purchases by simply pressing their finger.


The sensor technology that powers the fingerprint scanner in the new iPhone 5S was developed by AuthenTec, which was bought by Apple a year ago, iFixit said.



Apple shares hit a high of $478.55 on the Nasdaq before easing back to $475.18, up 0.6 percent. Avago shares hit $42.58 before easing back to $42.13.

Source: Reuters

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09-21-2013 Politics

Insight: Angered by chemical deal, Syrian rebels may lose the West

The Syrian opposition feels badly let down by Washington's decision to do a deal with Moscow to eliminate Bashar al-Assad's chemical weapons but diplomats are warning the Syrian National Coalition that it risks losing Western support if it cannot adapt to new realities.

The rift that has alienated the Syrian opposition from the United States threatens to derail international efforts to end the two and a half year civil war, diplomatic and opposition sources said.


It comes as the war has turned into a something of a stalemate on the battlefield and the rebels had been looking to the United States to tilt the balance in their favor by intervening militarily to punish Assad for using chemical weapons.


The behind the scenes dispute, in which Saudi Arabia and Turkey appear to be siding with the opposition, developed last week as the United States and Russia made their deal to destroy Assad's chemical arsenal following a nerve gas attack on rebel areas of Damascus that killed hundreds, the sources said.


The agreement, from which the United States hopes a wider political settlement can emerge, has reduced the likelihood of a U.S. strike on Assad's forces that the opposition had hoped would weaken him militarily and force him to attend a planned new peace conference.


The opposition is therefore furious that Washington suddenly and without its knowledge changed course a week after informing leaders of the main Syrian National Coalition that a strike was imminent, according to coalition members.


In the opposition's view, the deal with Russia contains a de facto admission of the legitimacy of the Assad government, undermining the goal of Syrian uprising and the likelihood that any peace talks will result in Assad's removal.


U.S. President Barack Obama said this week that while it was still his goal to "transition" Assad out of power, dealing with his chemical weapons would come first.


Diplomats who monitored a major opposition meeting in Istanbul at the weekend said a lack of flexibility by the coalition in the way it deals with the changing diplomatic priorities, as spelled out by Obama, could rob the opposition of Western support.


MOUNTING CHAOS


The Arab- and Western-backed Free Syrian Army needs what friends it can get as it struggles to deal with mounting chaos in rebel areas.


Al Qaeda-linked groups, ostensibly opposed to the Assad government, are also fighting against the mainstream Syrian rebels and have even defeated FSA units.



The worsening outlook for the opposition, and the rift with Washington, became clear at its meeting in Istanbul, when U.S. diplomats did not show up.

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Source: Reuters

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