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Posted On: 01/11/2021 10:49:26 AM
Post# of 148878
interesting from Yahoo HGEN board: Pricepershare wrote;
Quote: "Quick apology to CyDy. I did an analysis a few days back and it seems the data I used could be suspect. The paper presenting the Mayo Clinic results was a pre-print and when the CyDy trial results were substantially larger than I predicted I took another look at the data.
"A total of 7,891 patients with confirmed COVID-19 with research authorization on file received care
across the Mayo Clinic during the study period. Of these, 7217 patients were adults ≥ 18 years old which
were analyzed further. 897 (11.3%) patients required hospitalization, and 354 (4.5%) patients received
care in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). All hospitalized patients were reviewed by a COVID-19 Treatment
Review Panel, and 77.5% of inpatients received a COVID-19 directed therapy. Overall mortality was
1.1%, with 7.1% mortality in hospitalized patients and 11.9% in patients requiring ICU care."
So...
patients hospitalized.............................897
patients in ICU........................................354
overall mortality(0.011x7217=79)....79
Then...
Hospitalized mortality...79/897=0.0881 or 8.81%
ICU mortality............79/354=0.224 or 22.4% <----major deviation!
The paper states an 11.9% mortality rate for ICU patients but when you crunch the numbers it equates to 22.4%. Or about 200% of the stated value! It definitely changes things. Of course not all the deaths would have occurred in the ICU so this 22.4% would be adjusted somewhat but not in half.
No need to go through another drawn out analysis since we are going to know the results tomorrow. But again sorry for the inaccuracy. I should have double checked the numbers knowing it was a pre-print. Good luck...I hope we both make it.
https://mayoclinicproceedings.org/pb/assets/r...5_12_2.pdf
WUM
Quote: "Quick apology to CyDy. I did an analysis a few days back and it seems the data I used could be suspect. The paper presenting the Mayo Clinic results was a pre-print and when the CyDy trial results were substantially larger than I predicted I took another look at the data.
"A total of 7,891 patients with confirmed COVID-19 with research authorization on file received care
across the Mayo Clinic during the study period. Of these, 7217 patients were adults ≥ 18 years old which
were analyzed further. 897 (11.3%) patients required hospitalization, and 354 (4.5%) patients received
care in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). All hospitalized patients were reviewed by a COVID-19 Treatment
Review Panel, and 77.5% of inpatients received a COVID-19 directed therapy. Overall mortality was
1.1%, with 7.1% mortality in hospitalized patients and 11.9% in patients requiring ICU care."
So...
patients hospitalized.............................897
patients in ICU........................................354
overall mortality(0.011x7217=79)....79
Then...
Hospitalized mortality...79/897=0.0881 or 8.81%
ICU mortality............79/354=0.224 or 22.4% <----major deviation!
The paper states an 11.9% mortality rate for ICU patients but when you crunch the numbers it equates to 22.4%. Or about 200% of the stated value! It definitely changes things. Of course not all the deaths would have occurred in the ICU so this 22.4% would be adjusted somewhat but not in half.
No need to go through another drawn out analysis since we are going to know the results tomorrow. But again sorry for the inaccuracy. I should have double checked the numbers knowing it was a pre-print. Good luck...I hope we both make it.
https://mayoclinicproceedings.org/pb/assets/r...5_12_2.pdf
WUM
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