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Posted On: 07/15/2023 3:30:19 PM
Post# of 154776
Researchers model possible COVID-19 trajectories for 2023
In the baseline variant scenario, the model projected 3.54 billion infections, 6.26 million hospitalizations, and 1.58 million deaths.
In the second variant scenario, an Omicron-like variant would have resulted in 5.19 billion infections, 13.6 million hospitalizations, and 2.74 million deaths, with over 2.6 billion cases attributable to this variant. A new variant with Delta-like characteristics would result in 3.64 billion infections, with the new variant accounting for only 423 million infections, 7.87 million hospitalizations, and 2.87 million deaths.
An enhanced Delta-like new variant would result in a massive COVID-19 burden, causing 4.5 billion infections, 21.3 million hospitalizations, and 11.1 million deaths. In the DeltaCron scenario, a new variant with Delta-like severity and Omicron-like infectivity would have resulted in the same number of infections as in the Omicron-like scenario but 30.2 million and 15.9 million hospitalizations and deaths, respectively.
In the baseline variant scenario, the model projected 3.54 billion infections, 6.26 million hospitalizations, and 1.58 million deaths.
In the second variant scenario, an Omicron-like variant would have resulted in 5.19 billion infections, 13.6 million hospitalizations, and 2.74 million deaths, with over 2.6 billion cases attributable to this variant. A new variant with Delta-like characteristics would result in 3.64 billion infections, with the new variant accounting for only 423 million infections, 7.87 million hospitalizations, and 2.87 million deaths.
An enhanced Delta-like new variant would result in a massive COVID-19 burden, causing 4.5 billion infections, 21.3 million hospitalizations, and 11.1 million deaths. In the DeltaCron scenario, a new variant with Delta-like severity and Omicron-like infectivity would have resulted in the same number of infections as in the Omicron-like scenario but 30.2 million and 15.9 million hospitalizations and deaths, respectively.
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