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Posted On: 08/15/2024 5:59:03 AM
Post# of 126940
The 2024 Senate Forecast
The RacetotheWH Senate Forecast predicts the outcome of every Senate race in 2024 using a data-driven model that factors in the latest polling, historic trends, candidate quality, and fundraising. Every day, we simulate the election 50,000 times to get the best projection we can on how likely each party is to win the majority.
We’ve correctly predicted Democrat’s narrow Senate majority in the last two election cycles and came just one seat shy in 2022 of perfectly predicting the # of seats the parties would win in both Senate and the House, - which was closer than any election forecaster that cycle.
The RacetotheWH Senate Forecast predicts the outcome of every Senate race in 2024 using a data-driven model that factors in the latest polling, historic trends, candidate quality, and fundraising. Every day, we simulate the election 50,000 times to get the best projection we can on how likely each party is to win the majority.
We’ve correctly predicted Democrat’s narrow Senate majority in the last two election cycles and came just one seat shy in 2022 of perfectly predicting the # of seats the parties would win in both Senate and the House, - which was closer than any election forecaster that cycle.
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