(Total Views: 470)
Posted On: 09/21/2021 12:18:27 AM
Post# of 153903
Re: nmbr1stckpckr #104905
Thanks nmbr1. I'm not lazily trying to bring the other guy in. I'm trying to figure out why we keep failing trials that are "slam dunks."
I think many are ignoring the data. It doesn't work often enough. When we unlock that mystery, we win.
We get lots of great stories about "instant recoveries." We never get the stories, of "we took LL and it didn't work." Yet, we know those exist.
We are all living in a world of hope and anecdotes. (Yes, anecdotes do come off life support. That is why they are anecdotes.)
We need some math. We haven't seen enough yet. Maybe we will get it in Brazil. But, maybe we won't. We are 1 for about 5 or 6 or 7, depending on how you count.
I know I sound like an ass, but dammit, we haven't had success so far. And now people think it is 98%? If it is 50% we should be thrilled. It ain't 98%.
I think many are ignoring the data. It doesn't work often enough. When we unlock that mystery, we win.
We get lots of great stories about "instant recoveries." We never get the stories, of "we took LL and it didn't work." Yet, we know those exist.
We are all living in a world of hope and anecdotes. (Yes, anecdotes do come off life support. That is why they are anecdotes.)
We need some math. We haven't seen enough yet. Maybe we will get it in Brazil. But, maybe we won't. We are 1 for about 5 or 6 or 7, depending on how you count.
I know I sound like an ass, but dammit, we haven't had success so far. And now people think it is 98%? If it is 50% we should be thrilled. It ain't 98%.
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